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  • #173,321
  • Edited 3:12am Dec 17, 2009 3:11am | Edited 3:12am
Quoting Why Oh Why
3-month 25-delta risk reversals are at their most bearish since October, 08. Clearly many are betting on further EURUSD weakness.
Above was from 37 hours ago. I closed my multiple shorts and went in again every 10 from 1.458.Holding. Last 1.439.
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Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd4.gif Size: 17 KB
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #173,322
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:11am Dec 17, 2009 3:11am
Quoting Driver55
The analysts are at the bar.. at the moment
I dont like this, they even come to late to report the numbers....
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #173,323
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:14am Dec 17, 2009 3:14am
Quoting Driver55
jay .. all the news about Greece, (Spain will be the next, and then Ireland), are time bombs that are detonated with precision.
Well who you believe that these things can benefit?

All this serves the United States
mmmhh ... why would a strong usd benefit the us? with all their debts? on the contrary, wouldn't a weak eur benfit the e-zone? wasn't trichet etc. the first to clamor about usd being 2 weak? i just don't get it! kindly clarify!
  • #173,324
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:15am Dec 17, 2009 3:15am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
Well I'll be damned. 80% is about right for month of January the last 10 years (actually 72.73% if including 2009).

Here are the stats:

1999- Year High
2000- Year High
2001- Year High
2002- Year Low
2003- Year Low
2004- Neither
2005- Year High
2006- Year Low
2007- Year Low
2008- Neither
2009- Neither
You know this is speculation. Just like technical and fundamental analysis are speculation when you approach them from specific angles. However, I firmly believe and understand that the market is natural, organic, and unfolds in regularly recurring patterns.
  • #173,325
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:17am Dec 17, 2009 3:17am
Quoting TaoTrader
You know this is speculation. Just like technical and fundamental analysis are speculation when you approach them from specific angles. However, I firmly believe and understand that the market is natural, organic, and unfolds in regularly recurring patterns.
Yes of course. I wonder if this pattern gives any credence to those traders in the astrology and planetary cycle thread?, hehehe.
  • #173,326
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:17am Dec 17, 2009 3:17am
Quoting Driver55
if the market breaks the low, I go to the bar and knock the Barkeeper
you should buy ur barkeeper a drink next time you see him
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #173,327
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:18am Dec 17, 2009 3:18am
Italian Unemployment Rate http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...tail_alert.gif 7.8% 7.7% 7.5%http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...us_revised.gif
  • #173,328
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:19am Dec 17, 2009 3:19am
[quote=hano78;3312822]guys i need answer plzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz[/quo

Dangerous whether you are a day, swing, or position trader.
  • #173,329
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:19am Dec 17, 2009 3:19am
Quoting Trading Cat
yes pretty much Germany and Malta half and half and just recently 3 years in Australia. I am aiming to stay here now and live of my trading.
Hi Cat. I just saw you're in Malta. My home is in Mosta. I've just got back from a couple of months in Jakarta and I'm now in Brighton UK. I'm I'm France for Christmas and then back to Malta early January. Where were you in Malta?
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #173,330
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:19am Dec 17, 2009 3:19am
Quoting Trading Cat
what happened to the Italian unemployment numbers??? will they be reported or not??
there up a little

7.8%
7.7%7.5%http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...us_revised.gif
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #173,331
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:20am Dec 17, 2009 3:20am
Quoting Driver55
if the market breaks the low, I go to the bar and knock the Barkeeper
Lmfao!!! Man, I've just close a short in cable...I have my nerves to the roof!! I read your post and began to laugh...man thank you!! lol!!! I'll take a break to take a deep breath...what a day "at job" my god!!
  • #173,332
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:20am Dec 17, 2009 3:20am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
Yes of course. I wonder if this pattern gives any credence to those traders in the astrology and planetary cycle thread?, hehehe.
Interesting.
  • #173,333
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:20am Dec 17, 2009 3:20am
Quoting Trading Cat
you should buy ur barkeeper a drink next time you see him

let's see

PS: I phoned the bar under my house ... the barkeeper said that we are going to 4444 with a protective SL at 4355
The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #173,334
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:21am Dec 17, 2009 3:21am
Got a bounce, but is it just setting up for a charge down ??? If we don't go down to retest 4375 then we should see some retracement to at least 4409.
  • #173,335
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:22am Dec 17, 2009 3:22am
Quoting hano78
guys i need answer plzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
You may have the chance for your long , price may go 1.4429 or above as 1.4365 intact .going outside so all pending shorts at higher levels done & go. see you all in the evening.

fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #173,336
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:23am Dec 17, 2009 3:23am
Quoting Why Oh Why
Hi Cat. I just saw you're in Malta. My home is in Mosta. I've just got back from a couple of months in Jakarta and I'm now in Brighton UK. I'm I'm France for Christmas and then back to Malta early January. Where were you in Malta?
I am in Qawra its beautiful outside and sunny.

Will go outside and enjoy the sun for a while I believe Drivers barkeeper and dont see it dropping again.

Cu guys later
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #173,337
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:32am Dec 17, 2009 3:32am
gbp had a nice lower pop..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #173,338
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:33am Dec 17, 2009 3:33am
Quoting Driver55
if the market breaks the low, I go to the bar and knock the Barkeeper

what is your target?

I hope to offload my longs between 1.47-1.48

I then enter shorts from that level targeting 1.3850 from where i think the big up move will continue..
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #173,339
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:36am Dec 17, 2009 3:36am
Not yet correct time for longs, it will come down a bit, around 1.4350 area or so. 4h tf suggest bull div but its not quite oversold yet.

I dont suggest to trade against trend but this a chance to get some pips and then short later on more.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #173,340
  • Dec 17, 2009 3:37am Dec 17, 2009 3:37am
The daily candle for the EUR/USD, which is still bearish from 1.5100, is at very interesting point at the moment. If 1.4100 is broken, then we should expect a fall to 1.43xxx
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