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  • #119,501
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:25am Jul 8, 2009 8:25am
Open a long trade for the first time today at 1.3903 ,tp 1.3971,sl 1.3880.still not analyse what can be happen to it but price now at the bottom of days range so far.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #119,502
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:26am Jul 8, 2009 8:26am
Quoting notch
Well he is the man. Get the workbook...it will help.
nearly 2:30 an PA @ volty on 5min....this is giving me the horn.....
  • #119,503
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:35am Jul 8, 2009 8:35am
Hi, all. Didn't post for a long time. I was quite destabilized by the late PA behavior, considering some previous days fundamental and finishing with today's Germany industrial production. I know that news channels such as CNBC and Bloomberg pump up or down the market to serve their own interest, so I guess we have to wait until they are done.

Thus being said I am long on EUR and looking for 1.45. The price can't go against fundamentals for a long period of time.
  • #119,504
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:36am Jul 8, 2009 8:36am
Prospect of my long seems good enough ,corresponding GU acting faster though.
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #119,505
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:36am Jul 8, 2009 8:36am
THe price can and will go wherever it wants to regardless of fundamentals.
  • #119,506
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:38am Jul 8, 2009 8:38am
Quoting nahman
THe price can and will go wherever it wants to regardless of fundamentals.
I'd have to disagree with you buddy. You may want to say that one may not know all the fundamentals and sometimes price turns or behaves on info that common herd does not have.

However I dare you, and I double dare you to go against fundamentals. This would just create a better position for me for when the price realigns and sometimes overshoots.
  • #119,507
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:44am Jul 8, 2009 8:44am
another outside bar right at volty....
  • #119,508
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:46am Jul 8, 2009 8:46am
Quoting TheFisherman
I'd have to disagree with you buddy. You may want to say that one may not know all the fundamentals and sometimes price turns or behaves on info that common herd does not have.

However I dare you, and I double dare you to go against fundamentals. This would just create a better position for me for when the price realigns and sometimes overshoots.
I've done an in depth analysis using statistical software on different effects on the dollar from different economic indicators - it's difficult to predict even interest rate changes have had only 70% success rate in intended direction.
  • #119,509
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:47am Jul 8, 2009 8:47am
Quoting TheFisherman
I'd have to disagree with you buddy. You may want to say that one may not know all the fundamentals and sometimes price turns or behaves on info that common herd does not have.

However I dare you, and I double dare you to go against fundamentals. This would just create a better position for me for when the price realigns and sometimes overshoots.

Sir! Time-frame...yes time frame!
  • #119,510
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:50am Jul 8, 2009 8:50am
Quoting nahman
I've done an in depth analysis using statistical software on different effects on the dollar from different economic indicators - it's difficult to predict even interest rate changes have had only 70% success rate in intended direction.
Were you expecting a immediate result? You know that when exports/imports are at low levels E/U is used as a hedging tool. By the way, any news on the bonds auction today?

Here's a rather useless fundamental news - bullish, but Bloomberg sits it on top of the page hence as I were saying seems news channels finished their deal.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aHDEXkWnZpA0
  • #119,511
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:51am Jul 8, 2009 8:51am
Quoting notch
Sir! Time-frame...yes time frame!
Huh? You mean my time frame for long? H1 to W1.
  • #119,512
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:54am Jul 8, 2009 8:54am
Quoting TheFisherman
Were you expecting a immediate result? You know that when exports/imports are at low levels E/U is used as a hedging tool. By the way, any news on the bonds auction today?

Here's a rather useless fundamental news - bullish, but Bloomberg sits it on top of the page hence as I were saying seems news channels finished their deal.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aHDEXkWnZpA0
As aforementioned by notch, time frame is important obviously youre not going to get immediate results :|
  • #119,513
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:56am Jul 8, 2009 8:56am
Better than stress
u/cad will go up and mostly e/u down again
  • #119,514
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:58am Jul 8, 2009 8:58am
Quoting notch
Sir! Time-frame...yes time frame!
Im still in the trade also. So we didnt get alot of movement in the european markets. No problem most of it should happen between now and 3pm est
  • #119,515
  • Jul 8, 2009 8:58am Jul 8, 2009 8:58am
Quoting TheFisherman
Huh? You mean my time frame for long? H1 to W1.

One abbreviation: PPP


It has a very low correlation in the short to medium term but high beyond that.
  • #119,516
  • Jul 8, 2009 9:01am Jul 8, 2009 9:01am
Quoting klinckphilip
Im still in the trade also. So we didnt get alot of movement in the european markets. No problem most of it should happen between now and 3pm est

Oh come on man! This long is going on too long! Forgive the pun...
  • #119,517
  • Jul 8, 2009 9:02am Jul 8, 2009 9:02am
Quoting notch
Oh come on man! This long is going on too long! Forgive the pun...
Do you still long
  • #119,518
  • Jul 8, 2009 9:02am Jul 8, 2009 9:02am
I can't see price reversing off the bottom of this fork again. Should head down below 1.3744 minimum.
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  • #119,519
  • Jul 8, 2009 9:03am Jul 8, 2009 9:03am
Quoting The Egyptian
Do you still long

I'm still long.
  • #119,520
  • Jul 8, 2009 9:05am Jul 8, 2009 9:05am
English : Enough so bored
Turkish : Yeter bu kadar cok sikildim
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