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  • #160,021
  • Nov 9, 2009 12:29pm Nov 9, 2009 12:29pm
Quoting leafarct
what is your template and indicators that use?
THV4 by Cobraforex

here at ff ....
"I am convinced that He (God) does not play dice." - Albert Einstein
  • #160,022
  • Nov 9, 2009 12:34pm Nov 9, 2009 12:34pm
Quoting lloydblankfe
i am stuggling to believe what i am seeing, oil up, dow up 200 points and euro cannot break 1.50, it was here before us stocks opened.
Its bucket shop MM's ... want guys short ... by creating a hesitation move.. once you are all short .. they once again mark-up prices ... making sure you miss out ... no free lunches
"I am convinced that He (God) does not play dice." - Albert Einstein
  • #160,023
  • Nov 9, 2009 12:42pm Nov 9, 2009 12:42pm
Quoting Chicky
Sorry, I confused Brazilian currency with that of Zimbabwe.
I don't know if this one was posted before... apologies if it was.

JgrB
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  • #160,024
  • Nov 9, 2009 12:47pm Nov 9, 2009 12:47pm
Quoting Chicky
They also get a statement signed by each trader as part of account opening procedures......................... authorizing broker to screw the trader bigtime if the currency fails.
brazil is the Br in the brIC currencies. they export oil and produce their own fuel. from sugarcane. they have just recently started loaning money for homes. so you dont have the credit bubble problem. you still got a pay as you go population that saves. they have one of the best economys in the world. they were barely affected with the credit crunch.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #160,025
  • Nov 9, 2009 12:49pm Nov 9, 2009 12:49pm
EU unable to break previous high. Just a note. I don't have a volume indicator on my JAVA charts just check the volume on the 150 pip move we had today. Also look at divergence if u know how to spot them.
  • #160,026
  • Nov 9, 2009 12:51pm Nov 9, 2009 12:51pm
Quoting Chicky
They also get a statement signed by each trader as part of account opening procedures......................... authorizing broker to screw the trader bigtime if the currency fails.
15% is the central bank rate..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #160,027
  • Nov 9, 2009 12:54pm Nov 9, 2009 12:54pm
Quoting Popee83
Its bucket shop MM's ... want guys short ... by creating a hesitation move.. once you are all short .. they once again mark-up prices ... making sure you miss out ... no free lunches
Bucket shops lack the financial clout for such a tactic. Look to the Goldman's of the world....they've got the juice.
  • #160,028
  • Nov 9, 2009 1:00pm Nov 9, 2009 1:00pm
Quoting vinesh2
EU unable to break previous high. Just a note. I don't have a volume indicator on my JAVA charts just check the volume on the 150 pip move we had today. Also look at divergence if u know how to spot them.
i see that but is that a flag on the 4? or is that a round bottom setting up a cup/handle? if not orange line should contain it. but i got easier places to make coin.. i dont see enough party hats on.. oil seems to be worried.. ill short when oil is 82 plus.. wherever eu is..

its hard to see in picture but i got 4 lines above where we are now. orange just a trendline from last years high to recent high. blue is a fib channel from march. yellow trends are a fib channel from pairs conseption.. it stopped upper mover to 5062. yellow horizon are part of the oct ass #s. will it cap it... probably not forever, but short term... maybe.. they are tough..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #160,029
  • Nov 9, 2009 1:04pm Nov 9, 2009 1:04pm
A curious thing I'm noticing. The E/U is very boring (almost flatlining at times) during the New York sessions but has great big swings during the London sessions.

Is there any particular reason for that? Are they trying to get all the USA Forex traders to move out of the USA and go to Europe? Plus with all the new restrictive NFA rules, it sure seems that way.
  • #160,030
  • Nov 9, 2009 1:12pm Nov 9, 2009 1:12pm
Quoting fontu
sure , you can use any pair to see .
fontu
Thanks a lot Fontu.
Good pips for you...
  • #160,031
  • Nov 9, 2009 1:23pm Nov 9, 2009 1:23pm
Quoting PriceVolume
Bucket shops lack the financial clout for such a tactic. Look to the Goldman's of the world....they've got the juice.
Sure man .. but they still do have retail order books ....
"I am convinced that He (God) does not play dice." - Albert Einstein
  • #160,032
  • Nov 9, 2009 1:37pm Nov 9, 2009 1:37pm
Gator i checked the IMM report and it shows that net shorts for USD have reduced and commercial players are reducing their exposure to USD shorts. We also got rejected at monthly R1.
  • #160,033
  • Nov 9, 2009 1:37pm Nov 9, 2009 1:37pm
i think we test the recent high on the daily at 1.5060 area. that would be a good sell area
  • #160,034
  • Nov 9, 2009 1:37pm Nov 9, 2009 1:37pm
Sorry bears, this leg is not going to stop until the market has a 1.52 handle at least.

Cheerio
"Timing Is Everything. Really I Swear It Is"
  • #160,035
  • Nov 9, 2009 1:54pm Nov 9, 2009 1:54pm
yes. 1.52 is a good target.
  • #160,036
  • Nov 9, 2009 1:54pm Nov 9, 2009 1:54pm
Quoting TexasforEX
Sorry bears, this leg is not going to stop until the market has a 1.52 handle at least.

Cheerio
I very much doubt that. I know bulls are crazy but the amount of orders pending just above 5025 is huge. Why do you think this pair capped when DOW was flying?
  • #160,037
  • Nov 9, 2009 1:57pm Nov 9, 2009 1:57pm
basic supply and demand. goldmen can move it some but not infinate. when europe sells something abroad that currency has to turn into euros to complete deal. this creates euro demand. if your selling less, demand decreases. at higher euro you sell less.

what hurts the natural order is u.s. is weaking the dollar. this will inflate euro and in turn snowball process. at least until ez sells less stuff and then cuts prices to make products attractive or weakens euro. if u.s. stops weakening usd it will find a natural floor. but why? if the latter happens it will not be just ez. it will be the worlds exporters. that will try to find a price to equalise with usd. until then it will be tough for exporters excluding u.s. or china. world constipation. then others will follow china's rule book like the u.s. is doing now. i hope to be short at this point.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #160,038
  • Nov 9, 2009 2:02pm Nov 9, 2009 2:02pm
All, could someone give direction on an solid information source for pending orders at various levels on the EU and GU pair?
My thanks in advance and good luck to all.
MangoJoe
  • #160,039
  • Edited 2:18pm Nov 9, 2009 2:07pm | Edited 2:18pm
I have a little theory I'd like to share, and this time I'm not even drunk.

Would massive insider short selling in equities be able to spill over into forex, sort of bump up the dollar and stocks at the same time before the final and I do mean final drop in equities occurs?

I say this, because the ubber 50 fib on the dow is at 10330 or so...

More of a question than a theory really.
  • #160,040
  • Nov 9, 2009 2:13pm Nov 9, 2009 2:13pm
Quoting vinesh2
Gator i checked the IMM report and it shows that net shorts for USD have reduced and commercial players are reducing their exposure to USD shorts. We also got rejected at monthly R1.
bubble is expanding soon.. grains ect./... our rate is less then 1%. usx is down 15% and yet china and japan still buy.. with a net of -14% .... this is a big bubble and china and japan are covering ass with negative 14%. im waiting for oil..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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