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  • #145,021
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:09pm Sep 21, 2009 4:09pm
Quoting Patience
But, from what I've read, Clinton reduced deficits and the US wasn't at war (feel free to correct me on this - my knowledge is sparse)
Clinton did bring something down....his pants.
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
  • #145,022
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:14pm Sep 21, 2009 4:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
it wasnt ment as a political point. who why are where dont matter we trade. at certain times in history usd is stronger. its just a fact of life. at least since 80ties.
they are all crooks and liars anyway.

m
  • #145,023
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:16pm Sep 21, 2009 4:16pm
Quoting gatorinla
it wasnt ment as a political point. who why are where dont matter we trade. at certain times in history usd is stronger. its just a fact of life. at least since 80ties.
Okay, lol - I did read something about the 8 year cycle and all that.

This is the extent of my monthly USDX chart. I've just added MACD to it to see what it was saying. It's crossed down

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDX-MONTHLY2.PNG Size: 65 KB
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #145,024
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:16pm Sep 21, 2009 4:16pm
Quoting Duce
Clinton did bring something down....his pants.
When he said, "I did not have sexual relations with that woman."

I mean... he's the president... surely he doesn't have to go slumming.

If I were the pres you wouldn't have to guess...

Headline: President asked about sexual relation with Megan Fox?

GUILTY. I DID HER.

Mike
  • #145,025
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:20pm Sep 21, 2009 4:20pm
Quoting Patience
Okay, lol - I did read something about the 8 year cycle and all that.

This is the extent of my monthly USDX chart. I've just added MACD to it to see what it was saying. It's crossed down

Attachment
ahmm what software are u using?
  • #145,026
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:23pm Sep 21, 2009 4:23pm
Quoting Alihuzaifa
ahmm what software are u using?
It's just Netdania.com. I don't know why it doesn't have the name in the corner of the chart anymore. They updated the charting software (way more user friendly now) and the name of it seems to have disappeared now.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #145,027
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:38pm Sep 21, 2009 4:38pm
Quoting Patience
Okay, lol - I did read something about the 8 year cycle and all that.

This is the extent of my monthly USDX chart. I've just added MACD to it to see what it was saying. It's crossed down

Attachment
im not disputing that most if not all charts are pointing down (for usd). what a im saying is there are outside forces that have cycles also. and we are in one now that may influence that chart. for instance what if with the economy so bad, most consumers buy local products. and some countries start protection from imports. as things get bad more and more citizens will demand it. and politicians will bow to it as they should. when all is said and done we have never been here before. an nobody knows what will happen. charts are records they just show where we have been..and do give a probable direction if interpreted correctly. if you go back to july 2008 the chart did not predict 3 months later.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #145,028
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:47pm Sep 21, 2009 4:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
im not disputing that most if not all charts are pointing down (for usd). what a im saying is there are outside forces that have cycles also. and we are in one now that may influence that chart. for instance what if with the economy so bad, most consumers buy local products. and some countries start protection from imports. as things get bad more and more citizens will demand it. and politicians will bow to it as they should. when all is said and done we have never been here before. an nobody knows what will happen. charts are records they just...
Oh, absolutely, I get what you are saying.

But RSI was very oversold on monthly and it had started edging up from the low it hit in March 2008 and if you look at the weekly chart we did have classic bullish divergence so the US$ was due a bounce at least. It just turned into a reverse bungy jump
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #145,029
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:50pm Sep 21, 2009 4:50pm
Quoting acumen
When he said, "I did not have sexual relations with that woman."

I mean... he's the president... surely he doesn't have to go slumming.

If I were the pres you wouldn't have to guess...

Headline: President asked about sexual relation with Megan Fox?

GUILTY. I DID HER.

