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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #13,221
  • Sep 30, 2009 12:01pm Sep 30, 2009 12:01pm
long usd/jpy - 89.52
sl - 89.20
long way up to go
  • #13,222
  • Sep 30, 2009 1:12pm Sep 30, 2009 1:12pm
Quoting Fx24k
long usd/jpy - 89.52
sl - 89.20
long way up to go
im entered long in 89.41 hehehe....whats is you T/P my T/P is set to 91.00
  • #13,223
  • Sep 30, 2009 1:48pm Sep 30, 2009 1:48pm
am trying to rebuild my roll so if this pans out my first tp would be 90.50 and will re-enter if conditions are right but will set a 40p trailer on that one.
  • #13,224
  • Oct 1, 2009 1:53pm Oct 1, 2009 1:53pm
Quoting Fx24k
am trying to rebuild my roll so if this pans out my first tp would be 90.50 and will re-enter if conditions are right but will set a 40p trailer on that one.
now i think short to 89.30 what do you think?
  • #13,225
  • Oct 1, 2009 9:07pm Oct 1, 2009 9:07pm
your thoughts on this pair? do we make a low just to come back during the US session when the nfp comes out or vice versa?
  • #13,226
  • Oct 1, 2009 11:34pm Oct 1, 2009 11:34pm
watch for support 89,12 to hold in order to build buy positions for a recovery towards 91-92

in case it will not, 88.23 and ultimately 87,10 could be tested before reversing

I am currently long at 89,42 with a stop below 89
  • #13,227
  • Oct 2, 2009 1:10am Oct 2, 2009 1:10am
Hi here is a gift to anyone that finds it helpful. I made a weekly-h1 s/r color coded black blue red green i will be started a thread soon about this i hope. Blue horizontal dashed are cycle lines (toolbar, insert, cycle lines) Look for larger moves on black, smaller on blue and so on. pitchforks are colored to timeframe. Take care
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Attached File(s)
File Type: tpl usdjpy100209-1.tpl   17 KB | 285 downloads
The things that we love tell us what we are Thanks Redsword11 and Tim Morge
  • #13,228
  • Oct 2, 2009 2:31am Oct 2, 2009 2:31am
Descending triangle

http://i37.tinypic.com/2ir6erp.jpg


http://i38.tinypic.com/2lcg1u.jpg

update

http://i37.tinypic.com/25i67pd.jpg

any comment welcome..
DRAGON-TECHNICAL ANALYSIS!
  • #13,229
  • Oct 2, 2009 10:26am Oct 2, 2009 10:26am
short scalp
sell - 89.90
sl = 90.20
  • #13,230
  • Oct 5, 2009 8:34pm Oct 5, 2009 8:34pm
the yen is really gaining. we might break 89 tonight.
  • #13,231
  • Oct 5, 2009 8:35pm Oct 5, 2009 8:35pm
Quoting sed34
the yen is really gaining. we might break 89 tonight.
I am hoping opposite: down in Tokyo = up big in NY.
  • #13,232
  • Oct 5, 2009 8:45pm Oct 5, 2009 8:45pm
Quoting sinner-
I am hoping opposite: down in Tokyo = up big in NY.
this could be pricing it in before aud announces the rate decision. then it could shoot back up.
  • #13,233
  • Oct 5, 2009 9:05pm Oct 5, 2009 9:05pm
looks like the powers that be just wanted to knock the stops out at 89.
  • #13,234
  • Oct 5, 2009 9:18pm Oct 5, 2009 9:18pm
Quoting sed34
looks like the powers that be just wanted to knock the stops out at 89.
Maybe. Looks more like USD moving down with a bit of Tokyo gold buying.
  • #13,235
  • Oct 5, 2009 10:36pm Oct 5, 2009 10:36pm
What exactly is it about the U/J that keeps making me want to be long?

I will do some analysis and see what we come up with. We have RSI and Momentum bullish div on the daily chart. Not much else going our way.
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  • #13,236
  • Oct 6, 2009 12:08am Oct 6, 2009 12:08am
Dow Jones Industrial Average used to be 75% positive correlation with USDJPY for many years. Since Feb it has been something like 90% negative correlation.

Question is, which will happen first?

1. Positive correlation restored: USDJPY moves up or down from here with DJIA
2. Negative correlation becomes the permanent norm: USDJPY moves up or down from here with DJIA going opposite direction.
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  • #13,237
  • Oct 6, 2009 1:57am Oct 6, 2009 1:57am
Still with me sed34?

Like I said, hoping for that reversal of Tokyo move, and we got it. Managed to retrace almost the entire Tokyo session in less than 30 minutes.
  • #13,238
  • Oct 6, 2009 2:02am Oct 6, 2009 2:02am
Quoting sinner-
Still with me sed34?

Like I said, hoping for that reversal of Tokyo move, and we got it. Managed to retrace almost the entire Tokyo session in less than 30 minutes.
Hi Sinner. I am new to this thread. Just wondering, what's your take on UJ given the current condition of USDx against appreciating gold and oil. Down or up for long run? Thanks!!
  • #13,239
  • Oct 6, 2009 2:05am Oct 6, 2009 2:05am
No idea. I just trade the signals as they come.

I am long both U/J and gold.
  • #13,240
  • Oct 6, 2009 2:12am Oct 6, 2009 2:12am
Quoting sinner-
No idea. I just trade the signals as they come.

I am long both U/J and gold.
Likewise, I have longs too on UJ atm. G/L to you
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