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  • #139,221
  • Sep 5, 2009 11:47am Sep 5, 2009 11:47am
Quoting gatorinla
latter folks. be careful not to sit on your nutz..
the older you get the more difficult.

still young enough to know they are there.

later my friend... enjoy your holiday.

i've never been a conspiracy guy... but equities are being supported here.

m
  • #139,222
  • Sep 5, 2009 12:00pm Sep 5, 2009 12:00pm
Quoting Leche Mocha
Took a short position @ 1.43034. E/U looks to be a the top of it's range on the 1HR chart.
Thank you for accepting risk. Very good spotting that's one of the few conditions that made me do so. Let's see what happens tomorrow.
"Diversification is an excuse for a lack of talent" ~FXC
  • #139,223
  • Sep 5, 2009 12:01pm Sep 5, 2009 12:01pm
Quoting GulfCoastPip
I just read through several of todays posts .... lol. I sure hope some of you were demo trading.


Have a safe holiday weekend! See you guys and girls Tuesday.
Trading Live for 5 years. I sure do hope some of them were demoing.
"Diversification is an excuse for a lack of talent" ~FXC
  • #139,224
  • Sep 5, 2009 12:05pm Sep 5, 2009 12:05pm
Quoting GulfCoastPip
If you're trading with a live account, you have bigger nads than myself Trading NFP isn't something that I like doing, more power to ya though. It's to unpredictable.

Happy for ya though

In FX sometimes you have to have steel balls, sometimes big balls, sometimes no balls, and sometimes your balls just get in your way.
HA good one. Speaking of nuts... I have infinite so I take NFP every time. LOL
"Diversification is an excuse for a lack of talent" ~FXC
  • #139,225
  • Sep 5, 2009 12:11pm Sep 5, 2009 12:11pm
Quoting acumen
I think he controls... well... he and Bill... either way I believe it's the largest managed fund in the world. (Just shy of a trillion)

It's a must read.

http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv...5833WL20090904

Mike
I respect El-Erian and his whole group at Pimco. Them managing one of the largest bond funds in the world makes them purely hedgers, for when you get to a massive size you always gotta worry about capital preservation and downside protection. You'll have so much capital that so much risk need not be taken to perform well in the market.

You guys gotta read "When Markets Collide" by him, it's pretty good.
"Diversification is an excuse for a lack of talent" ~FXC
  • #139,226
  • Sep 5, 2009 12:58pm Sep 5, 2009 12:58pm
Quoting acumen
the older you get the more difficult.

still young enough to know they are there.

later my friend... enjoy your holiday.

i've never been a conspiracy guy... but equities are being supported here.

m
Dow 10500 before major trend change.
  • #139,227
  • Sep 5, 2009 12:59pm Sep 5, 2009 12:59pm
Quoting FxClown
Just read a few of your articles. A familiar story to my own. I am desparately trying to control MM.
I'll keep a look out for your posts.
Happy weekend.

hey thanks.

you can see my latest articles at my thread : http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=193996

or directly at my blog : www.thegeekknows.com


hope you can control your mm soon !!

very simple... decide how much to risk ( 2 % ) is good and plan your SL and lot size according to it !
  • #139,228
  • Edited 4:26pm Sep 5, 2009 1:06pm | Edited 4:26pm
I think the euro will retreat to 1.4235. Shorting should commence at approx 1.4375.

Does anyone think sub 1.4170 is possible this week or next after reviewing the daily chart?

