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  • #164,541
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:09am Nov 23, 2009 7:09am
Quoting franco73
yeah i got in on that but i shut all my longs coz 499 made nervous

I got out a lot earlier, once i have 100 on eu and around 150 in gu its usually enough for me
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #164,542
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:11am Nov 23, 2009 7:11am
Well the momentum's still not strong enough to break new highs, but on the radio this morning listening to Jim Blake, he says typically this time of year, especially during the holidays, trends will follow through...
In Charts We Trust!
  • #164,543
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:11am Nov 23, 2009 7:11am
Quoting Xaron
What about the retrace to 1.48 on Friday? That was just a beautiful long entry possibility.
Xaron, we are in front of battle, if 1,50 is not broken, we can see EU get low values again, and 1,4800 could be test.... but i believe that up is the way
"Por mais fundo que seja o buraco, pelo menos esse não tem terra em cima"
  • #164,544
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:12am Nov 23, 2009 7:12am
When the Dow and EU decouple which is going to happen sooner or later, what are the Dow controlling the EU theorists gonna do?
  • #164,545
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:13am Nov 23, 2009 7:13am
Quoting peyman
something independently push dow & S&p to higher and higher what is it?
Carry traders borrowing cheap Dollars. Could end badly. I guess they bet Fed can control interest rates but it definitely looks like a huge inverse head and shoulder staring to break out. Bad news for leveraged carries.

http://www.businessinsider.com/where...auldin-2009-11
  • #164,546
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:16am Nov 23, 2009 7:16am
Fund liquidation to lock in profits and lock in end of year bonuses...watch out
  • #164,547
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:16am Nov 23, 2009 7:16am
Quoting gatorinla
this can be a brutal week. it has been in the past for many traders.. something big is around the corner. the trend is up. but you can flip a coin when oil gets above 80. i was looking for 82 for a while now.. hang on if you dont have to trade it may be best to see what happens..
its your account so dont let anyone bs into a trade.


The [NHO] - Norway's main business lobby group, expects weaker economic growth in 2010 than predicted by the CB and govt, suggesting that weaker forecasts for oil investment and private consumption are the reasons...
housing sales should have pushed us much higher.. then we are. 15 min. in and we are slightly lower then when anounced. weird


[DEBT FUTURES HIT BY DOUBLE WHAMMY] on the back of a hugely larger-than-expected rise in US Existing Home Sales, while UK paper was smacked on the first of this week's BoE reverse auctions. Dec09 [GILT FUTURES] were initially sent reeling in the region of 15 to 20 ticks ticks to a new session low of 118.35 (45 ticks on the day) in the immediate aftermath of the BoE Gilt buyback which attracted a cover of of 2.23 (ie, offers of Gbp 3,795.5mn for the Gbp 1.7bn accepted), with the largest tranche in the shape of the 4.75% Mar 2010 issue with Gbp 1.229 mn (cover of 1.7). [BUNDS] shortly followed in the UK benchmark's slipstream and made a marginal new trough of 122.27 (-29 ticks) in wake of a 10.1% surge in US housing sales (vs 2.3% f/c) and vs a revised 8.8% last (was 9.4%). Bonds found support at bases & have bounced 10-15 ticks since, but [STOCKS] also surging, +2.7% may provoke another selling wave.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #164,548
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:20am Nov 23, 2009 7:20am
I see a technical short entry, but I'm not playing it. I have a rule of avoiding counter trend setups when scalping in a trend. Scalp target in the range of 10-20 pips.
  • #164,549
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:21am Nov 23, 2009 7:21am
the bears are determined to set a top...the China Wall is too strong.
  • #164,550
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:23am Nov 23, 2009 7:23am
[TRICHET]'s FX mantra, has the ECB head once again reiterating that US support for a strong Dollar is extremely important. He feels that Bernanke was very clear on the issue of a strong Dollar which is good for the international community as a whole. Nothing for traders here, unless you are one of the minority who believed the earlier chatter about a growing ECB objection to Eur strength. If so we have conspiracy theorists suggesting the timing of comments are in line with another stab at 1.50, or if playing against this, then seeing his reiteration of familiar rhetoric, as a seeming relaxed stance on the issue of FX.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #164,551
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:23am Nov 23, 2009 7:23am
It's already done a daily range of 167 pips. How much more do you want or expect? And it's hit R2.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #164,552
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:23am Nov 23, 2009 7:23am
got one short here...touching 5000...now going down...at least 30pip...come on...
  • #164,553
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:25am Nov 23, 2009 7:25am
Quoting TexasforEX
I know this is the euro thread but 7310 and 16580 are really good entries for short possies in the kiwi and cable. hold for 10 weeks or so.

Ok. enough talking of my book. Back to the euro!

added 7350 short and 16630 short. stops not too far over daily highs. amazing r/r here.

let me put this in euro terms: long the eur/gbp and eur/nzd.
"Timing Is Everything. Really I Swear It Is"
  • #164,554
  • Edited 7:49am Nov 23, 2009 7:26am | Edited 7:49am
I will sleep easy if we close below 1.4985

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #164,555
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:26am Nov 23, 2009 7:26am
Hi all,

Looking for short on E/U around 1.5000 - 1.5050
  • #164,556
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:27am Nov 23, 2009 7:27am
Shorting getting very tempting on the 4H candles too, will be waiting patiently though.
  • #164,557
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:29am Nov 23, 2009 7:29am
Yeah actually Bernake's speech was mainly why I decided to short the dollar even near the trend line..blah....anyway, its ok, scale down selling it is.....

Quoting gatorinla
[TRICHET]'s FX mantra, has the ECB head once again reiterating that US support for a strong Dollar is extremely important. He feels that Bernanke was very clear on the issue of a strong Dollar which is good for the international community as a whole. Nothing for traders here, unless you are one of the minority who believed the earlier chatter about a growing ECB objection to Eur strength. If so we have conspiracy theorists suggesting the timing of comments are in line with another stab at 1.50, or if playing against this, then seeing his reiteration...
In Charts We Trust!
  • #164,558
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:37am Nov 23, 2009 7:37am
Quoting Patience
It's already done a daily range of 167 pips. How much more do you want or expect? And it's hit R2.
5119 & 5176 and 85 oil
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #164,559
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:44am Nov 23, 2009 7:44am
Quoting gatorinla
5119 & 5176 and 85 oil
LOL - don't think that will be happening today

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #164,560
  • Nov 23, 2009 7:47am Nov 23, 2009 7:47am
Well i think that we can make a analisys from today, now i believe that H1 must take a correction, we could make it by a lateral movement. Than we have 2 Scenarios, or we broke 1,4965 and go back 1,4820 or we can go up @ 1,5020 and than 1,5150.

Best Regards to all
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"Por mais fundo que seja o buraco, pelo menos esse não tem terra em cima"
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