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  • #174,281
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:01pm Dec 18, 2009 1:01pm
So, everyone got good trades?
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #174,282
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:03pm Dec 18, 2009 1:03pm
Quoting Z3iz3i
So, everyone got good trades?
heh today was pretty good.. over 200 pips
Pation is the Holy Grail
  • #174,283
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:06pm Dec 18, 2009 1:06pm
Quoting lloydblankfe
By the way tao trader, I thought that euro would retrace above 1.4290 looking at moving average 15 mins. Not sure about long term.
Well......I do not look at time frames that small because you are essentially seeing noise inside of a larger time frame. The indicators and everything else you see on time frames that small are unreliable and highly distorted.
  • #174,284
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:10pm Dec 18, 2009 1:10pm
anyone short with large drawdown beware

go look at weekly charts 2008 top and now go look at weekly charts 2009 top.

we could well be at the start of a move to 1.000 or LOWER ...yes call me insane , but check out all postings I have done in last few weeks I am calling a doallr super cycle buy maybe to an all time high ....those volumes on the dollar index weekly over the last 8 weeks are not couase one day a bunch of traders decided to sdtart trading dx ... it is massive accumualtion by someone .. and volume that is the HIGHEST in 12 years is not designed for a $10 move in the doallr index. That volume is very simialr in nature to the volume we saw in lows 2008 on the dj .....I trade exclusively using VSA so know what i am talking about.

all over the news ' dollar collapse...blah blah blah' yet it turns out that euro to 1.5000 was just so that world banks could sell at discount.

my 2010 target euro is 1.15 to start and maybe parity

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Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #174,285
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:16pm Dec 18, 2009 1:16pm
Quoting 2+2=4ex
Skyzer, like it or not, America is and will continue to be greatest country on earth throughout your lifetime. Dollar is guaranteed world reserve currency status for at least the next 20 years. You should just accept it. I only say this so you can live a happier life. If you don't then that's fine too, not my problem.

Anyway, how many times did you have to replenish your account taking all those longs this week? .
I believe the Dollar is strong and will continue to be so as well.....but have you heard about the European and Asian countries who are trying to create a world reserve currency and crash the dollar? I do not believe this is impossible, just highly unlikely at the moment.
  • #174,286
  • Edited 1:28pm Dec 18, 2009 1:17pm | Edited 1:28pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
wow, this is too perfect
dont get to excited now..the good thing is weekly low is in a place where if it breaks..need to get the hell out..

gold and trendline helps asuming it doesnt break the trendline..this is a long shot..to say the least

indecision on dollar strength is good as well
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  • #174,287
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:25pm Dec 18, 2009 1:25pm
Quoting malcolmb14
anyone short with large drawdown beware

go look at weekly charts 2008 top and now go look at weekly charts 2009 top.

we could well be at the start of a move to 1.000 or LOWER ...yes call me insane , but check out all postings I have done in last few weeks I am calling a doallr super cycle buy maybe to an all time high ....those volumes on the dollar index weekly over the last 8 weeks are not couase one day a bunch of traders decided to sdtart trading dx ... it is massive accumualtion by someone .. and volume that is the HIGHEST in 12 years is...
Insider manipulation as I mentioned earlier. Well, we have enough interaction here to spot this and stay in the trend.....I would not get out anyway. Anyone thinking the EUR/USD will soon be USD/EUR? Just a thought, not a strong sentiment.
  • #174,288
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:28pm Dec 18, 2009 1:28pm
Quoting TaoTrader
Much of trading involves observing what the market is in the process of doing, not predicting what will happen. I'm sure you know this, and I am not against your thoughts here. However, I do believe the dollar is entering a period of relative strength. Any thoughts?
same as yours.. its just the beginning..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #174,289
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:30pm Dec 18, 2009 1:30pm
here is my chart.. if price stays in this channel then next stop would be somewhere around 50 fib
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Pation is the Holy Grail
  • #174,290
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:33pm Dec 18, 2009 1:33pm
Quoting TaoTrader
I believe the Dollar is strong and will continue to be so as well.....but have you heard about the European and Asian countries who are trying to create a world reserve currency and crash the dollar? I do not believe this is impossible, just highly unlikely at the moment.
If dollar doesn't strengthen I have told and will keep reminding we will see a repeat of 2008. Paul Samuelson said their will be a run on the dollar followed by a financial crisis, he was right. People hate the dollar but still use it to fund their investments. People borrowed and sold currencies they have never learnt about or even seen in their life such as swiss franc and yen. I mean common.
  • #174,291
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:38pm Dec 18, 2009 1:38pm
eu 1h chart
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  • #174,292
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:40pm Dec 18, 2009 1:40pm
Quoting TaoTrader
I believe the Dollar is strong and will continue to be so as well.....but have you heard about the European and Asian countries who are trying to create a world reserve currency and crash the dollar? I do not believe this is impossible, just highly unlikely at the moment.
He thought Euro would become world currency. Highly doubt it. It will not be around as long as dollar, that is not a radical assumption.
  • #174,293
  • Dec 18, 2009 1:43pm Dec 18, 2009 1:43pm
Quoting lloydblankfe
He thought Euro would become world currency. Highly doubt it. It will not be around as long as dollar, that is not a radical assumption.

