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  • #125,861
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:01am Jul 28, 2009 7:01am
Quoting Pipsta
We should have not dropped our shorts, huh...got caught bear assed....
I renewed mine at 4277 #125854

already closed 2/3's of it at 4225. Letting the other 1/3 ride.
  • #125,862
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:01am Jul 28, 2009 7:01am
Now the 4210 price comes into play with the hourly BB....or the daily low might scare off the bears.
  • #125,863
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:04am Jul 28, 2009 7:04am
Quoting stevefx
I renewed mine at 4277 #125854

already closed 2/3's of it at 4225. Letting the other 1/3 ride.
I'm still not good at rejoining a move if I don't get a clear spike retracement even if it's small....those type of push push push moves keep me off balance if I'm not already in it. It hugged the top drop trendline perfectly on the move but I still have issues with jumping in. Trader psychology......
  • #125,864
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:05am Jul 28, 2009 7:05am
Wow 20 pips later, it seems to be up now, isn't it?
  • #125,865
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:05am Jul 28, 2009 7:05am
USA is just getting on, many bears among them and they might see an opportunity here...we shall see
  • #125,866
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:11am Jul 28, 2009 7:11am
Quoting pacific_trip
Wow 20 pips later, it seems to be up now, isn't it?
not yet.. normal retrace of move 4239 is fib 23.6%
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,867
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:12am Jul 28, 2009 7:12am
Funny game today for me....nearly 75pips on the hesitation moves between the 4300 and 4260 ranging but shut out on the drop down which would have net me around 75pips if I held it from the initial position I got. Heh... The trading isn't done though, I see alot more movement coming.
  • #125,868
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:12am Jul 28, 2009 7:12am
hi guys,

my 2 cents :

these days i am just watching equity's futures to trade eur/usd

the trend on this paire is still up but after all these green sessions one can anticipate a red day maybe today , it will depends mainly on figures coming this morning.
personally i am short on this paire since 141,70 and then 142,50 and 142,90.
I am targeting 141,50 for today.
  • #125,869
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:16am Jul 28, 2009 7:16am
Quoting Pipsta
I'm still not good at rejoining a move if I don't get a clear spike retracement even if it's small....those type of push push push moves keep me off balance if I'm not already in it. It hugged the top drop trendline perfectly on the move but I still have issues with jumping in. Trader psychology......
i want to go long but, usually after one hammer, i have to go just after one candle confirmation, but for this time i think we can again move down also we have a Psych resistance at 6500 and we have already one harami on M5 (gu)....i just take two position short on eu and ej looking for short also on gu...
Trade with the momentum
  • #125,870
  • Edited 7:19am Jul 28, 2009 7:17am | Edited 7:19am
Bears must prove that they can regain control...

Nearest 1H swing point 1.4204, unless this is broken, tone will remain bullish.

If 1.4204 give way, bears still need to get 1.4120 low to get things going.

Reloaded longs at 1.4228, still targeting 1.4339 and 1.4350.

Going with the flow, milking the new highs...
Getting it right is NOT as important as not getting it wrong.
  • #125,871
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:19am Jul 28, 2009 7:19am
Well some weakness has appeared from early this morning, I'm looking for stopping volume to take a long position
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  • #125,872
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:35am Jul 28, 2009 7:35am
Stochastic @ SWING LOW as the price supported by 89SMA here (see ellipse). Rebounce will happen...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.gif Size: 50 KB
  • #125,873
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:39am Jul 28, 2009 7:39am
Bears look scared of that daily low.
  • #125,874
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:44am Jul 28, 2009 7:44am
Depending on the news coming soon it could break down the 4216 line.

Maybe the current move is a clue?
  • #125,875
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:45am Jul 28, 2009 7:45am
sorry the chat is not clear what point is the rebounce

Quoting orangeRANGE
Stochastic @ SWING LOW as the price supported by89SMA here (see ellipse). Rebounce will happen...
  • #125,876
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:46am Jul 28, 2009 7:46am
Let's see if usd index can breakout, or if it's going to breakdown from this descending triangle pattern on 1H chart...
Attached Image
Getting it right is NOT as important as not getting it wrong.
  • #125,877
  • Edited 8:03am Jul 28, 2009 7:51am | Edited 8:03am
it aint over yet.. 24 is a big nut to crack and hold...if it happens 4199 is the next with a bump at 4210..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,878
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:54am Jul 28, 2009 7:54am
Quoting stevefx
I took short pos again avg 77, smaller this time though, looking for the long move down. Don't see the bull power in it now, and US is going to want to sell from high levels, plus H&S.
The H&S is a great possibility on the 1 hour chart. If the right shoulder is rounded like the left shoulder, expect a big move down. However, if its rounded we will be in a sideways position for a while. Until then I think scalps are more prudent. At least untill there is comformation. There is also an ascending triangle on the 1 hour chart.
  • #125,879
  • Jul 28, 2009 7:58am Jul 28, 2009 7:58am
The supporting trendline for the move up is now acting as the resistance on this retrace. Break it and close above it very well might bring the Bulls back.
  • #125,880
  • Jul 28, 2009 8:00am Jul 28, 2009 8:00am
1.4220 is my 200SMA for m30 hee
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