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  • #178,681
  • Jan 8, 2010 12:08am Jan 8, 2010 12:08am
Quoting Optimum
I long at 4289

same here... at 4034... seeing as the lower bollinger band in 1hr chart didnt budge...
  • #178,682
  • Jan 8, 2010 12:11am Jan 8, 2010 12:11am
looks like somebody is trying to trigger pending orders
  • #178,683
  • Jan 8, 2010 12:11am Jan 8, 2010 12:11am
Quoting gatorinla
i use trend lines but have more faith in levels.. there is so much gone on smaller tf will soon be worthless.
That trend line is the same in the 1h, 4h and daily.
  • #178,684
  • Jan 8, 2010 12:15am Jan 8, 2010 12:15am
Quoting wwwin
That trend line is the same in the 1h, 4h and daily.
yes.. all small .. compared to what i see. but its speculation on my part. i dont know what it will do.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #178,685
  • Jan 8, 2010 12:17am Jan 8, 2010 12:17am
hi everybody.

I think buyers are waking up
  • #178,686
  • Jan 8, 2010 12:21am Jan 8, 2010 12:21am
Quoting gatorinla
yes.. all small .. compared to what i see. but its speculation on my part. i dont know what it will do.
NOBODY KNOWS WHAT IT WILL DO, only hindsight hobbiests seem to always know....but I have no patience for weekly or higher, and not smart enough to trade less than 1h chart. So I only look at 1h, 4h and D.
By the way, close but no cigar...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #178,687
  • Edited 12:30am Jan 8, 2010 12:28am | Edited 12:30am
Was selling since 1.4315 closed 14288.
Was buying from 1.4290 closed 1.4314
Thinking about short again //any thoughts
Selling 1.4315 again target 1.4280-60(SL 1.4322)
  • #178,688
  • Jan 8, 2010 12:39am Jan 8, 2010 12:39am
Quoting SashaP
Was selling since 1.4315 closed 14288.
Was buying from 1.4290 closed 1.4314
Thinking about short again //any thoughts
Selling 1.4315 again target 1.4280-60(SL 1.4322)
I just put a short in @ 1.4314.

Reason:

The Eur/Usd the pair has continually bounced off of the resistance level in the 1.4450 area and that level has not been broken which indicates that the bearish pattern is going to continue. In addition to that the market sentiment is extremely bearish right now for the Eur/Usd.

Last month the NFP (Non Farm Payrolls) report rocked the FX Markets because there was a great surprise in the numbers. The forecast was for -119k but the actual number was reported at -11k so that was a shocker by over 100k difference.

I am not expecting a surprise like that on tomorrows announcement but I think we will be surprised to see the economy post a positive # for the first time since January 4th, 2008 and that news will move the Dollar higher. I can't predict the future, but I know that the retail industry hires many workers during the month of December because of the Holidays and that creates jobs.
  • #178,689
  • Jan 8, 2010 12:40am Jan 8, 2010 12:40am
Quoting Emp
Hi, I am new to forex. Can I ask what will be the impact of a non-farm payroll release news? A higher payroll will lead to a stronger USD? Is this always the case?

Thank you for the clarification.
sometime its not happen like that..but usually yes.
Usually trader wont trade until they saw this NFP result vs PA.

Mine I will only start my real swing/intra setting after next week Monday close.

Good luck
  • #178,690
  • Jan 8, 2010 12:44am Jan 8, 2010 12:44am
Quoting MTF Test
Hey People.. I guess i was right.....................................................Good day..

Rasheed/malcolm
wow u r so great...
only less than 30pips move from 1.43085 key area....what do u get ya anyway? perhaps USD3k or more than that with USD15/pips ...
  • #178,691
  • Jan 8, 2010 12:46am Jan 8, 2010 12:46am
Prospects of my long not seems bad , as per MK's theory ( he posted earlier in this thread ) it should go up & break.
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #178,692
  • Jan 8, 2010 1:05am Jan 8, 2010 1:05am
Quoting grashid
wow u r so great...
only less than 30pips move from 1.43085 key area....what do u get ya anyway? perhaps USD3k or more than that with USD15/pips ...
I still didn't get anything. but i am hoping ...let the time decide it ..
Fools Rushing
  • #178,693
  • Jan 8, 2010 1:10am Jan 8, 2010 1:10am
Quoting wwwin
NOBODY KNOWS WHAT IT WILL DO, only hindsight hobbiests seem to always know....but I have no patience for weekly or higher, and not smart enough to trade less than 1h chart. So I only look at 1h, 4h and D.
By the way, close but no cigar...
#178546 like said i rather other targets other then trendlines. after all points in time are where tl are drawn.. i posted this chart last week and again about 24/30 hours ago... i think but for sure last week.. there was a purple one also if i recall correctly.. its not my opinion.. its what the math said. your tl are drawn after math.. i respect tl and do use them.. but other forces are at work.. not hindsight either. but pink line was there last night also.if you would like to check.. and no hobbiest... i actually enjoy it. and i do very well..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #178,694
  • Jan 8, 2010 1:21am Jan 8, 2010 1:21am
Quoting gatorinla
#178546 like said i rather other targets other then trendlines. after all points in time are where tl are drawn.. i posted this chart last week and again about 24/30 hours ago... i think but for sure last week.. there was a purple one also if i recall correctly.. its not my opinion.. its what the math said. your tl are drawn after math.. i respect tl and do use them.. but other forces are at work.. not hindsight either. but pink line was there last night also.if...
LOL, you are a funny guy...why do you think "hobbiest" was about you. I don't know how else to tell you that none of my posts are directed at you. I am beginning to think that you are paranoid.
  • #178,695
  • Jan 8, 2010 1:24am Jan 8, 2010 1:24am
Quoting candlesticks
OK today is 1st Friday of the month.... its NFP day. Looking at history EUR-USD has had a maximum range of 350 pips (give or take some).

Keeping this in mind. Hypothetically, IF maximum range is made today we could see the price of EUR-USD rise to 1.4650 area OR fall to 1.3970 area! Which way will it actually go is anyone's guess.

Fundamental View:
Because we had a holiday season, lots of unemployed people got temporary work which may have some bearing on a lower (or lower than expected) NFP number. But if...

God Morning to all.

Thanks a lot for the info!
  • #178,696
  • Jan 8, 2010 1:29am Jan 8, 2010 1:29am
2:00am EUR
German Trade Balance
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...dar_detail.gif 17.2B
12.3B 12.7Bhttp://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...us_revised.gif
But too many sellers can't break 1.432x for right now
  • #178,697
  • Jan 8, 2010 1:34am Jan 8, 2010 1:34am
Quoting SashaP
2:00am EUR
German Trade Balance
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...dar_detail.gif 17.2B
12.3B 12.7Bhttp://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...us_revised.gif
But too many sellers can't break 1.432x for right now
No affect for the eur down trend. If NFP is better then the expect forcast, existing eur is poor more...
  • #178,698
  • Jan 8, 2010 1:35am Jan 8, 2010 1:35am
I'm short atm/I'm trading off 4 hr TF also
  • #178,699
  • Jan 8, 2010 1:39am Jan 8, 2010 1:39am
E/u 30m chart

New long signal
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #178,700
  • Jan 8, 2010 1:42am Jan 8, 2010 1:42am
levels.. for bull pullback....whites are targets after 4335... 4335 green may be a soft top..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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