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  • #133,101
  • Aug 19, 2009 12:34pm Aug 19, 2009 12:34pm
Quoting The Fool
Predictions...that'd be sweet, though. But Big Dog is gonna do what Big Dog wants to do. Last night he held off everybody at .4100 then ran it up to .4250 & if he wants to hold it there my .5-lot short trades won't stop him.
I don't mean to be so brazen-but this is the position I've been sitting around all week bored off my a** to be in. I wasn't sure if we were going to hit this spot, but now that we're here I have my dream short trade.

This is FX, anything can and will happen, I've just got some solid analysis on this one, and I think its coming, but we'll see...

*everybody do your own thing...
  • #133,102
  • Aug 19, 2009 12:42pm Aug 19, 2009 12:42pm
Originally Posted by stevefx http://cloud.forexfactory.com/images...s/viewpost.gif
we'll be at 3930 by friday, maybe 3840..

Quoting The Fool
Predictions...that'd be sweet, though. But Big Dog is gonna do what Big Dog wants to do. Last night he held off everybody at .4100 then ran it up to .4250 & if he wants to hold it there my .5-lot short trades won't stop him.
yeah us retailers didnt cause this move, it was so perfectly orchestrated.
  • #133,103
  • Aug 19, 2009 12:53pm Aug 19, 2009 12:53pm
Rising oil prices against a background of pleasant surprises from the weekly report on inventories, and the further restoration of the main European stock indexes and the opening of bidding for the growth Wall Street has played into the hands of bulls on the euro, which were returned to minimize the session. Demand for the $ 1.4090/80 again stem the tide of sellers, and the couple turned sharply higher, breaking Ofer as around $ 1.4150 and $ 1.4180/70, and in the vicinity of the figure. Now the euro / dollar can be seen around $ 1.4235 where it cannon after testing orders for the sale of around $ 1.4240/50. Breakthrough above $ 1.42 a few pairs of short-term outlook has improved, and now some figures, as well as in the area of $ 1.4180 pronounced interest in purchasing, but dealers note that while the pair remains below the line of resistance to the maxima of this year, talk about the return of bull's alignment prematurely.
  • #133,104
  • Aug 19, 2009 12:55pm Aug 19, 2009 12:55pm
Quoting FxCba
Ok, Thank you
How do you get long term data on 5 min?, my chart only shows 2 weeks on that TF.

By the way, seems not to be enough power for a new high
go to a bigger chart.. im only trading real time so i dont need the chart as a long time record... once set up on a bigger chart my points it will show up on smaller chart.. smaller chart shows reaction to the number.. this way you know if its working or not..

and yes we may not have the power.. my small chart did its job.. now i have to build a 1hr one..but a 15 usaully turns out to become true..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #133,105
  • Aug 19, 2009 12:55pm Aug 19, 2009 12:55pm
is big dog here is federal reserve /us government
Allah has permitted trade and has forbidden interest [koran]
  • #133,106
  • Aug 19, 2009 12:56pm Aug 19, 2009 12:56pm
Quoting fontu
The diamond is near ready to action but may not ready yet to bust this week ,anything can happen though in mad friday.and if true over 600 pips can be very possible if able to break 1.40 successfully.We saw lots of disasters also 600pips UP can also happen if bear allegedly failed this time .so trade safe all with sl at adequate distant/toterabiltiy.
fontu
The diamond appears broken to upside. In my chart the market has exceeded the upper ML and has made it's way back into an upsloping track. The support now comes in at 1.4190.
  • #133,107
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:01pm Aug 19, 2009 1:01pm
is us govt going to stop printing money in october.that was the impression i got from last fomc.probabaly this rally going to go till october.but i may be wrrrrong. thanks
Allah has permitted trade and has forbidden interest [koran]
  • #133,108
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:08pm Aug 19, 2009 1:08pm
Quoting drzakir123
is us govt going to stop printing money in october.that was the impression i got from last fomc.probabaly this rally going to go till october.but i may be wrrrrong. thanks
thats a myth... they did this last year.. and much of the money is not in the system.. if the money was never handed out its not in the system..90% is still not in the system. they are not printing more.. at least for now.. except the norm.. they print the amount they destroy..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #133,109
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:16pm Aug 19, 2009 1:16pm
does any one found out what was the reason for those huge spikes?

coz there was no major news release.
  • #133,110
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:16pm Aug 19, 2009 1:16pm
Quoting Atlast
The diamond appears broken to upside. In my chart the market has exceeded the upper ML and has made it's way back into an upsloping track. The support now comes in at 1.4190.
I do not think so though not measuring exact counting , just the appearance of price pattern without indicator as it stuck my computer in a min. The opposit polar candles still higher than the present , high 1.4292 ,78 and as it now in daily tf some more pips p & down will not destort the pattern .

