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  • #132,981
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:20am Aug 19, 2009 9:20am
Just a bit of research i done the dollar has been going down ever since net external debt of the us has grown. Before 1985 US was creditor nation ever since that has changed and the us dollar has been going down since. Between 1998-2000 the net external debt of US as percentage of gdp improved what did we see dollar strength similarly between late 2005 and early 2006 we saw improvement in net u.s external debt and dollar strengthened.
  • #132,982
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:22am Aug 19, 2009 9:22am
What is the probability of EUR/USD coming back down to S1 at 1.4080 now?
Thank you Crucial Point, Bleek, Trizzle, Darkstar
  • #132,983
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:27am Aug 19, 2009 9:27am
Quoting chngster
What is the probability of EUR/USD coming back down to S1 at 1.4080 now?
I think the probality is very strong in time , let it break from the top after agood struggle .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #132,984
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:29am Aug 19, 2009 9:29am
Why is the USD so weak today? What gives
  • #132,985
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:31am Aug 19, 2009 9:31am
were going up with oil.. drawdown
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #132,986
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:33am Aug 19, 2009 9:33am
wow... 4200

i'm glad my shorts all TP-ed but regreting closing all my longs... that's life.
  • #132,987
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:35am Aug 19, 2009 9:35am
we are very overbought right here facing strong resistance........im holding my 1.4170 shorts
  • #132,988
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:35am Aug 19, 2009 9:35am
  • #132,989
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:37am Aug 19, 2009 9:37am
Quoting fontu
I think the probality is very strong in time , let it break from the top after agood struggle .
fontu

I agree-probability is excellent. We're starting to get aligned with potential for big drop. Sooner than you think.
  • #132,990
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:38am Aug 19, 2009 9:38am
Quoting gatorinla
were going up with oil.. drawdown
DO you think shorting E/U would be ideal now? whats your opinion on the pair?
  • #132,991
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:39am Aug 19, 2009 9:39am
Leonardo fibonacci does
  • #132,992
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:40am Aug 19, 2009 9:40am
1.4200 woot !!
  • #132,993
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:41am Aug 19, 2009 9:41am
i pulled a predictive chart of this move since march..i never did this using march before.. the ph is 4682. longer term.. i also pulled 2 yesterday one was on a 15m from yesterday it said the short term high would be 4168.(4171 rh). it was right... i then noticed where i could of pulled one from the day before.. i will repost what it said when i find the post.. if i recall it was 4220 ish... ill correct this post to ph when i find it..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #132,994
  • Edited 9:44am Aug 19, 2009 9:42am | Edited 9:44am
Quoting topestyles
DO you think shorting E/U would be ideal now? whats your opinion on the pair?
H4 Diamond is likely to complete at 4248-short there, or a few points below it.
  • #132,995
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:44am Aug 19, 2009 9:44am
Quoting gatorinla
not really.. i posted my thought but could be wrong.. i really dont think anyone knows with 80% certainty.. i pulled a preditive chart and it showed 4168 as the high...shortest term (todays move)... take that with a grain of salt... i did think earlier we had hit the high but were still getting earnings reports like HP. i enterd my short at 4141.. right or wrong i post what it tells me.. so far it says 4168 and thats only 97 pips in this move.. did another and it had 4240 as the ph using yesterdays move.. both charts put todays high in play yesterdays...
sorry i was wrong it said 4240.. this is the post #132658
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #132,996
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:45am Aug 19, 2009 9:45am
Quoting chngster
What is the probability of EUR/USD coming back down to S1 at 1.4080 now?
1.4250 is top of downtrend in 60 min chart. If it does not get above and bounces off that level, I am still going for below 1.4000. Now flat and waiting for entry signal.
  • #132,997
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:47am Aug 19, 2009 9:47am
also i mentioned a red chart its working also still 4205 may be support now..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #132,998
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:49am Aug 19, 2009 9:49am
No surprises folks, at the bottom of the channel the biggest probability is for price to go up . If you go long and it goes against you it means you are wrong, no big deal, you cut your losses. That's what professional traders do.



Now if you go short and price goes in your favor you are lucky, that's what gamblers are good at . Otherwise if price goes against you, and you find yourself shorting in a hole, you are not unlucky neither a trader you are an idiot !
  • #132,999
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:53am Aug 19, 2009 9:53am
i am sure many f!@#$%ed up with that spike...but thats life LOOOOL
  • #133,000
  • Aug 19, 2009 9:53am Aug 19, 2009 9:53am
That 1.4227 high is right at my upper TL, but I have a resistance line drawn at 1.4240 and a Fib. at 1.4250, so Im going to wait and see if price gets to those levels before shorting, if it doesn't then oh well, there will plenty more chances in the future.
On a journey to consistency.
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