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  • #172,281
  • Dec 15, 2009 11:52am Dec 15, 2009 11:52am
pulled a 15m predictive and got 4296.. many things such as 200 ema and other fibs mentioned to stop it. i post what the math says. its not my opinion. still have to get past the fib at 4510... oct chart will be exausted soon. if move continues at 41xx.. ill see if extention works or will go to next chart if needed. this is what chart predicted was going to be low in october. this is why i said chart was bearish and put me on the bearish side. when moves went higher an extention using this chart placed all the tops at a level within a pip. chart works but as always s/r will trump it. and we usaully over shoot a few. also if it is reached it usaully becomes strong s/r.... i did a march chart and i did have to extend it. but we stopped at levels and one was the 2008 top...

good luck
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #172,282
  • Dec 15, 2009 11:55am Dec 15, 2009 11:55am
Quoting Clouds
for those buying just look at weekly chart again
I know. weekly&daily trendlines has been broken. if I take a look at chart, it starts in the top left corner and ends in the bottom right corner, so the market is going down. it's a fact.

but 2 weeks ago we had a high at around 5140. now we are at around 4510. that is more than 600 pips.

I do think that some correction should come.

if it comes later, then I was wrong and will learn my lesson.
  • #172,283
  • Dec 15, 2009 11:57am Dec 15, 2009 11:57am
Quoting sibajnok
I know. weekly&daily trendlines has been broken. if I take a look at chart, it starts in the top left corner and ends in the bottom right corner, so the market is going down. it's a fact.

but 2 weeks ago we had a high at around 5140. now we are at around 4510. that is more than 600 pips.

I do think that some correction should come.

if it comes later, then I was wrong and will learn my lesson.
Watch for a correction
  • #172,284
  • Dec 15, 2009 11:59am Dec 15, 2009 11:59am
Quoting kingfisher
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/The-Fe...42386.html?x=0



The Fed will hike rates -- in 2011

 

  1. <LI class=byline>By Chris Isidore, senior writer
  2. On 7:53 am EST, Tuesday December 15, 2009

It appears 0% is here for the foreseeable future.


A year ago, the Federal Reserve took its key overnight lending rate, the fed funds rate, down to near 0% for the first time in its history in an effort to keep the economy from falling into depression.

The cheap money meant lower...

i hope you realise that there are other ways to acomplish stronger usd without changing rates.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #172,285
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:02pm Dec 15, 2009 12:02pm
re-test 46xx-463x
  • #172,286
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:15pm Dec 15, 2009 12:15pm
have we found a tendline bounce..i doubt it..but who knows
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  • #172,287
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:16pm Dec 15, 2009 12:16pm
Quoting swingtrader
traders never look market with same views

just take a look on GBPUSD chart for example.

6230 has been a magic number for days now.

if someone went long around that level, could have closed in green easily.

if someone went short around that level, could have closed in green easily.

different views, both could be winner.
  • #172,288
  • Edited 12:32pm Dec 15, 2009 12:20pm | Edited 12:32pm
Quoting sibajnok
just take a look on GBPUSD chart for example.

6230 has been a magic number for days now.

if someone went long around that level, could have closed in green easily.

if someone went short around that level, could have closed in green easily.

different views, both could be winner.
cause its bouncing around 200 daily ema and 200 sma
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #172,289
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:36pm Dec 15, 2009 12:36pm
Quote
just take a look on GBPUSD chart for example.

6230 has been a magic number for days now.

if someone went long around that level, could have closed in green easily.

if someone went short around that level, could have closed in green easily.

different views, both could be winner.
Good observation.

and if someone has taken one long and one short positions at 6230, he/she would have earned both ways in this random chaos where prices keep moving up and down.
  • #172,290
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:37pm Dec 15, 2009 12:37pm
Quoting Why Oh Why
As we're below 1.4524 I'm now looking at 1.447 & 1.441. Although the RSI is well directed and we were rebounding on the channel lower boundary I still favour adding further shorts. Holding from 1.4676. Last 1.4511.
But the RSI is now capped by a bearish trend line. Still holding. Last 1.4516.

http://www.tradingcentral.com/chart/...1215191409.GIF

Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #172,291
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:40pm Dec 15, 2009 12:40pm
Quoting kingfisher
Good observation.

and if someone has taken one long and one short positions at 6230, he/she would have earned both ways in this random chaos where prices keep moving up and down.


by the way it should break out from this range soon. at latest on Wednesday by the steam of news that everone expect.
  • #172,292
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:41pm Dec 15, 2009 12:41pm
It's JUST touched the weekly R1. Careful, it might bounce back a fair way before it continues down. Not sure!! I've never specialized in the EURUSD a lot. It's more of a proxy for me, but I'm still interested in it.
|/ Dream as if you'll live forever... Live as if you'll die today. \|
  • #172,293
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:41pm Dec 15, 2009 12:41pm
my expectation
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  • #172,294
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:45pm Dec 15, 2009 12:45pm
Quoting Optimum
my expectation
Not this week.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #172,295
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:56pm Dec 15, 2009 12:56pm
Though not trading now & will not place at this night time here too. Just sees how eu doing right now . If the price go above 1.4523 it can go to a considerable up but assuming it may not break up that line or stall long time & march to much lower level .
good night trade well. will join next morning again .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #172,296
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:56pm Dec 15, 2009 12:56pm
3-month 25-delta risk reversals are at their most bearish since October, 08. Clearly many are betting on further EURUSD weakness.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #172,297
  • Dec 15, 2009 12:57pm Dec 15, 2009 12:57pm
Quoting nAVIN2007
have we found a tendline bounce..i doubt it..but who knows
Hello nAVIN2007. Don't take it personal, but I don't really understand the logic of you trading style.."i doubt it..but who knows?" It's real money in action or will be some day. If you doubt it, why do you even bother..??
Twitter: MrC_Forex ; Facebook: /pages/MrC-Forex/197693770247397
  • #172,298
  • Dec 15, 2009 1:04pm Dec 15, 2009 1:04pm
Quoting Why Oh Why
3-month 25-delta risk reversals are at their most bearish since October, 08. Clearly many are betting on further EURUSD weakness.
But SSI is now at an impressive 2 traders long for every one that is short. Crowds are buying hard into this decline. But I'm still holding short.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #172,299
  • Dec 15, 2009 1:04pm Dec 15, 2009 1:04pm
found a "possible" trendline for usd/chf
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  • #172,300
  • Dec 15, 2009 1:14pm Dec 15, 2009 1:14pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
Absolutely agree. The Only thing that keeping it afloat is Reserve Currency

status, but this could all change soon. I'm thinking how much money

Chinese already lost due to Dollar devaluation.. Billions and Billions
China has actually gained, mate you guys really need to think sometimes, Treasurys are only 800 billion dollars or something like that of the 2 trillion dollars of currency. If dollar falls and other currencies rise then they are richer. However it is their fault for not offloading their treasuries when they rallied, now dollar is falling and treasuries will too making them net loosers.

Please China is just concerned about the long term picture.
What about all the exports it has boosted to Europe through pegging its currency to dollar and dollar loosing ground to Euro.
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