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  • #156,661
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:03pm Oct 28, 2009 6:03pm
Quoting kwcmau
If UK or Euro GDP is up, the currency usually follows up.

If tomorrow's US GDP is up, will USD go up or down? Inclined to think that a good GDP will send the USD down on the basis that risk is up?
its much if it is up or down but more of how is the gdp gonna differ from whats expected..but up, or higher than expected=strong dollar
  • #156,662
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:10pm Oct 28, 2009 6:10pm
Quoting ledobedo
its much if it is up or down but more of how is the gdp gonna differ from whats expected..but up, or higher than expected=strong dollar
not so sure...the dollar is trading based on risk aversion meter...not on US economy strength or weakness...that is why bad new housing starts brought $ strength today
  • #156,663
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:16pm Oct 28, 2009 6:16pm
Quoting wwwin
How many days before the Lehman collapse did the armageddon began then? This thing is down about 300 in 3 days..but I remember that when the Lehman crap hit the fan it went down 300 in a single day for 2 or 3 days...let's bring on the armageddon, I am waiting and fully loaded. This thing went down from 1.60 to 1.2470 in 3 months, with only one retrace in the middle of it. Nice

Ah... the memories.

As a cronic bear, I wanted to say that when people post like this
it makes my so giddy with joy I can hardly contain myself.



http://www.ahajokes.com/cartoon/monkey.jpg
  • #156,664
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:24pm Oct 28, 2009 6:24pm
Quoting toshi
Ah... the memories.

As a cronic bear, I wanted to say that when people post like this
it makes my so giddy with joy I can hardly contain myself.



http://www.ahajokes.com/cartoon/monkey.jpg

a short from 1.48 and long from 1.45 might have a chance of realizing some nice profit guess in what sequence and u get a banana
Thank you Malcolm, Belekas, Jim, raczekfx and Ryanmcd !
  • #156,665
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:29pm Oct 28, 2009 6:29pm
Quoting realjumper
Well, for what it's worth.....I will wait to see 4860, and if we get there with any sort of power, I will go short to about 4480-ish. That decline to the high 44's might take a few days, and that's fine with me. If the PA slowly creeps up on 4860, I may have to re-evaluate my idea.

I won't be suprised to see some sort of retracement to the upside before the drop, but I imagine it won't be anything too dramatic.

Of course this is just my opinion, so we will have to wait and see...
thx for view its make one get level up his mind
and chart make me more understand
and i have chart jan method aim new in that way from month but it cool its make me know that it can not break 1.5000 give me big pip
from it i think its going to test up again 1.4865 break it or sunk again
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  • #156,666
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:33pm Oct 28, 2009 6:33pm
Quoting TexasforEX
eur/gbp looks like it's ready to jump like a chicken on a hot stove!

Pobody's nerfect

Long again at 8980
"Timing Is Everything. Really I Swear It Is"
  • #156,667
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:36pm Oct 28, 2009 6:36pm
Quoting TexasforEX
Pobody's nerfect

Long again at 8980
h4 looks kinda bear right now...u picking bottoms ?
Thank you Malcolm, Belekas, Jim, raczekfx and Ryanmcd !
  • #156,668
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:36pm Oct 28, 2009 6:36pm
let me throw this out there 4655 is a gold number on chart.. 4677 i like better. if it respects and consolidates here.. with 2 or 3 pips.. on another side 4768 red and gold chart 4777,,,, lets play ball
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #156,669
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:37pm Oct 28, 2009 6:37pm
Quoting djambazov84
a short from 1.48 and long from 1.45 might have a chance of realizing some nice profit guess in what sequence and u get a banana
Drift up & short from 1.48 then long from 1.45. Probably not what toshi bear wanted to hear....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #156,670
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:38pm Oct 28, 2009 6:38pm
Quoting djambazov84
h4 looks kinda bear right now...u picking bottoms ?

