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  • #168,741
  • Dec 4, 2009 8:49am Dec 4, 2009 8:49am
back to reality on the equities. I guess ppl realized unemployment at 10% is a fog created by the govt. But, I think we will see back to highs towards the end of the day. EU at critical juncture any weekeley close below the current lvls and we may see an acceleration. However we may see EU back to previous highs mid next week and for the the rest of the yr. They are just spiking it low so that they can buy it cheaper
  • #168,742
  • Dec 4, 2009 8:50am Dec 4, 2009 8:50am
everything will go down, dow, gold, euro, yen
2010 will be the mighty US dollar year, it just started
  • #168,743
  • Dec 4, 2009 8:51am Dec 4, 2009 8:51am
a.m. broken risk coorelation, p.m., back on ???? Selling on today's news evident, but makes me wonder how legitimate the -11k US jobs number is.
USD carry trade unwinding??? I doubt it -too soon, but the FX markets are trading that way... see if the markets get back to the norm in a little while. Either way - Now things get interesting. Long from avg 4916
  • #168,744
  • Dec 4, 2009 8:52am Dec 4, 2009 8:52am
Do you really think this kind of move specially at these levels will bounce again like before and hit 1.5200 like V ... I don't think so.

Look at H4 chart. Then look at daily PA. If the H4 candle closes below that daily TL (1.4890) which we are below it right now, it means (to me of course) that EU is almost done.

Although we might see some small retraces. Normally market doesn't continue after a daily TL break at first attempt.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #168,745
  • Dec 4, 2009 8:52am Dec 4, 2009 8:52am
dow will be 200 points down by 5 PM if not even more
Tango Shojic
  • #168,746
  • Dec 4, 2009 8:54am Dec 4, 2009 8:54am
Just closed all of my shorts. Done for the day with some really nice profits! Have a great weekend!
  • #168,747
  • Dec 4, 2009 8:55am Dec 4, 2009 8:55am
Quoting TraderMark
a.m. broken risk coorelation, p.m., back on ???? Selling on today's news evident, but makes me wonder how legitimate the -11k US jobs number is.
USD carry trade unwinding??? I doubt it -too soon, but the FX markets are trading that way... see if the markets get back to the norm in a little while. Either way - Now things get interesting. Long from avg 4916
Yeah I was noticing the same thing and still trying to process it. Equities up, dollar up. Equities down, dollar up. I'll stay in until trend is actually broken though, which it hasn't been on daily, weekly, or monthly TFs
  • #168,748
  • Dec 4, 2009 8:56am Dec 4, 2009 8:56am
Quoting ziko123
everything will go down, dow, gold, euro, yen
2010 will be the mighty US dollar year, it just started
a little early for that. when the party hats go on the rug gets pulled. lets see where the week closes.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #168,749
  • Dec 4, 2009 8:56am Dec 4, 2009 8:56am
Quoting plan-b
The only question you should ask yourself when entering a trade is how much you are willing to risk to find out if your analysis is right.


there is nothing wrong with a position at 1.4980 if you are willing to risk 200 and target 500..nothing has happened so far to say trend has turned
Longs after today, will be counter trending.
You will see it and next week where we will be.
  • #168,750
  • Dec 4, 2009 8:58am Dec 4, 2009 8:58am
Nice, Oanda seems to be down. Anyone else having same problem? I can go to any other website but Oanda, lol
  • #168,751
  • Dec 4, 2009 9:00am Dec 4, 2009 9:00am
Quoting Protogenos
Nice, Oanda seems to be down. Anyone else having same problem? I can go to any other website but Oanda, lol

weird been using Oanda all day, no probs so far - just checked and can access their site too..
  • #168,752
  • Dec 4, 2009 9:01am Dec 4, 2009 9:01am
Quoting Protogenos
Nice, Oanda seems to be down. Anyone else having same problem? I can go to any other website but Oanda, lol
hi just logged into my account no probelms......maybe try now. im in uk if this helps ?
  • #168,753
  • Dec 4, 2009 9:01am Dec 4, 2009 9:01am
Quoting Protogenos
Nice, Oanda seems to be down. Anyone else having same problem? I can go to any other website but Oanda, lol
I'm having no problems with OandA (live acct).
  • #168,754
  • Dec 4, 2009 9:01am Dec 4, 2009 9:01am
We will be in 1.51xx area within a week, retracement is inevitable due to high volatility. My money is on long positions I picked up today. I appreciate opinions regardless of the bias, in the end it’s all about the money.
  • #168,755
  • Dec 4, 2009 9:02am Dec 4, 2009 9:02am
Quoting Allanuk
hi just logged into my account no probelms......maybe try now. im in uk if this helps ?
Still not able, nor my office mate who is trading. Must be something local. Thanks though, and you too GulfCoastPip
  • #168,756
  • Dec 4, 2009 9:02am Dec 4, 2009 9:02am
Arezab, historically speaking dollar has been pretty bearish in Dec and I think seller are around that level of high 1.52 levles. 1st and 2nd weeks of Dec are going to be false moves. Mid Dec to 2nd week of Jan we will see this thing go to the higher levels we are testing the TL support line and in my opinion they are going to test it and as I mentinoed earlier any close below thie level will take us back to 1.47 levels. and from there it is going to spike to higher 1.51 levels. We just had a test of it and bounced a little bit. Tells me we are going to stay here for a little bit. We may have a flase break of this on mon-tue but thats about it. I could be totaly wrong on this but thats what I am seeing.
  • #168,757
  • Dec 4, 2009 9:03am Dec 4, 2009 9:03am
Quoting Protogenos
Still not able, nor my office mate who is trading. Must be something local. Thanks though, and you too GulfCoastPip
dont know if this helps but i my demo account i cannot log into but live is fine...
  • #168,758
  • Dec 4, 2009 9:04am Dec 4, 2009 9:04am
Quoting Makedon
dow will be 200 points down by 5 PM if not even more
only down 12 now. should i stock up on canned goods?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #168,759
  • Dec 4, 2009 9:04am Dec 4, 2009 9:04am
Quoting BoredToLoose
Longs after today, will be counter trending.
You will see it and next week where we will be.
Since you know the future, how about all this 2012 stuff? Should I be worried? Thanks in advance.
  • #168,760
  • Dec 4, 2009 9:04am Dec 4, 2009 9:04am
1/2 positions ready for long from 4872 - 4882

still have one short open from 1.5124, closed the others
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