Mike
I think that's the only one he got caught over. I'm sure there were many more cigar evenings.
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
  • #145,030
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:50pm Sep 21, 2009 4:50pm
Well I typically watch the 1 hr and the Daily....and my fib numbers tell me that EUR will fall to the 1.4545, but the current pattern looks like a flag which indicates an extension, so its a little hard to tell....in any case

I am both long and short EUR, so whichever way it goes, I'll profit and ride it back up or down and make adjustments to my positions so I do not incur much loss. My success rate thus far is 98.8% as I manage all my positions back to profit.


Quoting Alihuzaifa
what u think about tomorrow long or short play?
In Charts We Trust!
  • #145,031
  • Sep 21, 2009 4:55pm Sep 21, 2009 4:55pm
I am using a number of strategies. I noticed though, that the stochastic RSI works pretty well.
  • #145,032
  • Sep 21, 2009 5:00pm Sep 21, 2009 5:00pm
The probabilities in a coin toss is 50/50, thus accuracy has nothing to do with it....but money management and trade psychology have more to do with success in trading than anything else.


Quoting Patience
It's not about us moving the markets. It's about 95% of retail traders getting it wrong. It's a contrarian indicator. Do the opposite of the sheeple - it's probably more accurate than a coin toss.
In Charts We Trust!
  • #145,033
  • Sep 21, 2009 5:05pm Sep 21, 2009 5:05pm
Quoting X.Oden
The probabilities in a coin toss is 50/50, thus accuracy has nothing to do with it....but money management and trade psychology have more to do with success in trading than anything else.
Okay, whatever floats your boat - lol. It's a flippin sentiment index - that's it. I don't want to get all deep about it.


Anyway, Gator, I'm not opposed to some short action anyway. I can see it testing my 34 EMA on my daily chart. I'm not in anything (other than my existing shorts on AUD) but I am more biased for short at the moment anyway going by my charts. Spot ya - zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDX-DAILY-21SEP.PNG Size: 73 KB
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #145,034
  • Sep 21, 2009 5:06pm Sep 21, 2009 5:06pm
it is going up for now, but G20 will bring it down, but that is end of week
-all imo
----- Dragonfly out in the sun you know what I mean, don't you know
  • #145,035
  • Sep 21, 2009 5:06pm Sep 21, 2009 5:06pm
Quoting X.Oden
Well I typically watch the 1 hr and the Daily....and my fib numbers tell me that EUR will fall to the 1.4545, but the current pattern looks like a flag which indicates an extension, so its a little hard to tell....in any case

I am both long and short EUR, so whichever way it goes, I'll profit and ride it back up or down and make adjustments to my positions so I do not incur much loss. My success rate thus far is 98.8% as I manage all my positions back to profit.
u see extension flag on which time frame?
  • #145,036
  • Sep 21, 2009 5:10pm Sep 21, 2009 5:10pm
Just found this very significant news which I thought of sharing with you guys.

Iran Aims to Shift Forex Reserves From Dollar to Euro

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aPS3iDFaA23k
http://www.gulfnews.com/business/Economy/10351063.html
  • #145,037
  • Sep 21, 2009 5:31pm Sep 21, 2009 5:31pm
Quoting M1g
Just found this very significant news which I thought of sharing with you guys.

Iran Aims to Shift Forex Reserves From Dollar to Euro

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aPS3iDFaA23k
http://www.gulfnews.com/business/Economy/10351063.html
it will take ages
  • #145,038
  • Sep 21, 2009 5:34pm Sep 21, 2009 5:34pm
anybody still thinks we re going down? i seriously right now dont have a clue what could happen.. i think it is too long to go down but too soon to go up i seriously dont know :-(
Pation is the Holy Grail
  • #145,039
  • Sep 21, 2009 5:39pm Sep 21, 2009 5:39pm
I think it will go down but till what extend cant say
  • #145,040
  • Sep 21, 2009 5:41pm Sep 21, 2009 5:41pm
Quoting Alihuzaifa
I think it will go down but till what extend cant say
hopefully.. the thing is i have an open short position and now i cant make a decision if i should close it and take little loose or wait
Pation is the Holy Grail
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