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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #14,741
  • Jan 31, 2010 8:55pm Jan 31, 2010 8:55pm
Quoting 5abi
Agreed. And that may be the reason for low volume moves down. However, I already have 2 positions since last week and would add one or 2 more if it stays under 90.50. But 92 is likely by Friday.
i believe so, many analyst so convident US payroll for this mont will rose. i hope this is true, and lift the USD. Ready to take profit guys.
  • #14,742
  • Jan 31, 2010 10:24pm Jan 31, 2010 10:24pm
friday it tryed to break out of the dayly channel
but came down again and closed in the channel
so it could be a false breakout and then we could possibly see a little more
down if it was
but who knows
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  • #14,743
  • Jan 31, 2010 11:22pm Jan 31, 2010 11:22pm
http://i50.tinypic.com/3hez6.jpg


will it bounce up the uptrend line ... ?

will it cross down the macd zero line ...?

will divergence take control and break down the trendline .... ?
  • #14,744
  • Jan 31, 2010 11:40pm Jan 31, 2010 11:40pm
or are it already starting its bull channel?
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  • #14,745
  • Jan 31, 2010 11:51pm Jan 31, 2010 11:51pm
if today's candle end bullish then i think we are in for a strong bullish trend...so i'll will be waiting
Just remember, when you think all is lost, the future remains
  • #14,746
  • Feb 1, 2010 12:17am Feb 1, 2010 12:17am
I've opened a couple of positions long at 90.14 following the close about the 1hr 50sma.

I'm a bit tentative as we're still below the daily 50sma. Will add more IF we get a close above 90.7.
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  • #14,747
  • Feb 1, 2010 1:13am Feb 1, 2010 1:13am
I predict that there is a strong bull trend starting from the large gap (see gap trading). Not only that but we haven't seen a strong push to end the november 27th bearish candle. There should be a strong push up above 200 ma to reverse the jan 21 spike down. Should be a good oppurtunity to buy all jpy crosses. I hope i'm right. I just think that if new york opens strong then we may have weathered the largest correction since march 19 and it should solidify the end of the recession atleast in the states for now.

Jag
  • #14,748
  • Feb 1, 2010 2:22am Feb 1, 2010 2:22am
Japan's government has said that the reason level of UJ is between 90~95. It is at the low side of the range, good time to go long, long and long.
Face both Win and Lose bravely
  • #14,749
  • Feb 1, 2010 4:30am Feb 1, 2010 4:30am
maybe it will stay in this range again as it did in the beginning of last week
before it deside what it want to do- up or down
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  • #14,750
  • Feb 1, 2010 5:36am Feb 1, 2010 5:36am
i dont know what you guys say
but as long we are under dayly 50ma and in the bear channel
and a kind of H/S it stil look bearish to me
and a break of 89.30 could still take it down to
88.20 or even 87 before a move up
but thats my vue
what are yours?
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  • #14,751
  • Feb 1, 2010 6:02am Feb 1, 2010 6:02am
Im trying short. Found the resistence on kumo cloud.
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  • #14,752
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:01am Feb 1, 2010 10:01am
http://i48.tinypic.com/e80j1i.jpg


locked in +20pips

lets see how far this moves ... within the next 1 hour ( need to go to bed )
  • #14,753
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:08am Feb 1, 2010 10:08am
http://i47.tinypic.com/2zjkuxc.jpg
  • #14,754
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:12am Feb 1, 2010 10:12am
http://i49.tinypic.com/2dqus1.jpg
  • #14,755
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:29am Feb 1, 2010 10:29am
Quoting TheArcher
http://i48.tinypic.com/e80j1i.jpg


locked in +20pips

lets see how far this moves ... within the next 1 hour ( need to go to bed )

ok .. got off at 90.90 for +63 pips (90.90-90.27)
  • #14,756
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:38am Feb 1, 2010 10:38am
http://i46.tinypic.com/2433pg2.jpg
  • #14,757
  • Feb 1, 2010 6:14pm Feb 1, 2010 6:14pm
kumo is good but you're only looking at one TF. Look at the daily and the H1 that are now above the clouds. I cannot short it as long as the D is on above the clouds.

Quoting xandyakko
Im trying short. Found the resistence on kumo cloud.
Its all in the mind.
  • #14,758
  • Feb 1, 2010 7:14pm Feb 1, 2010 7:14pm
ok, we got a dayly close outside the channel
and on the 4h ichi
so lets see what it gonna do
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  • #14,759
  • Feb 1, 2010 7:20pm Feb 1, 2010 7:20pm
I feel like a Big upmove is right around the corner. With the friday NFP news that should take it up 100pips to over 92.XX, until then ( friday) it will just move around till the 91.40 resistance.
  • #14,760
  • Feb 1, 2010 8:24pm Feb 1, 2010 8:24pm
Quoting Honored
I feel like a Big upmove is right around the corner. With the friday NFP news that should take it up 100pips to over 92.XX, until then ( friday) it will just move around till the 91.40 resistance.
i agree with you
but i still have in my mind that this could also play out stil
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