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EURUSD

  • #176,221
  • Dec 29, 2009 5:51pm Dec 29, 2009 5:51pm
Quoting redsheriff
Nö - wo ?



Come on show us...
here u go...
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  • #176,222
  • Dec 29, 2009 5:54pm Dec 29, 2009 5:54pm
Quoting paulw6182
my stratagy is buy low sell high like in chnanel trading except i eye ball it Its dynamic!, instead of waiting for a m.a. to change colour then yuv sold to low it goes back up. i keep my sl safe and my tp safer.dojis 10pip bars double tops ar my real friend. i trade 50stoploss 25takeprofit


Okay - jawohl - Double Tops - Double Bottoms - immer gerne gesehen - if confirmed...

  • #176,223
  • Dec 29, 2009 6:18pm Dec 29, 2009 6:18pm
anybody could help me out? today there is this news coming out - crude oil inventory.. forecast is better than previous.. my question is if somebody could explain me how important this statistic is to oil traders and what should i expect if the news come out positive or negative.. and how do traders act if the forecast is better then previous or worse.. thank you very much for explanation
Pation is the Holy Grail
  • #176,224
  • Dec 29, 2009 6:37pm Dec 29, 2009 6:37pm
Just went short - 10 seconds later while posting the breakout happened!
  • #176,225
  • Edited 6:58pm Dec 29, 2009 6:47pm | Edited 6:58pm
Nice one! Yeah i was just hoping for another few pips up on that cycle, but damn breakout blasted one of my stops. I still have a short position, so no stress and here's hoping for a continuation south. 1.422 and 1.411 are calling.
  • #176,226
  • Dec 29, 2009 6:57pm Dec 29, 2009 6:57pm
Quoting maurofx
Maybe this will help you. G/L!!
Thanks. TBH that is pretty much my graph: I couldn't identify an exact level, just vague areas.
The market reveals who we really are...
  • #176,227
  • Dec 29, 2009 6:58pm Dec 29, 2009 6:58pm
Anyone see the bulls pushing back against that bearish breakout around 0:50 GMT? Bwah ha ha. Futile attempt.
  • #176,228
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:15pm Dec 29, 2009 7:15pm
Quoting CzechTrade
anybody could help me out? today there is this news coming out - crude oil inventory.. forecast is better than previous.. my question is if somebody could explain me how important this statistic is to oil traders and what should i expect if the news come out positive or negative.. and how do traders act if the forecast is better then previous or worse.. thank you very much for explanation

inventories more than expected oil prices go down as supply is more demand

inventories less than expected oil prices go higher ... usd gets stronger.

I often wondered how they works out oil inventories anyway. I think it is just a fabricated number as as the feds seem heel bent on supporting usd for now they may manipulate oil price to suit .
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #176,229
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:16pm Dec 29, 2009 7:16pm
EUR-USD Analysis - Wednesday 30 December 2009



0.0127 Écart

1.4557 1.4516
1.4508 1.4471
1.4458 1.4422
1.4430 1.4401 UPSIDE

1.4381 1.4395 PIVOTAL ZONE

1.4303 1.4388 DNSIDE
1.4331 1.4367
1.4254 1.4318
1.4176 1.4273


Entry-point Key-point
1.4385 1.4312


Elliott : flat correction down 1.4253


Scenario for Wednesday


1.4353* Market looks more likely that it would try to rise again towards 1.4430 - 1.4456 or even to 1.4471 - 1.4508 in case of an extention from entry levels near 1.4343/ 36 or 1.4318 and 1.4303. After which a downside move is expected again ...


