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  • #171,001
  • Dec 11, 2009 5:58am Dec 11, 2009 5:58am
Quoting hoden123
i think it will hit 1.4800 soon
I'm looking to sell any EUR.USD rallies to the 1.48000 area after the US Retail Sales data.

GT to all FF members

JgrB
  • #171,002
  • Dec 11, 2009 5:58am Dec 11, 2009 5:58am
Good Morning to all!!!!!


I read the posts and i not understand the people positions... how you can say 1,49 or 1,50 today... and resistances is gone?? If you remember 1,4830 it was agreat Support a 1 week ago, and now this value is not a resistance anymore?? Do You forgot all things in Forex? Support -> Resistance and than Resistance became a Support. IN MY oppinion we are in a UP MOmment (YES is TRUE) but the bullish mommentum is not a rigth term yet. We must wait a break of 1,4844 in my oppinion to tak a long term position. below 1,4844 i think that we still in a bearish term.

Best Regards
"Por mais fundo que seja o buraco, pelo menos esse não tem terra em cima"
  • #171,003
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:04am Dec 11, 2009 6:04am
Quoting Mr J
I think we're pretty likely to see north of 1.50 again in the shorterm. Plus there's a lot of people shorting here .
Price has broken through the 1.4753 area (a significant area, if you can read real price action) it will most likely come back to retest this level before making a further upward move.
Good Trading. (keep it simple).
  • #171,004
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:04am Dec 11, 2009 6:04am
ECB President trichet speaks!! The eurusd is starting to really go up now!! LOL!
  • #171,005
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:11am Dec 11, 2009 6:11am
Quoting QuickSilver
ECB President trichet speaks!! The eurusd is starting to really go up now!! LOL!
or not!!! i believe in big moves just with retail sales data (13h30 GMT)
"Por mais fundo que seja o buraco, pelo menos esse não tem terra em cima"
  • #171,006
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:11am Dec 11, 2009 6:11am
Quoting QuickSilver
ECB President trichet speaks!! The eurusd is starting to really go up now!! LOL!
[ECB'S CONSTANCIO] is sounding a little bearish on the economy, echoing his colleague Bini-Smaghi, in observing that while the Eurozone economy has stabilised there are doubts surrounding the sustainability of that recovery. Constancio is not holding back and says that it is difficult to predict if there will be a double dip recession ahead. The Portuguese central banker/ECB governing council member also confirms he is in the running for the VP post to replace current incumbent Papademos, who retires early in 2010, with Mersch and Belgium's CB executive director Praet also in the shortlist. Back to Bini-Smaghi, the policymaker adds that a rapid recovery in economic activity at pre-crisis rates of growth seems improbable at this stage and expects inflation at just over 1% for the next 2 years, reaffirming our view that i/rates are likely to remain low for the foreseeable future.

ok
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #171,007
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:11am Dec 11, 2009 6:11am
Quoting TripeiroFX

We must wait a break of 1,4844 in my oppinion to tak a long term position. below 1,4844 i think that we still in a bearish term.

Best Regards
Now 1.4765-70 looks like a high although EUR can continue uptrend to 1.4800.
IMHO , while we below 1.4800 correction down to 1.4700 is expected.
A break 1.4800 above = bullish move.
  • #171,008
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:14am Dec 11, 2009 6:14am
there are going to be a hell of a lot of people trying to get the close back up into that LT up trend line this evening.... if not its going to be a quick trip south past 1.46...

im waiting like Jasper just pointed out, to take a longer term position long around 14750 with a stop loss of 14670
  • #171,009
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:15am Dec 11, 2009 6:15am
I think that a big big bull trap is planning since 2 days and by the end of the day it will sink till .453x

Enjoy
  • #171,010
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:16am Dec 11, 2009 6:16am
Quoting Pln
there won't be a bounce back to 1,47 .. everybody is waiting for it ;] and selling.... instead of buying...

and there isn't any massive seller at the moment... can't you see how easily it's going up ?
can't you see how difficult it is trying to go up? No serious buyers at the moment IMO ...
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #171,011
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:17am Dec 11, 2009 6:17am
Well if this resistance does not get broken now, i'm shorting. It might be a dead market anyway for the next 1,25 hour.

Could be crazy after the news... but so far it seems noone has a clear idea as to what to do. (I'm still on the EUR side at the moment, since it's a good question when will the US rise the rates...).

But I'll be out of the market if my trailing SL on the long (@1,4758) gets hit.Correction - I got out @ 1,4767 manually. No point in waiting it out.
Greed and impatience are our greatest enemies.
  • #171,012
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:22am Dec 11, 2009 6:22am
back , i see my pending buy order triggered at 1.4771, placed over 1.4767 to have my confirmation it to actually going up. anyway may not so strong as up but should be some at least.now also placed lower levels & doubt it may even fall to 1.4739 again.
signal was buy & so buy .

fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #171,013
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:28am Dec 11, 2009 6:28am
Eh... touched 1.4774 not .75, where is da spike? Did
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #171,014
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:28am Dec 11, 2009 6:28am
Quoting fontu
back , i see my pending buy order triggered at 1.4771, placed over 1.4767 to have my confirmation it to actually going up. anyway may not so strong as up but should be some at least.now also placed lower levels & doubt it may even fall to 1.4739 again.
signal was buy & so buy .

fontu
Good to go!
  • #171,015
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:30am Dec 11, 2009 6:30am
Guys this is my 4h and D1 Charts, i believe that we could be test the resistance @ 1,4820/44 and if not broken the fall is a evident scenario. as you can see
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"Por mais fundo que seja o buraco, pelo menos esse não tem terra em cima"
  • #171,016
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:40am Dec 11, 2009 6:40am
Just shaved off about half my longs and now expecting a little retrace to load back up near 1.4745
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #171,017
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:42am Dec 11, 2009 6:42am
Quoting Z3iz3i
Yes, "absolutely" it will go up but i think it has to come down a bit before it staying above 1.4700 though.

There is a nice divergence without played out yet, waiting that.
And what i see is 1 hr tf and 4 hr tf is closing overbought areas as well. Same thing with gold.

I trust more technical aspects, not news.

Ofc i could be wrong, not feeling so confident this so staying out and observing.
could come into play this....... a strong correction down to 720 and then a sustained run at breaking 770 800 820.... we will see, im short for the correction and then looking to play my longs
  • #171,018
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:42am Dec 11, 2009 6:42am
Quoting fontu
back , i see my pending buy order triggered at 1.4771, placed over 1.4767 to have my confirmation it to actually going up. anyway may not so strong as up but should be some at least.now also placed lower levels & doubt it may even fall to 1.4739 again.
signal was buy & so buy .

fontu
Hey bro
How r u today?
Nice to see you
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...28#post3297828
  • #171,019
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:47am Dec 11, 2009 6:47am
dx triangle at bottom now.. decision time..
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  • #171,020
  • Dec 11, 2009 6:56am Dec 11, 2009 6:56am
my 1hr tf shows stochastics just edging into oversold area.. previous oversold touches have resulted in around 50 pip pullback to the lower rising trendline...if it pulls back could hit it around 14720........

have chosen to wait out until the news in half an hour though as trichet could just send it up ignoring all this
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