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EURUSD

  • #175,601
  • Dec 25, 2009 9:00am Dec 25, 2009 9:00am
Quoting fontu
Yes, same to you too.Better forget about it but no , the little ltl still respected ,bull is not over yet.Lower tf building up & h4 channel can be broken at the top , daily has no objection here.and as a bear can expect another reversal H&S development in H1 , price may fall to 1.4325, back 1.4367 & then fall to the bottom & next try up to break H4 to much higher level for D.


fontu
Well done bro
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...48#post3323448

We are going UP for while,Yesterday got confirmation
  • #175,602
  • Dec 25, 2009 9:01am Dec 25, 2009 9:01am
Quoting SkyzerFX
EUR/USD (Dec 25 at 14:49 GMT)

1.4396/98 (0.11%)

H 1.4437 L 1.4353

http://www.fxstreet.com/rates-charts/currency-rates/
EUR/USD (Dec 25 at 16:48 GMT)
1.4378/84 (-0.01%)H 1.4437 L 1.4353
  • #175,603
  • Dec 25, 2009 9:30am Dec 25, 2009 9:30am
Quoting arezab
Hi gatorinla ... I know you love those lines but in fact I never understood how you trade using so many horizontal lines on your chart but I've found something which may ease your work of drawing. This thing does the job of drawing them automatically.

Just check it out. They produce results like this
nice tool.. now i have to figure out how to use it.. dont get me wrong trendlines are great.. but trendlines say we have to be below or above a point. at certain level, at a certain point of time. so since the pair dont go by anyones watch we have to see if is just cosolidation or really a trend break (during tb only. it may not be a break). so whatever tf the trendline is on it has to build steps.. on a low tf move may be over without steps.. point a to point b may cross many trendlines. so i use math and levels mostly.. i dont know what direction we will go at any piont of time.. but i do know with a pretty good percentage of where we will rest. and possibly turn around. at least for a moment in time. so using strictly tl can lie.. i try to use other means in cooperation to get a jump on a move to enter or exit. sometimes move stops and waits for time (tl) to catch up. sometime move is early and pokes through tl..although level of H/L rule not broken. if i have a level that math says is a good level and a tl crosses the same piont then i give it more weight. i figure levels build tl and all your daily pivots ect.

sure crazy way to think. it goes against what is excepted. i have never read a trading book..the worlds not flat. imho. thanks for the indis. merry christmas
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #175,604
  • Dec 25, 2009 10:00am Dec 25, 2009 10:00am
Happy Holidays Everyone and may you have a GREAT NEW YEAR!
  • #175,605
  • Dec 25, 2009 10:39am Dec 25, 2009 10:39am
Quoting Optimum
English : Merry Christmas
Russisch : С Рождеством
Deutsch : Frohe Weihnachten
العربية : سنة جديدة سعيدة.
עברית : שנה טובה.
日本語 : 新年あけましておめでとうございます。
中文...
And Thai : สุขสันต์วันคริสมาส
  • #175,606
  • Dec 25, 2009 10:47am Dec 25, 2009 10:47am
30 Nov 2009 - 20 Day ago.


166913
Quoting Optimum
USDx daily chart.
Strong support, base dollar. commingsoon up. Perhaps before the beginning of the year

http://cdn.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1259546353
  • #175,607
  • Edited 11:21am Dec 25, 2009 11:05am | Edited 11:21am
Quoting egkid
Well done bro
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...48#post3323448

We are going UP for while,Yesterday got confirmation
Thanks , nothing done well yet though.
While sitting idle there comes flights of impulses in the idle brain like testing many old ea .
Now also not an exception , it is doing great strategy testing fastest method in 9 months time with sl & even having big lots( fixed 5) . see the results . I knew they will differ a lot in live & even loose the whole account so soon.