what yah think of this:

http://www.actionforex.com/long-term...2009092496931/

http://www.actionforex.com/long-term...2009102098757/

any1 wanna break it down..i cant be bothered to read it all

"We are mindful of some downside risks that confront the greenback at present. First, the dollar faces some challenging technical factors including "the trend is your friend," and the current trend is clearly working against the greenback. As noted above, indications that the United States is not serious about addressing its fiscal challenges could be the catalyst that causes foreigners to significantly reduce their purchases of Treasury securities. Despite all the ink that has been spilled recently about the deterioration in the country's fiscal outlook, however, there is very little evidence to support the notion that foreigners, whether private investors or central banks, are refraining from buying U.S. Treasury securities at present."
  • #174,294
  • Dec 18, 2009 2:00pm Dec 18, 2009 2:00pm
Quoting nAVIN2007
what yah think of this:

http://www.actionforex.com/long-term...2009092496931/

http://www.actionforex.com/long-term...2009102098757/

any1 wanna break it down..i cant be bothered to read it all
yeah who knows.. i as well as many have a belief about many regiens of the world. that they have been fighting thousands of years so nothing is new. they will continue to fight thousands of more years. such as the mid east. thats what they do..

but if i think about it. so has europe.. so what changes this. are they all united by this new miracle cure that cures athletes foot and gonorea called the euro? its just paper right? then i think hey they had a currency like this when all these wars were going on. it was called gold. so what has changed? you got the weak wanting what the strong have. you got the strong wanting what the weak have. in that big happy family, people fight.. shit happens.. paper only worth what its backed up with. at least gold dont burn..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #174,295
  • Dec 18, 2009 2:05pm Dec 18, 2009 2:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
yeah who knows.. i as well as many have a belief about many regiens of the world. that they have been fighting thousands of years so nothing is new. they will continue to fight thousands of more years. such as the mid east. thats what they do..

but if i think about it. so has europe.. so what changes this. are they all united by this new miracle cure that cures athletes foot and gonorea called the euro? its just paper right? then i think hey they had a currency like this when all these wars were going on. it was called gold. so what has changed?...
yes thats what i think..money can be worthless especailly in this shit hole we in..at least with gold its solid and always considered to an investment..

on the televisions here in UK u got all these adverts saying.."need money sell gold - we buy the gold off u"

gold up = euro up

who the hell knows

not sure if u noticed the doji at resistance and the buying pressure..was very strong...someone interested
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  • #174,296
  • Dec 18, 2009 2:15pm Dec 18, 2009 2:15pm
and check how interesting this is on a weekly for gold..hrmmm something is cooking
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  • #174,297
  • Dec 18, 2009 2:27pm Dec 18, 2009 2:27pm
Is that a doji forming on the daily chart? And with the weekly candle already touching the 50 ema earlier this morning, I'm beginning to think about closing my only open short that's worth 180 pips now, since I don't want to risk this going above 1.4375. Any suggestions?
  • #174,298
  • Dec 18, 2009 2:28pm Dec 18, 2009 2:28pm
Well, I have surrendered my longs. I was able to scalp a little along the way so the damage was not too bad. I did give back a nice chunck of my gains from the last 3 months, but I had to follow my system, admit defeat and close out. That is it for me for the year.... I do not trade the last 2 weeks of December. Just to dangerous IMHO. Happy Holidays to all and God Bless. I'll be back in early January.
  • #174,299
  • Dec 18, 2009 2:30pm Dec 18, 2009 2:30pm
Quoting JanPoko
Man, do you really believe all that crap? With the debt probably greater than America is worth? Do you believe that your creditors will just write those trillions off and kiss you good bye?
You seem to be another person who likely does not understand economics, the American economy, or the dynamics of the U.S. national debt. I wouldn't be surprised if you do not like America either. The U.S is still the most credit worthy country in the world, the U.S. national debt is over-rated, and the dollar will continue to rise regardless of the debt. Do some research before you talk about America, because you seem to be unaware of what is really going on.
  • #174,300
  • Dec 18, 2009 2:30pm Dec 18, 2009 2:30pm
Quoting nAVIN2007
what yah think of this:
This thing ($USD) going lower than ever.

Not Entering right now though it's a Friday. Will build

Long position next week.

EURO R-Strength 4.8 now vs USD 3.8
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