The price should back to the present pole at about 1.4270/53 before any breakout .Though it a strong bear set up yet I saw breakout upside having similar action many time ,so any break up in reality it will move very fast to up also ,so far no evident. We can look nextday for any action .Here reaction low is 1.4005 ,if valid movement down can be 444 pips this line .

Just theory , will see actually what happen next.Need strong news to break successfully below reaction low.I think it is still valid.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #133,111
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:17pm Aug 19, 2009 1:17pm
Quoting Atlast
The diamond appears broken to upside. In my chart the market has exceeded the upper ML and has made it's way back into an upsloping track. The support now comes in at 1.4190.
Me too
Waching where we gonna close today
  • #133,112
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:18pm Aug 19, 2009 1:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
thats a myth... they did this last year.. and much of the money is not in the system.. if the money was never handed out its not in the system..90% is still not in the system. they are not printing more.. at least for now.. except the norm.. they print the amount they destroy..
but if u look at this whole process of buying long term securitis [printing money in effect] since march 17/18 this year and this rally is part of the same process.then it is very clear to me that us dollar going to depreciate more.how long i dont know but federal reserve going to take thier pound of flesh anyway.in the form of indirect taxes by deflating the dollar.
Allah has permitted trade and has forbidden interest [koran]
  • #133,113
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:19pm Aug 19, 2009 1:19pm
Quoting T.E.Lawrence
Double top on cable, 5min tf. End of rally?
Don't know if end of rally but the market got dangerously quiet and this can bring some sudden moves.
  • #133,114
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:28pm Aug 19, 2009 1:28pm
Quoting fontu
The diamond is near ready to action but may not ready yet to bust this week ,anything can happen though in mad friday.and if true over 600 pips can be very possible if able to break 1.40 successfully.We saw lots of disasters also 600pips UP can also happen if bear allegedly failed this time .so trade safe all with sl at adequate distant/toterabiltiy.
fontu
yes i dont see a short yet either.. if we get to 4224 it will give clues... it may bounce here and resume upper trend..between 24 and 64 is an area where it like to turn or consolidate what i call a turn area with 4249 in the middle.. if we pass 4224 then 4199 should be a bounce at least a little one...

using another thing i use the ph becomes support.. in this case now that would be 4240... were touching it now..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #133,115
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:31pm Aug 19, 2009 1:31pm
Quoting Alihuzaifa
does any one found out what was the reason for those huge spikes?

coz there was no major news release.
ali it is a post fomc rally [delayed though and fomc is a master speculator and they r master at that].
Allah has permitted trade and has forbidden interest [koran]
  • #133,116
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:32pm Aug 19, 2009 1:32pm
Quoting Atlast
The diamond appears broken to upside. In my chart the market has exceeded the upper ML and has made it's way back into an upsloping track. The support now comes in at 1.4190.
By my measurements its exceeded its limit only by about 4 points, which is pretty precise all things considered.

Chart shows this diamond compared to the structure established around June 3rd-exact same frame work laid over each..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: diamondstudy.png Size: 390 KB
  • #133,117
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:32pm Aug 19, 2009 1:32pm
Quoting drzakir123
ali it is a post fomc rally [delayed though and fomc is a master speculator and they r master at that].
ah i c
  • #133,118
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:33pm Aug 19, 2009 1:33pm
Quoting egkid
Me too
Waching where we gonna close today
To me there are manipulation to distort this pattern as seen in Friday but again return to pavillion today & so if again move likely upside may not escape the movements due for long time .took 1 month to develop this diamond ,so few more days will be ok.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #133,119
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:34pm Aug 19, 2009 1:34pm
i just shorted at 42.. right or wrong..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #133,120
  • Aug 19, 2009 1:35pm Aug 19, 2009 1:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
yes i dont see a short yet either.. if we get to 4224 it will give clues... it may bounce here and resume upper trend..between 24 and 64 is an area where it like to turn or consolidate what i call a turn area with 4249 in the middle.. if we pass 4224 then 4199 should be a bounce at least a little one...

using another thing i use the ph becomes support.. in this case now that would be 4240... were touching it now..
i shorted once it broke 40..ill watch 4224 now..just a scalp depending on 24
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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