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  • #157,621
  • Nov 1, 2009 5:51pm Nov 1, 2009 5:51pm
Quoting tonyo524
I believe the bankruptcy filing will create a negtive picture for the stock market. Being that so many real world businesses rely on Cit for real world funding. That negative outlook will in turn create safe haven purchasing of treasury bonds thus making the dollar stronger. But hey, we both have our own opinions, and I guess we shall see at 9 in the morning.
I am with you on this opinion
  • #157,622
  • Nov 1, 2009 5:52pm Nov 1, 2009 5:52pm
Quoting egypt
eurusd go down today bearish engulfing in weekly
and braek lower trend
I am just going to react to what ever it wants to do, it could go down it could go up who the heck really knows, just try and catch some pips no matter what it decides to do.
  • #157,623
  • Nov 1, 2009 5:53pm Nov 1, 2009 5:53pm
Euro heading down. Aud has gone back up to fill gap and is now heading down too.
A bears picnic
  • #157,624
  • Nov 1, 2009 5:56pm Nov 1, 2009 5:56pm
Quoting forexmick
Euro heading down. Aud has gone back up to fill gap and is now heading down too.
A bears picnic
GBP is looking top heavy too
  • #157,625
  • Nov 1, 2009 5:57pm Nov 1, 2009 5:57pm
For me it is extremely difficult to trade this session because there never seems to be any rhyme or reason for it's behavior, just about the time it looks good it goes the other way.
  • #157,626
  • Nov 1, 2009 5:58pm Nov 1, 2009 5:58pm
couple of sell stop @ 1.47 and lower and go to bed.
Weird uncorrelation with AUDUSD though.
  • #157,627
  • Nov 1, 2009 6:04pm Nov 1, 2009 6:04pm
whites lines r from eu conseption. red are 7 months old.. green are extended from drop of last summer. below white line is 4675 ish... its a trend line.. if we hit it well you know what happens when we hit them.. if we break them... well you know what happen then too.. most moves have a 7 tf cycle.. count the months since march.. 4675 could be a trap door. but some times it takes many atempts the break one.. .. keep this in mind with a weak dollar u.s. products are cheap. and if we are in such a boom with commoditys.. why did catipillar lay off 550 people with their equipment selling so cheap. below this white line there is much room.. the next one above just happens to this years high area,

good luck..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #157,628
  • Nov 1, 2009 6:05pm Nov 1, 2009 6:05pm
I'm mostly a PA/TA trader, but I like to use some FA and I'm starting to do some basic modeling. I set up simple models using Eurozone/US spreads on certain stats, and I get really good r-squareds and correlations. Only problem is the data is severely lagged. CPI spreads work great but the data doesn't come until two weeks into the next month. What data sources/stats do other FA traders use that are directly comparable between US and Eurozone?
  • #157,629
  • Nov 1, 2009 6:09pm Nov 1, 2009 6:09pm
Quoting NightMoves
I am just going to react to what ever it wants to do, it could go down it could go up who the heck really knows, just try and catch some pips no matter what it decides to do.
yes iam with any move
but know any break its go for big up or down and i don't need to lost any more pips i work with another pair gbp/jpy its better now

