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EURUSD

  • #156,641
  • Oct 28, 2009 1:44pm Oct 28, 2009 1:44pm
gatorinla : congratulations!
  • #156,642
  • Oct 28, 2009 1:45pm Oct 28, 2009 1:45pm
5 wave impulse maybe finished...((v)) about equal to ((iii))...we ll see
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  • #156,643
  • Oct 28, 2009 1:46pm Oct 28, 2009 1:46pm
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my point of view and areas where I am going to look for bulls again
  • #156,644
  • Oct 28, 2009 1:55pm Oct 28, 2009 1:55pm
Quoting wwwin
Sell it, put a large SL just in case, no TP, go fishing for 2 days, come back friday and close it around 1.4450 for 250 pip profit
As simple as that lol

Don't you see that we are at 61.8% retrace on EU, dow at 50% retrace, AB=CD has just finished and price action indicates successive hammers on 1Hr? All these does not indicate reversal to bullish?
No Signal, No Trade. No fundamenals, No headache.
  • #156,645
  • Oct 28, 2009 1:58pm Oct 28, 2009 1:58pm
Quoting cannarek
Attachment
my point of view and areas where I am going to look for bulls again
Interesting....I'm waiting for more or less the same area before going short to 1.44xx
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #156,646
  • Oct 28, 2009 2:24pm Oct 28, 2009 2:24pm
pink trend line was from march. red from sept. still much too early but could be a round bottom forming. 4637 area on eu should slow it down or even a bounce. bulls aint dead yet but they cant hold up supply and demand forever. my old march chart said 4646 would be the top of last move. beyond that i extended chart it hit both levels and respected them with resistance. including at least on my chart the current yearly high. so maybe we end up at 4646 again and then a little lower or back to next level on march chart. . who knows.......im bearish biased below new oct ass chart level just above 4646 marked on eu chart with a C..............gdp tomorrow. we are following the same stimulis plan basicly as uk was.. they dropped after last gdp report. its a big ???? mark.. bulls aint dead yet depending on gdp
__________________
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #156,647
  • Oct 28, 2009 2:26pm Oct 28, 2009 2:26pm
Although I do not anticipate it to happen there is a chance. FX markets remind me of pre Lehman. There could be financial armageddon again. hopefully they would let people collapse then and let the system clean itself out.
  • #156,648
  • Oct 28, 2009 2:44pm Oct 28, 2009 2:44pm
???
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  • #156,649
  • Oct 28, 2009 2:57pm Oct 28, 2009 2:57pm
bull start i think
  • #156,650
  • Oct 28, 2009 3:08pm Oct 28, 2009 3:08pm
Quoting Larseg
???
trader will make you comfortable
ok i will change in first chance
  • #156,651
  • Oct 28, 2009 3:12pm Oct 28, 2009 3:12pm
If UK or Euro GDP is up, the currency usually follows up.

If tomorrow's US GDP is up, will USD go up or down? Inclined to think that a good GDP will send the USD down on the basis that risk is up?
  • #156,652
  • Oct 28, 2009 3:15pm Oct 28, 2009 3:15pm
Quoting egypt
bull start i think
Probably just hang around this region for a while like it has done for the past couple of days during the Asian session
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #156,653
  • Oct 28, 2009 3:16pm Oct 28, 2009 3:16pm
Quoting kwcmau
If UK or Euro GDP is up, the currency usually follows up.

If tomorrow's US GDP is up, will USD go up or down? Inclined to think that a good GDP will send the USD down on the basis that risk is up?
it dont matter what it is.. wait 5/10 min to avoid whipsaw. trade reaction. if its usd possitive it may last for days.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #156,654
  • Oct 28, 2009 3:17pm Oct 28, 2009 3:17pm
Quoting realjumper
Interesting....I'm waiting for more or less the same area before going short to 1.44xx
hmmm... yea, it is interesting
  • #156,655
  • Oct 28, 2009 3:22pm Oct 28, 2009 3:22pm
Quoting realjumper
Probably just hang around this region for a while like it has done for the past couple of days during the Asian session
move is slow in Asian session
in London session is better
i buy from 1.4700 but i dont feel good i dont know the direction up or down
i hope going up
its good from here to start up but 4 candle will give us the way in end
what is your opinion ?
  • #156,656
  • Oct 28, 2009 3:22pm Oct 28, 2009 3:22pm
How many days before the Lehman collapse did the armageddon began then? This thing is down about 300 in 3 days..but I remember that when the Lehman crap hit the fan it went down 300 in a single day for 2 or 3 days...let's bring on the armageddon, I am waiting and fully loaded. This thing went down from 1.60 to 1.2470 in 3 months, with only one retrace in the middle of it. Nice
  • #156,657
  • Oct 28, 2009 3:28pm Oct 28, 2009 3:28pm
For me, it is all about the major Fib lines. When looking at the great decline from 1.60 to 1.23, we are hanging out between the 61.8 and 76.4 fibs, and pretty much have been since mid September. The 61.8 fib comes in at approximately 1.4615. A sustained break below that number would be very bearish to me. I have stops for my 3 longs below that number. I'm sure it will come down to the gdp number later in the week.
  • #156,658
  • Edited 3:54pm Oct 28, 2009 3:28pm | Edited 3:54pm
Quoting egypt
move is slow in Asian session
in London session is better
i buy from 1.4700 but i dont feel good i dont know the direction up or down
i hope going up
its good from here to start up but i 4 candle will give us the way in end
what is your opinion ?
Well, for what it's worth.....I will wait to see 4860, and if we get there with any sort of power, I will go short to about 4480-ish. That decline to the high 44's might take a few days, and that's fine with me. If the PA slowly creeps up on 4860, I may have to re-evaluate my idea.

I won't be suprised to see some sort of retracement to the upside before the drop, but I imagine it won't be anything too dramatic.

Of course this is just my opinion, so we will have to wait and see

EDIT: Gosh, I just spotted my typo...and it's a bad one. When I said 4860, I actually meant to type 4660. Sorry about that....here's a chart to explain it more clearly
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Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #156,659
  • Oct 28, 2009 3:44pm Oct 28, 2009 3:44pm
4760 area is ok to continue move down, again PA is crucial...
  • #156,660
  • Oct 28, 2009 4:00pm Oct 28, 2009 4:00pm
Dam, this MFs want to spoil the party
http://bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=2...d=a6e4fQQHzg6U
but this is interesting
"“From a flow perspective, if risk aversion starts rippling through, the dollar’s going to be an even bigger beneficiary now than it was last year because there’s a lot more borrowing in dollars.”"
http://bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=2...d=aDaZaQqRkKCw
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