HarrY
  • #139,229
  • Sep 5, 2009 1:22pm Sep 5, 2009 1:22pm
Checking charts off time now & nah! shorts no more promising presently.price seems in last wave 5& following a diverging triangle again to e point ( may be as high as 1.56 or over . Exaggerated? no problem for my crazy analysis .
What others saying about ?
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #139,230
  • Sep 5, 2009 1:27pm Sep 5, 2009 1:27pm
Quoting FXCapitalist
Thank you for accepting risk. Very good spotting that's one of the few conditions that made me do so. Let's see what happens tomorrow.
i have on the other got order on 1.4315 as i m hoping for the price to emerge from the triangle and continue up, especially after this week which brought some disturbing news bout US.
i m relatively unexperienced so any comment wud be greatly helpful to me
  • #139,231
  • Sep 5, 2009 1:36pm Sep 5, 2009 1:36pm
Quoting fontu
Checking charts off time now & nah! shorts no more promising presently.price seems in last wave 5& following a diverging triangle again to e point ( may be as high as 1.56 or over . Exaggerated? no problem for my crazy analysis .
What others saying about ?
fontu
Right now, I'd actually agree that we'll see a weaker dollar. I wouldn't be surprised to see the EURO top 4400-4450 this coming week.
  • #139,232
  • Sep 5, 2009 1:57pm Sep 5, 2009 1:57pm
Quoting fontu
Checking charts off time now & nah! shorts no more promising presently.price seems in last wave 5& following a diverging triangle again to e point ( may be as high as 1.56 or over . Exaggerated? no problem for my crazy analysis .
What others saying about ?
fontu
I have something very similar on my ellipsus charts. Shows 4500-4600 coming this week. Question is where will the low touch be. Maybe as low as 4160, but maybe higher, 4205, 4215. Longer term-peak projection is 1.5800, 9 months away.
  • #139,233
  • Sep 5, 2009 2:22pm Sep 5, 2009 2:22pm
Quoting stevefx
I have something very similar on my ellipsus charts. Shows 4500-4600 coming this week. Question is where will the low touch be. Maybe as low as 4160, but maybe higher, 4205, 4215. Longer term-peak projection is 1.5800, 9 months away.
What's an ellipsus chart? care to post.
  • #139,234
  • Sep 5, 2009 2:31pm Sep 5, 2009 2:31pm
Quoting stevefx
I have something very similar on my ellipsus charts. Shows 4500-4600 coming this week. Question is where will the low touch be. Maybe as low as 4160, but maybe higher, 4205, 4215. Longer term-peak projection is 1.5800, 9 months away.
If the counts are ok & diverging triangle be true then it can retrace to 1.4160 level but unlikely , should be at 1.4190 as best fit. but if follow any other alternative counts then 1.4038 still possible,ltl weekly. Anyway as long as it respects triangle & LTL daily should not come down below 1.4153 .
As the bull gaining power for many months accumulation & bears failed all tests it down there should be strong up thrust from this week whatever it may down before that.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #139,235
  • Sep 5, 2009 3:08pm Sep 5, 2009 3:08pm
Quoting Atlast
What's an ellipsus chart? care to post.
Yes, here it is. The ellipsus's are the result of intersecting circular perimeters of big money investments points. For the most part price moves through the elliptical channels and avoids the centers of the circles-this architecture has held up since the Spring.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ellipsusstudy.png Size: 374 KB
  • #139,236
  • Sep 5, 2009 3:23pm Sep 5, 2009 3:23pm
Quoting FXCapitalist
I respect El-Erian and his whole group at Pimco. Them managing one of the largest bond funds in the world makes them purely hedgers, for when you get to a massive size you always gotta worry about capital preservation and downside protection. You'll have so much capital that so much risk need not be taken to perform well in the market.

You guys gotta read "When Markets Collide" by him, it's pretty good.
I haven't read that.

I don't read many market books but I believe I'll pick this one up on your recommendation.

I love solid market books... however... there are very few of them.

Mike
  • #139,237
  • Sep 5, 2009 3:26pm Sep 5, 2009 3:26pm
Quoting Atlast
Dow 10500 before major trend change.
I think they are overbought but my long term prognostication skills suck.

Long term... we fall... or if not... we fall.

Mike
  • #139,238
  • Sep 5, 2009 3:30pm Sep 5, 2009 3:30pm
if mr. mustard did fire all those shots from the repository he's the luckiest marksman in history.

never bought it.

m
  • #139,239
  • Sep 5, 2009 3:46pm Sep 5, 2009 3:46pm
and this is why the markets often seem not to make sense.

Market manipulation, Oil manipulation...
http://www.cnbc.com/id/32690802?__so...S*tag*&par=RSS
  • #139,240
  • Sep 5, 2009 4:23pm Sep 5, 2009 4:23pm
Quoting stevefx
Yes, here it is. The ellipsus's are the result of intersecting circular perimeters of big money investments points. For the most part price moves through the elliptical channels and avoids the centers of the circles-this architecture has held up since the Spring.
hahaha u are still stuck with funny bubbles
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