Position trade. I'll leave the bottom picking to all the day traders. They are much better at it than me.
"Timing Is Everything. Really I Swear It Is"
  • #156,671
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:38pm Oct 28, 2009 6:38pm
Quoting The Fool
Drift up & short from 1.48 then long from 1.45. Probably not what toshi bear wanted to hear....
nah i`d say 1.45 first

but what do i know....
Thank you Malcolm, Belekas, Jim, raczekfx and Ryanmcd !
  • #156,672
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:39pm Oct 28, 2009 6:39pm
Quoting TexasforEX
Position trade. I'll leave the bottom picking to all the day traders. They are much better at it than me.

oh...could u tell me what profits in pip count do u look for in such trades...cuz if u position tr. then u def trade of weekly and have just noticed a double top forming ...

but pls explain i really want to read it
Thank you Malcolm, Belekas, Jim, raczekfx and Ryanmcd !
  • #156,673
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:42pm Oct 28, 2009 6:42pm
Quoting djambazov84
nah i`d say 1.45 first

but what do i know....
usx says it may not be long.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #156,674
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:47pm Oct 28, 2009 6:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
usx says it may not be long.

oh yeah the symmetry of the ensuing daily move/formation/symmetry could be extraordinary

but we are not in prediction business right ?
glad u agree
Thank you Malcolm, Belekas, Jim, raczekfx and Ryanmcd !
  • #156,675
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:53pm Oct 28, 2009 6:53pm
Quoting djambazov84
oh...could u tell me what profits in pip count do u look for in such trades...cuz if u position tr. then u def trade of weekly and have just noticed a double top forming ...

but pls explain i really want to read it

first off, what double top are you referring to?

second, based on central bank policies this is a bullish trade long term. very clearly

third, technically there is a supporting TL coming in just above 89 and we are sitting above fib support at these levels

I know three down days in a row candlestick pattern is very bearish (bearish three crows) BUT I am a long term bull on this pair. From my fundies I am targeting parity on this pair and I will overlook the candlestick setup.

I view deep dips in this pair as a long term buying opp. Initial target would be 9140 take partial profit there and re evaluate.

cheers
"Timing Is Everything. Really I Swear It Is"
  • #156,676
  • Oct 28, 2009 6:57pm Oct 28, 2009 6:57pm
Quoting djambazov84
oh yeah the symmetry of the ensuing daily move/formation/symmetry could be extraordinary

but we are not in prediction business right ?
glad u agree
i see a bull flag on usx 1hr although a doji in the 4hr. i see 4480 as a resonable eu target posibility, but im getting ahead of the move too far. move to far. 4637 will tell me a lot. along with other numbers.. and gdp report trumps everything..we could drift until
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #156,677
  • Oct 28, 2009 7:00pm Oct 28, 2009 7:00pm
Quoting TexasforEX
first off, what double top are you referring to?...
thanks for an intelligent reponse
to me this eg chart is showing definite supply still present untill proven wrong
u just HAVE to have it in the back of ur mind eventually
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Thank you Malcolm, Belekas, Jim, raczekfx and Ryanmcd !
  • #156,678
  • Oct 28, 2009 7:02pm Oct 28, 2009 7:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
i see a bull flag on usx 1hr although a doji in the 4hr. i see 4480 as a resonable eu target posibility, but im getting ahead of the move too far. move to far. 4637 will tell me a lot. along with other numbers.. and gdp report trumps everything..we could drift until

just watch if eu will repeat same pattern for past couple of days so far
weak long rally sold of usually at mid london all thru NY
to me..if this is just a bear rally on m15/h1 i`ll start looking around the fibs of the downswing and wait for agreeing bear pa
i really expect asia to start with a fake move
Thank you Malcolm, Belekas, Jim, raczekfx and Ryanmcd !
  • #156,679
  • Oct 28, 2009 7:03pm Oct 28, 2009 7:03pm
Quoting TexasforEX
first off, what double top are you referring to?

second, based on central bank policies this is a bullish trade long term. very clearly

cheers
Couldn't disagree more...What makes you think so?

Btw, most of ubs and deutsche bank traders are selling EUR at the moment, buying mostly dollars...Don't know for american banks...
  • #156,680
  • Oct 28, 2009 7:04pm Oct 28, 2009 7:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
i see a bull flag on usx 1hr although a doji in the 4hr. i see 4480 as a resonable eu target posibility, but im getting ahead of the move too far. move to far. 4637 will tell me a lot. along with other numbers.. and gdp report trumps everything..we could drift until
and it better come up hot... or even mediocre... if it's cold.

yikes bulls.

m
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