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EURUSD

  • #134,801
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:14am Aug 25, 2009 9:14am
R i s k a v e r s i o n
  • #134,802
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:14am Aug 25, 2009 9:14am
Quoting Byrd
Guys, wouldn't the high consumer confidence spur buying of bonds with the intention of high interest and thus demand for $. With the auction today it makes perfect sense for the EURUSD to plummet (in my opinion).... Just a thought.
What maturity are they auctioning today? In general, people are moving from Bonds to Bills (from long term to short term). There is a whole lot of auctions going on until the end of month so the best option for US would be keeping the rate in a tight range for the whole time. Weak USD = cheap bonds for outsiders but less faith in US as a debtor, Stong USD = expensive bonds but more faith in US. I still think US will tank their own stock market in September to spur more demand for their "safe haven" currency and bonds.
  • #134,803
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:14am Aug 25, 2009 9:14am
Quoting trading801
sample size no big enough
hahahahha--hahahahhaa

5,000 HOUSEHOLDS HAHAHAHAHA...
but not in Bronx...
  • #134,804
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:15am Aug 25, 2009 9:15am
Quoting Byrd
Guys, wouldn't the high consumer confidence spur buying of bonds with the intention of high interest and thus demand for $. With the auction today it makes perfect sense for the EURUSD to plummet (in my opinion).... Just a thought.
yeah.. wonder why my usdjpy wont go up..
  • #134,805
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:15am Aug 25, 2009 9:15am
Quoting Fly2
Actual > Forecast = Good for currency (Note: While this is the 'usual' effect, under current market conditions the reverse tends to be true against some currencies, as bad data has been triggering the purchase of US bonds);
Yup that's what i said. I think.

Anyone knows how's the S&P doing now?
  • #134,806
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:16am Aug 25, 2009 9:16am
Anybody catch the bearish divergence on the M15...?

I just caught a nice 25pip short!! yum yum....
  • #134,807
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:16am Aug 25, 2009 9:16am
You guys obviously should visit a Statistics lecture at a University near you....
*yawn*
  • #134,808
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:16am Aug 25, 2009 9:16am
Quoting Anskiere
Yup that's what i said. I think.

Anyone knows how's the S&P doing now?

at your service


+0.8+ %
  • #134,809
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:16am Aug 25, 2009 9:16am
why trade the news when you have a chart?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU.GIF Size: 56 KB
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #134,810
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:16am Aug 25, 2009 9:16am
Quoting Tjpld
You guys obviously should visit a Statistics lecture at a University near you....
*yawn*
y??
  • #134,811
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:16am Aug 25, 2009 9:16am
Quoting Anskiere
Thought it's the other way round. High consumer confidence will lead to $$ shifting to more risky assets and thus no buying of bonds?

A low consumer confidence will create risk adversion and trigger buying of bonds.

I think depending on market situation, it can go both ways.
Apparently so far the reason is just resistance in the equity markets for the dollar to be gaining strength.
  • #134,812
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:17am Aug 25, 2009 9:17am
Quoting RussoS
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE:

"Survey of about 5,000 households which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions including labor availability, business conditions, and overall economic situation"

Muhahahahahah... 5000 households muhahahahaha...
It doesn't seem like any of those 5000 households are the ones having to put their school supplies on layaway.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/...B6OugD9A9D2NG0
  • #134,813
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:18am Aug 25, 2009 9:18am
you see oil when it went close to 75.pb... we got close then rejection... eu did the same.. you know where the equiliberim is now.. at least this moment it time.. if eu goes up so does oil... market is not supporting 75pb oil yet.. if you got an oil chart compare the 2.. you need 80 85 on up to get eu much higher.. and doing this will put equitys lower and in turn lower oil and weaken eu..to go up higher it has to be gradual... other then or war hurricane (huge news) we will move gradual ..lots of the guys and institutions that ran it up last year are broke..credit dried up..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #134,814
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:18am Aug 25, 2009 9:18am
Now here comes the bear trap.
  • #134,815
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:19am Aug 25, 2009 9:19am
Still keep the Long


USD is ridiculouslly manipulated
  • #134,816
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:19am Aug 25, 2009 9:19am
Quoting trading801
at your service


+0.8+ %
Thanks!
  • #134,817
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:19am Aug 25, 2009 9:19am
Is anyone short yet and why?
  • #134,818
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:20am Aug 25, 2009 9:20am
Quoting gatorinla
you see oil when it went close to 75.pb... we got close then rejection... eu did the same.. you know where the equiliberim is now.. at least this moment it time.. if eu goes up so does oil... market is not supporting 75bg oil yet.. if you got an oil chart compare the 2.. you need 80 85 on up to get eu much higher.. and doing this will put equitys lower and in turn lower oil and weaken eu..to go up higher it has to be gradual... or war hurricane..lots of the guys and institutions that ran it up last year are broke..credit dried up..

Koala buddy we work in similar ways.. i look at s &p 500.. guess i need to start with oil and more of treasures soon
  • #134,819
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:20am Aug 25, 2009 9:20am
LARGE asian names selling eur/usd here..
  • #134,820
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:20am Aug 25, 2009 9:20am
Quoting Pipster888
LARGE asian names selling eur/usd here..

jay walker?
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