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  • #171,181
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:08am Dec 11, 2009 10:08am
That's one of the examples drop on Dubai news pair EJ

Run about 500 (Extreme) pips below 200 MA and back above

(Pink Line 200 MA) TF 4H
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Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #171,182
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:08am Dec 11, 2009 10:08am
I am not ready to call the uptrend over...but we are close. Solid below 1.4600 I will look at trend change. That does not mean downtrend, though. We could range sideways for a long time between 1.4480 and 1.5150. Lot of money to be made ranging. Down trend would be pretty certain below 1.4480. Good trades to all!
  • #171,183
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:13am Dec 11, 2009 10:13am
I see strength coming back to the market. I see bears are getting exhausted by looking at lower TF's PA like 30M. Those long tails of candles are signs of market strength.

Note that it's Friday today and it's possible that market jumps right off 1.4600 heavily and shoots up building a "V" shape recovery.

I'm personally starting to build small long position, first one established at 1.4606 and targeting 1.4700 and above.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #171,184
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:14am Dec 11, 2009 10:14am
Quoting FX-Petra
I am not ready to call the uptrend over...but we are close. Solid below 1.4600 I will look at trend change. That does not mean downtrend, though. We could range sideways for a long time between 1.4480 and 1.5150. Lot of money to be made ranging. Down trend would be pretty certain below 1.4480. Good trades to all!

I am With you sir, Perfectly said.
Fools Rushing
  • #171,185
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:17am Dec 11, 2009 10:17am
good analyze !
Nothing is True Everything is Permitted
  • #171,186
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:17am Dec 11, 2009 10:17am
Quoting FX-Petra
I am not ready to call the uptrend over...but we are close. Solid below 1.4600 I will look at trend change. That does not mean downtrend, though. We could range sideways for a long time between 1.4480 and 1.5150. Lot of money to be made ranging. Down trend would be pretty certain below 1.4480. Good trades to all!
nope.. still early in this one.. and when the old timers read the weekly candles after today.. it should give next week legs..and so on
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #171,187
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:22am Dec 11, 2009 10:22am
Quoting SkyzerFX
That's one of the examples drop on Dubai news pair EJ

Run about 500 (Extreme) pips below 200 MA and back above

(Pink Line 200 MA) TF 4H
this move was on your charts for months well before dubai.. its just most were using there ears to trade and lost sight of it..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #171,188
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:24am Dec 11, 2009 10:24am
I put a order Buy Limit @1,4580 without SL and TP@1,4660 (+/- 50% fibo correction)
"Por mais fundo que seja o buraco, pelo menos esse não tem terra em cima"
  • #171,189
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:28am Dec 11, 2009 10:28am
wow! my bad some longs taken few hrs back get sl hit & there was great movements down . glad to see broken 1.4623 level successfully that conform the great trend change . Now tp set for shorts 1.4114 ( 38.2% fib ) & immediate stop can be 23.6% fib 1.45.
my 1.34 coming to true .wave counts also updated.
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #171,190
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:32am Dec 11, 2009 10:32am
Quoting fontu
wow! my bad some longs taken few hrs back get sl hit & there was great movements down . glad to see broken 1.4623 level successfully that conform the great trend change . Now tp set for shorts 1.4114 ( 38.2% fib ) & immediate stop can be 23.6% fib 1.45.
my 1.34 coming to true .wave counts also updated.
fontu
I'm anticipating a pullback due to the steep angle of the price action. I've locked in some profit and moved my stop to BE+ for my short above 1.5000. I'll look to add to the position upon pullback formation and downtrend resumption.
  • #171,191
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:37am Dec 11, 2009 10:37am
check out other idis like stochastic. this does not happen often.. even JW's parobolic weekly rolled over.. so we should be ok for a few weeks/months maybe years ect..

oh well i tried..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #171,192
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:38am Dec 11, 2009 10:38am
If we can close above 4625 or so, I am going to hang with my targets above 1.5100. If not, I am going to start managing my trades from 4625, 4680, and 4750 to get out of them. Let's see where the daily close leaves us. This baby is pretty oversold on a short-term basis. Likley some shorts will take profit before close and help us move up a little. Good trades to all.
  • #171,193
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:44am Dec 11, 2009 10:44am
hi

have anybody read the numbers, nov +1.3 expected +0.6
october +1.1 after +1.4

but oktober is the worst month for retail in the year.
next month we will read dec + 1.5 expected +0.9
nov +1.0 after 1.3
and we will clap the hands again

or better how to do price action without using money.

i know it doesnt matter the action is the action.

birnbaum
  • #171,194
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:45am Dec 11, 2009 10:45am
Quoting PriceVolume
I'm anticipating a pullback due to the steep angle of the price action. I've locked in some profit and moved my stop to BE+ for my short above 1.5000. I'll look to add to the position upon pullback formation and downtrend resumption.
may be a little now should be insignificant. I see the weekly chart bottom of the channel can be for little retracement at 1.4543 but as monthly channel already broken down at the bottom it also may not hold. so a free fall with just fibs may be enough this time .

fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #171,195
  • Edited 11:03am Dec 11, 2009 10:52am | Edited 11:03am
Quoting FX-Petra
If we can close above 4625 or so, I am going to hang with my targets above 1.5100. If not, I am going to start managing my trades from 4625, 4680, and 4750 to get out of them. Let's see where the daily close leaves us. This baby is pretty oversold on a short-term basis. Likley some shorts will take profit before close and help us move up a little. Good trades to all.
Yeah , you should be right & the last hope for the bull that market if not close below 1.4625. I see E wave even overlapping each other when the close again come below overlapping line in higher tf. so my last longs at 1.4771 ( overlapping at 1.4767) also not worked & lost.
thanks .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #171,196
  • Dec 11, 2009 10:55am Dec 11, 2009 10:55am
16.12.2009 Federal Funds Rate

that day and sonrasınra euro will rise. This decreases its correction, preparation. euro 1.50 and over again that you can try
  • #171,197
  • Dec 11, 2009 11:04am Dec 11, 2009 11:04am
levels. i posted some off this chart last night they worked.. as always between levels look for 50% marks. 50% are part of system.. . some are lettered they are more important. the c is just as importent as the blue numberd levels. i didnt put historic levels yet... historic levels can trump this chart. if levels work we are in a bearish move.. all info taken from bearish numbers..this is a 4000 pip chart so i doubt it plays out.. but IF we go down to 1.04XX. chart can easilly be extended.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #171,198
  • Dec 11, 2009 11:07am Dec 11, 2009 11:07am
For last trade of the week I went long @4600.

I don't expect wonders, it's just seems to be good for scalping 15-20 pips.
  • #171,199
  • Dec 11, 2009 11:09am Dec 11, 2009 11:09am
Quoting PriceVolume
I'm anticipating a pullback due to the steep angle of the price action. I've locked in some profit and moved my stop to BE+ for my short above 1.5000. I'll look to add to the position upon pullback formation and downtrend resumption.
Has anybody run across a good volume based EA?
Life's a bitch....so be a dog and cover it!
  • #171,200
  • Dec 11, 2009 11:15am Dec 11, 2009 11:15am
Likley many shorts were taken on the break of 4625... with stops above. If we can go high enough to hit them, that should give a little push upward and take some pressure off the downside.
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