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AUD/USD

  • #15,041
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:03pm Feb 1, 2010 9:03pm
Quoting puks
Hi Caroline,

how are you doing? I read this on FXCM over the weekend.

I am of the opinion that RBA wont raise rates this time but will keep doors open for a further rate rise next month.

So after an initial sell off, we will see a decent rally in this pair.

I am short from .8850 with TP at .8735 and S/L at .8990.
I took 15 PIP's from my short and banked them. You just never know where this goes next. Not that this would help the housing market in Australia in the short term, but the bank would be smarter to raise it more then .25% to curtail consumer debt. Something that has managed to plagued the US.
  • #15,042
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:07pm Feb 1, 2010 9:07pm
How big do we estimate the spike to be at 10:30? 70-80 pips? More?
  • #15,043
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:07pm Feb 1, 2010 9:07pm
Quoting puks
Hi Caroline,

how are you doing? I read this on FXCM over the weekend.

I am of the opinion that RBA wont raise rates this time but will keep doors open for a further rate rise next month.

So after an initial sell off, we will see a decent rally in this pair.

I am short from .8850 with TP at .8735 and S/L at .8990.
Hi puks! Great, thanks!
I also think alike. I'm short from 0.8895 and 0.8857 with TP at 0.8785 though and longs building from 0.8780...
  • #15,044
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:13pm Feb 1, 2010 9:13pm
i have 3 open positions all waiting for a spike but i can see it being a big one maybe .8950 to be safe
  • #15,045
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:18pm Feb 1, 2010 9:18pm
If it comes in at expected I think we'll see a spike then big money will sell the news for better sell prices. We're still in a down trend.
  • #15,046
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:31pm Feb 1, 2010 9:31pm
Pop and drop!
  • #15,047
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:31pm Feb 1, 2010 9:31pm
i predicted no change, haha i wwas right
  • #15,048
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:31pm Feb 1, 2010 9:31pm
son of a ...

was driving home, was gonna place a short....3 min too late
  • #15,049
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:33pm Feb 1, 2010 9:33pm
wow, 3 positions each +70 pips, closed ,I'm done for the day
  • #15,050
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:34pm Feb 1, 2010 9:34pm
Quoting konrad20
son of a ...

was driving home, was gonna place a short....3 min too late
damn, that sucks
  • #15,051
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:36pm Feb 1, 2010 9:36pm
this could be the event that breaks gold support - and sends aud to the low 80s
  • #15,052
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:36pm Feb 1, 2010 9:36pm
surprisingly gold didnt have a huge move along with the AUD and his holding above 1100, this leads me to think that the AUD will rebound and head back north if it holds above 1100.
  • #15,053
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:36pm Feb 1, 2010 9:36pm
I was thinking of going long when seeing that spike develop moments before the release. Thank god I didn't...
  • #15,054
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:37pm Feb 1, 2010 9:37pm
Quoting jdutch
surprisingly gold didnt have a huge move along with the AUD and his holding above 1100, this leads me to think that the AUD will rebound and head back north if it holds above 1100.
well they don't all move in synch, give it time, I'm short nzd/usd (+15) and aud/usd (+85)
later today more usd buying probably
  • #15,055
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:37pm Feb 1, 2010 9:37pm
is there a downside target/support?
  • #15,056
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:38pm Feb 1, 2010 9:38pm
Quoting jdutch
surprisingly gold didnt have a huge move along with the AUD and his holding above 1100, this leads me to think that the AUD will rebound and head back north if it holds above 1100.

Think again. It's in a down trend now with a major bad news event. Check the longer time frames.
  • #15,057
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:39pm Feb 1, 2010 9:39pm
What the F,....why does Forex Factory say 1130 and the number comes out at 1030,....Not cool,....closed my short at 7083,......just to wait for right before the number.
  • #15,058
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:39pm Feb 1, 2010 9:39pm
Quoting Clouds
well they don't all move in synch, give it time, I'm short nzd/usd (+15) and aud/usd (+85)
later today more usd buying probably

not sure if you follow them closely, but typically they do move in synch. very closely correlated
  • #15,059
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:41pm Feb 1, 2010 9:41pm
Quoting Clouds
this could be the event that breaks gold support - and sends aud to the low 80s
why? I'm even not sure this move breaks the S at .8735 tonight , this currency still gives you 3.75% interest
  • #15,060
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:41pm Feb 1, 2010 9:41pm
Quoting jdutch
not sure if you follow them closely, but typically they do move in synch. very closely correlated
yes, by not minute-by-minute. over time, usd pairs move similar, but not every hour - especially when a news event affects just 1 pair
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