and u can here see eurusd situation its sensitive
47 pip fight
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  • #157,630
  • Nov 1, 2009 6:26pm Nov 1, 2009 6:26pm
Good day, gentlemen. I trust everyone had a well rested weekend. I know I did. I took a long EU trade (1.4710) near the close on Friday. Really just for fun since it was a complete gamble on my part. According to my charts, this thing can easily go either way. I Forgot I put in a TP at 1.4735. When I logged into my account, I couldn't find this trade. Then I noticed I banked a quick 25 pips. For once, I start a Sunday in the green. I no longer trade on Sunday nights. Too crazy and I'm not able to stay awake for the London open (4 am my time). Happy trading & posting.
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
  • #157,631
  • Nov 1, 2009 6:29pm Nov 1, 2009 6:29pm
dont over look the big hs pattern started on sept 7 ish.. R shoulder now complete. target would be 4320/35 something ish..just happens to be the next lower white line....something to consider if we fall below 4675ish
__________________
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #157,632
  • Nov 1, 2009 6:33pm Nov 1, 2009 6:33pm
Quoting Duce
Good day, gentlemen. I trust everyone had a well rested weekend. I know I did. I took a long EU trade (1.4710) near the close on Friday. Really just for fun since it was a complete gamble on my part. According to my charts, this thing can easily go either way. I Forgot I put in a TP at 1.4735. When I logged into my account, I couldn't find this trade. Then I noticed I banked a quick 25 pips. For once, I start a Sunday in the green. I no longer trade on Sunday nights. Too crazy and I'm not able to stay awake for the London open (4 am my time)....
Yep thats the way I see it it could go either way on the longer term charts are mixed, the weekly chart showsvery near over bought levels, and weekly chart shows there could still be some room up, so it could go either direction.
  • #157,633
  • Nov 1, 2009 6:40pm Nov 1, 2009 6:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
dont over look the big hs pattern started on sept 7 ish.. R shoulder now complete. target would be 4320/35 something ish..just happens to be the next lower white line....something to consider if we fall below 4675ish
__________________

I agree with you totally..... gatorinla!!!
  • #157,634
  • Nov 1, 2009 6:56pm Nov 1, 2009 6:56pm
It seems that no matter what direction the Sydney and Tokyo session push the market, once the London session opens it drastically goes the other way.
  • #157,635
  • Nov 1, 2009 7:02pm Nov 1, 2009 7:02pm
I too have noticed this. I also have a small theory I will present.

After the PA goes up from the Aussie / Tokyo, LDN, Sells massively to drive price back down if trend is up. Only to get a better price to go long. The reverse may present itself if trend is down.

Then the REAL fun starts when NYC opens with LDn!!!

Any thoughts appreciated. Only a theory. Not always correct.
But is anything ever in FX!?

Quoting NightMoves
It seems that no matter what direction the Sydney and Tokyo session push the market, once the London session opens it drastically goes the other way.
XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
  • #157,636
  • Nov 1, 2009 7:07pm Nov 1, 2009 7:07pm
Quoting XTrade
I too have noticed this. I also have a small theory I will present.

After the PA goes up from the Aussie / Tokyo, LDN, Sells massively to drive price back down if trend is up. Only to get a better price to go long. The reverse may present itself if trend is down.

Then the REAL fun starts when NYC opens with LDn!!!

Any thoughts appreciated. Only a theory. Not always correct.
But is anything ever in FX!?
I guess maybe thats why they call it the London Break out...but it is just something I noticed and maybe your theory on this is correct.
  • #157,637
  • Nov 1, 2009 7:10pm Nov 1, 2009 7:10pm
I have been trading this market almost 5 years now, and I have noticed this time and time again. And I have made quite a few pips trading the London open which does not start here until around 1:00 AM but I have gone to bed early so I could get up and trade it and it has proven quite effective.
  • #157,638
  • Nov 1, 2009 7:11pm Nov 1, 2009 7:11pm
Quoting XTrade
I too have noticed this. I also have a small theory I will present.

After the PA goes up from the Aussie / Tokyo, LDN, Sells massively to drive price back down if trend is up. Only to get a better price to go long. The reverse may present itself if trend is down.

Then the REAL fun starts when NYC opens with LDn!!!

Any thoughts appreciated. Only a theory. Not always correct.
But is anything ever in FX!?
Not yet theory.
  • #157,639
  • Nov 1, 2009 7:14pm Nov 1, 2009 7:14pm
i sell tp:1.4613 second 4580
  • #157,640
  • Nov 1, 2009 7:24pm Nov 1, 2009 7:24pm
Just something a few others and I seem to have noticed. Only a suggestion.
Will be watching it carefully.

Quoting TheLastCoke
Not yet theory.
XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
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