Warning: Engulfing pattern (cross of below 1.4301 would cancel these upside expectations)


Warning: End of trend

Warning: Imminent end of bullish move


### Rollover-close


1.4312 Key-point
1.4385 Entry-point
1.4459 Elliott; Key-point
1.4353 Rollover-close
1.4310 Elliott; Projection
1.4389 Trendline-point 1
1.4389 Trendline-point 2


### Rollover-open (EX)


1.4407 Key-point
1.4394 Entry-point
1.4218 Elliott; Key-point
1.4379 Rollover-open
1.4431 Elliott; Projection
1.4379 Trendline-point 1
1.4413 Trendline-point 2


GOOD LUCK !
  • #176,230
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:16pm Dec 29, 2009 7:16pm
Watching 1.4318, quite a hefty bull support, when that's breached the gravity kicks in.
  • #176,231
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:25pm Dec 29, 2009 7:25pm
lower Trendline
H1 chart
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  • #176,232
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:28pm Dec 29, 2009 7:28pm
Quoting malcolmb14
inventories less than expected oil prices go higher ... usd gets stronger.
oil higher means usd higher?

now thats news for me...
  • #176,233
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:32pm Dec 29, 2009 7:32pm
Quoting Optimum
lower Trendline
H1 chart
Yeah that's the one i was looking at The bears may make a short meal out of that.
  • #176,234
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:34pm Dec 29, 2009 7:34pm
will stop at 4301
  • #176,235
  • Edited 8:53pm Dec 29, 2009 7:36pm | Edited 8:53pm
here a thought wat might happens

and usd cb is up... jeee i guess next thing is down a bit.

windows 7 is sweet yu just drag and drop yur picture into paint and it paints it for you
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  • #176,236
  • Edited 8:00pm Dec 29, 2009 7:36pm | Edited 8:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
levels

IF lower move continues.

math says 4312, chart blue nearest lines say 43045


a little lower math says 4260

still looking for 4323 because some black boxes are still set for this residual value but its invalid mostly. but its the holidays some some may be still on.
i tried to retire this chart but still unable too. use the 50% rule between levels with like colored lines. you can use 25% also if you want to figure out if charts...
dont fight the math... if it gets bitch slapped better yet.. we go lower.. sometimes this number will be new strong resistance.. it remains to be seen...43045 is better yet.. it means numbers are working..respect tells a big story
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #176,237
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:40pm Dec 29, 2009 7:40pm
Quoting Optimum
will stop at 4301

please try to tell us what you mean - stop loss - for example because you longed it ...

or stop entry (a sell order entry) to go short - if breaks below...

you leave me in riddles - sorry ...


  • #176,238
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:44pm Dec 29, 2009 7:44pm
Quoting malcolmb14
inventories more than expected oil prices go down as supply is more demand

inventories less than expected oil prices go higher ... usd gets stronger.

I often wondered how they works out oil inventories anyway. I think it is just a fabricated number as as the feds seem heel bent on supporting usd for now they may manipulate oil price to suit .
So things have completely reversed from just a month ago. In November higher oil price correlated to higher equities which in turn equated to higher EUR/USD. We are trading in a completely new market now. Fundamentals have returned. We sometimes trade withhout realization that the rules have changed. For months a higher Dow was positively correlated to a higher EUR/USD and vice versa. That was the trade and now that it has completely decoupled we need to determine what is the new mover.

The new mover is the economic divergence in the Eurozone and the resulting destabilization of the currency. The market has an increasing distrust of the Euro. This will accelerate into the new year. Greece and Spain cannot be ignored. The Baltics cannot be ignored.

Although it may not be popular to say, the United States will recover. Yes there are a lot of stupid, fat people here. There are also a lot of resourceful, smart people. They tend to migrate here. For good reason. Given a chance we will survive and prosper.

We just don't have the fashion sense of Europeans.

Happy New Year no matter what. (but short the Euro ASAP)
  • #176,239
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:47pm Dec 29, 2009 7:47pm
anyway - it will help you to improve your performance if you write down your ideas - because it forces you to plan your pips rewards...

the longer you do - the better your results...
  • #176,240
  • Dec 29, 2009 7:56pm Dec 29, 2009 7:56pm
Quoting nvcK
oil higher means usd higher?

now thats news for me...
sorry screwed that up and should not have commented ...

I trade each chart as individual chart.

I have found that correlations are not always 100 % there and if you rely on them they may screw up what would otherwise have been a beautiful trade set up
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
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