results : Initial deposit10000.00Total net profit135305.50Gross profit182185.00Gross loss-46879.50Profit factor3.89Expected payoff10408.12Absolute drawdown450.00Maximal drawdown61998.00 (40.48%)Relative drawdown43.66% (27937.50)Total trades13Short positions (won %)7 (42.86%)Long positions (won %)6 (50.00%)Profit trades (% of total)6 (46.15%)Loss trades (% of total)7 (53.85%)Largestprofit trade50082.50loss trade-10297.50Averageprofit trade30364.17loss trade-6697.07Maximumconsecutive wins (profit in money)3 (81672.50)consecutive losses (loss in money)5 (-26542.00)Maximalconsecutive profit (count of wins)81672.50 (3)consecutive loss (count of losses)-26542.00 (5)Averageconsecutive wins2consecutive losses
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: tftea3.gif Size: 6 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #175,608
  • Dec 25, 2009 1:53pm Dec 25, 2009 1:53pm
Quoting swingtrader
EUR/USD (Dec 25 at 16:48 GMT)
1.4378/84 (-0.01%)H 1.4437 L 1.4353


Okay...


By the way I have a deep bad faith in such prices/ rates / or quotes from pure internet companies like fxstreet and many others like them. Therefore I did look and control / compare / check these data information with REUTERS and DJ Newswires...


They gave me the following information:


Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates At 15:50 EST / 2050 GMT
25 Dec 2009, 21:50


Latest Previous %Chg Daily Daily %Chg Dollar Rates 2150 GMT High Low 12/31

USD/JPY Yen 91.18-21 91.51-54 -0.36 91.63 91.20 +0.64

EUR/USD Euro 1.4396-98 1.4374-76 +0.15 1.4435 1.4365 +2.99

GBP/USD Sterling 1.5962-66 1.5955-58 +0.04 1.5988 1.5962 +9.13

USD/CHF Swiss Franc 1.0356-61 1.0378-82 -0.21 1.0375 1.0353 -2.93

USD/CAD Canadian Dlr 1.0499-02 1.0496-99 +0.03 1.0503 1.0496 -13.70

AUD/USD Australian Dlr 0.8847-51 0.8825-28 +0.25 0.8856 0.8827 +25.08

NZD/USD New Zealand Dlr 0.7063-65 0.7059-63 +0.06 0.7070 0.7060 +21.05


In other words:

Highest was 1.4435
Lowest was 1.4365

Latest was 1.4397 midprice until now


source - DJN and REUTERS
  • #175,609
  • Dec 25, 2009 2:01pm Dec 25, 2009 2:01pm
Nice drawings, but I think most of you, missing the fact, that

Charts just following the price action and not vise versa.

I'd look at charts and rely on then in 30% of the cases.

Short term TF (M5-30M) of course making total sense to trade by charts only.

And I cannot find one single reason for USD to pop and thereafter can present 1000 reasons for USD

devaluation, -PIGS can't fly.

Period.
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #175,610
  • Dec 25, 2009 2:12pm Dec 25, 2009 2:12pm
Quoting Optimum
Strong support, base dollar
Right, while US corps, Banks and individuals working on taxes.

Give it 15-20 days, when this is allover and watch what happens then.
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #175,611
  • Dec 25, 2009 3:26pm Dec 25, 2009 3:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
it dont matter what pair you trade. it will have bearing on all. cad is a commodity pair mostly. but it is one that is closer to usd then others commodity pairs. so its kinda a hybrid. at times it dont matter what others do. cad does its own thing. it can be a hard pair to trade because it makes its own rules. there was a drop a couple of years back vs. usd that never really retraced. that went on for months to multi decade lows. then one day it stopped and reversed like a spring and never retraced that way for a while either. those who held on...
Merry Christmas! My trades usually last for 24 hours, and then re-evaluate my position. I fully agree about Euro's continued slide, I'm just not as certain about the aggressiveness of it yet, and may bounce around on the way down. Opportunities will continue to show themselves though , and a Happy New Year, too
  • #175,612
  • Dec 25, 2009 4:26pm Dec 25, 2009 4:26pm
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif 2009-12-25_17h00_Screenshot AM-FPP-B-00_NetDania EUR-USD _ H4 _ Chart _ Fib Retrace + Divergence.PNG (94.5 KB)




Think about that dear fellow traders...





Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2009-12-25_17h00_Screenshot AM-FPP-B-00_NetDania EUR-USD _ H4 _ Chart _ Fib Retrace + Divergence.PNG Size: 95 KB
  • #175,613
  • Dec 25, 2009 6:31pm Dec 25, 2009 6:31pm
EUR-USD Analysis - Monday 28 December 2009


0.0070 Écart


1.4503 1.4467
1.4469 1.4442
1.4435 1.4415
1.4433 1.4404 UPSIDE

1.4399 1.4400 PIVOTAL ZONE

1.4363 1.4397 DNSIDE
1.4365 1.4385
1.4329 1.4358
1.4293 1.4333


Entry-point Key-point
1.4365 1.4409


Elliott : correction zigzag 1.4431


Scenario for monday


1.4397* Market should move down to test support at 1.4363 - 1.4358 or even 1.4333/ 29 as long as below 1.4399 - 1.4404. If support at 1.4333 - 1.4329 may hold it can rise up to 1.4415 - 1.4433 or 1.4442, if not it should fall towards below 1.4293 - 1.4279 zone ...


Warning: -0-

Warning: End of trend - Imminent end of bearish move

Warning: Imminent end of bullish move


1.4409 Key-point
1.4365 Entry-point
1.4218 Elliott; Key-point
1.4397 Rollover-close
1.4431 Elliott; Projection
1.4309 Trendline-point 1
1.4412 Trendline-point 2
1.4458 Trendline-point 3


###


1.4382 Key-point
1.4365 Entry-point
1.4218 Elliott; Key-point
1.4378 Rollover-open
1.4431 Elliott; Projection
1.4309 Trendline-point 1
1.4412 Trendline-point 2


  • #175,614
  • Dec 25, 2009 7:00pm Dec 25, 2009 7:00pm
Quoting redsheriff
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif 2009-12-25_17h00_Screenshot AM-FPP-B-00_NetDania EUR-USD _ H4 _ Chart _ Fib Retrace + Divergence.PNG (94.5 KB)




Think about that dear fellow traders...







I have highlighted / marked one, two, three, four similar situations with that divergence to RSI - just in order to visualize what I think about the current situation...


Anyway - I wish you good luck ! ! !
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2009-12-25_17h00_Screenshot AM-FPP-B-01_NetDania EUR-USD _ H4 _ Chart _ Fib Retrace + Divergence.PNG Size: 95 KB
  • #175,615
  • Dec 26, 2009 3:02am Dec 26, 2009 3:02am
This is how I see it
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.gif Size: 34 KB
Fools Rushing
  • #175,616
  • Dec 26, 2009 3:32am Dec 26, 2009 3:32am
Quoting MTF Test
This is how I see it



Yes - thank you for sharing your estimation of the situation...


Your chart shows us an expectation with H4 view as well...


Upside prospective / projection a few days later - may be within the beginning after 'NEW YEAR'...


My kind of estimation is based on an intraday basis data mainly - that means for the 'DAYTRADER' who wants to close all positions at each single day prior to 'ROLLOVER' time - when Swaps will be calculated and SPOT VALUE DATES will be FOREWARDED...


THANX for your nice feedback !
  • #175,617
  • Dec 26, 2009 3:59am Dec 26, 2009 3:59am
chart for eur/usd - target 1,4530 (monday) - then swing rest of the year
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusdthisweek.jpg Size: 208 KB
Twitter: Forexlivetrade - Buy: AFFI.CPH ISIN: DK0015966592 - target 12 DKK
  • #175,618
  • Dec 26, 2009 4:02am Dec 26, 2009 4:02am
[quote=redsheriff;3327215]Yes - thank you for sharing your estimation of the situation...


hallo redsheriff,froehliche weihnachten!
Money is made by sitting, not trading. Jesse L. Livermore
  • #175,619
  • Dec 26, 2009 5:21am Dec 26, 2009 5:21am
wat happned to all the bearish sentiment of last week for euro
  • #175,620
  • Dec 26, 2009 5:26am Dec 26, 2009 5:26am
Quoting jckm
then swing rest of the year
I hope you right. That's my favorite type of Market moves,

Swings high/low, without any huge breaks each direction.

Identify Bands and just buy low, sell high - easy trading.
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