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  • #115,701
  • Jun 26, 2009 8:01pm Jun 26, 2009 8:01pm
have a great weekend !
  • #115,702
  • Jun 27, 2009 12:23am Jun 27, 2009 12:23am
have a great weekend all...i am off for small tour see u guys on monday
  • #115,703
  • Jun 27, 2009 1:11am Jun 27, 2009 1:11am
Quoting Hell7
The attached chart showes some trendlines on the daily I am currently watching.

Zoomed in picture showing

  1. green = current fork
  2. red = current upchanel
  3. white = valid until proven otherwise
  4. grey = untested or broken & backtested

Looks like a work by Picasso, LOL.
  • #115,704
  • Jun 27, 2009 3:54am Jun 27, 2009 3:54am
Quoting Chicky
Explain me oil at $147 and at $37.
Explain me a 5 second spike that wiped my account off a few months ago. No such spike on reciprocal pairs. Explain me outrageous spreads. Explain me money games are not dirty. Explain me Madoff, explain me Ponzi, explain me insurance bubbles, explain me housing bubble, explain me giving loans to people who cannot repay, explain me all about big dogs and their touts.
none of these things have anything to do with banks collaborating to move the market to their advantage. Madoff and Ponzi are criminal cons not relevant to the discussion, market bubbles are explainable within the context of normal market behaviour. Givng loans was a greed based process which came back and bit those lenders hard. The oil moves were driven by traders, which you were free to participate in. Big dogs have more money as an advantage but they loose just as much as anybody else. Bank of Thailand once bet half of its reserves on a single currency trade and lost. Warren buffet had to cover a short EUR/USD position 1.3 billion in the red. If you really believe there is a conspiracy with insurmountable resources against you, why do you persist?

Sorry to hear about that spike but either the market moved there or it did not. If it did not you have a case against your broker
BTC Return This Year: na
  • #115,705
  • Edited 6:20am Jun 27, 2009 5:12am | Edited 6:20am
I think, the upcoming week is carved in stone; not only it is the first week for the quarter and half-year periods but we also have NFP coming out on thursday (no wonder, it is the first week of the of the month =). Having a look at the expected number of -375k makes me think of all the analysts following the trend and missing the upside breakout happened last NFP with the "suprise" -345k instead of the expected -520k. I think most likely this time the number is going to be a negative suprise for the market. I think we are going to test 1.43xx-1.44xx area for the next week until the NFP is out. Obviously its hard to tell which way the market goes after NFP is out even if you get your NFP expectations right. Basically, i think, most people are just watching the momentum and get in whatever direction the market is going since the news can be already discounted. Thinking about last NFP behaviour when speculations of the early fed funds rate increase as early as this year crashed E/U and the last fed's statement about low rates for a prolonged period of time together with weak inflation numbers and a strong believe that either positive or negative suprise can lead to one thing anyways make me think of E/U going to shoot up to near 1.50, so to speak i am dollar bearish for the next major event (expected or unexpected).
Current range can also be either the top or the bottom E/U range for the next half-year period. Then, there is China with its initiative to create new reserve's unit of account not dependent on a single nation currency and the need for dollar devaluation for the sake of US economy. Those are major themes but as always, just play the trend dude =)
  • #115,706
  • Jun 27, 2009 4:35pm Jun 27, 2009 4:35pm
Quoting IMARICH1
...but I have learned too many systems...AHHHHH.....I know all this but I am NOT successful......I lose and lose and lose!!!

I am just trying to build back a destroyed and depleated account....I have been here before....and before....the situations just change.....I honestly believe at times the deck is stacked against me.....

Up and down that lonely road of faith
I have been there
Unprepared for the storms and the tides that rise
I've realized one thing ......
I believe we can make it through the winds of change

Source: Kid Rock
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #115,707
  • Jun 28, 2009 4:28am Jun 28, 2009 4:28am
Quoting Patience
Up and down that lonely road of faith
I have been there
Unprepared for the storms and the tides that rise
I've realized one thing ......
I believe we can make it through the winds of change

Source: Kid Rock
That is it ,never loose the heart & one day it will come true.failures are the pillar of success.
source : fontu

IMARICH1, never try to recover that lost just build from what you have ,take care .
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #115,708
  • Edited 6:53am Jun 28, 2009 6:39am | Edited 6:53am
Quoting cuzloc
Hello everyone I am new to the boards I have been lurking for a while, reading, learning and applying(wash, rinse, repeat)

So I am here to become a millionare by the end of the year trading forex... hahah sike I have read this same quote a ton around the board and it makes me laugh everytime.

I want to just build my skills, knowledge, and mm.

All help is greatly appreictaed and I look forward to learning something from each and everyone of you!

Be blessed with pips today!
Hi & welcome !

Start demo with 0,1 colect 100 pips go to 0,2 ect. if you feel from 100 + pips go back on 0,1. Choose your basic time frame, use many. I have a goal to doble input on demo (10 k) before real.

It doesn`t help me much but bring me closer to understand that this is not peace of cake.

TA + FA ? You can be expert for one but use both. I`ve read that the way is 10 years long. (few hours on day) . go true quality learninig process, they are free but try to choose good ones like
http://www.babypips.com/school/ That what u allready go thrue plus
http://www.informedtrades.com/trades.php?page=forex2 ect.

Find pepople in neighborhood doing the same "hobby". Read forums as this one and ask all the time...

But shure goes true this (great job) first :
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=39514

good luck

Iztok
  • #115,709
  • Jun 28, 2009 10:42am Jun 28, 2009 10:42am
about 7 more hours to a new week of party !
  • #115,710
  • Jun 28, 2009 12:18pm Jun 28, 2009 12:18pm
We are coming to the end of June. On Wednesday July will begin. This week is particularly important since:

1) June ends. Our monthly candle will close and give clues as to the EUR-USD strength or weakness.
2) Non Farm Employment Change (NFP)
3) July 4th (USA independence day) is on Saturday. and
4) Many important Fundamental Reports all crammed together to fit in BEFORE Friday when USA traders take off early.



Looking at the MONTHLY chart we are in a triangle. A break of this triangle by the high number of fundamental reports this week will a signify new momentum come in the market and another round of rally in EUR-USD price.


The WEEKLY chart is bullish after a week long gyration that resulted in Friday's rally.

See Charts.
Attached Images
  • #115,711
  • Jun 28, 2009 1:26pm Jun 28, 2009 1:26pm
I see a divergenz on 4H chart, so i think we will go down and only later we can go up...
What do you think about this?

(or this divergenz we can see better on 1H chart)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.gif Size: 26 KB
  • #115,712
  • Jun 28, 2009 1:31pm Jun 28, 2009 1:31pm
Quoting RussoS
I see a divergenz on 4H chart, so i think we will go down and only later we can go up...
What do you think about this?

(or this divergenz we can see better on 1H chart)

a that can happen already at night or tomorrow morning, what do you think?

-----------------

matjaz
  • #115,713
  • Jun 28, 2009 2:02pm Jun 28, 2009 2:02pm
Quoting matjaz1982
a that can happen already at night or tomorrow morning, what do you think?

-----------------

matjaz
yes I think this too. tomorrow there wont be important fundies, so we can go down and thuesday or wednesday we can go only up.
  • #115,714
  • Jun 28, 2009 2:05pm Jun 28, 2009 2:05pm
Wow no one has mentioned anything about a "huge gap" this weekend.....

What the heck let me be the first to start the rumor.....

I see a 137 pip gap to the down side. Do you think it will get filled before the London open......
It's All About Attitude ...
  • #115,715
  • Jun 28, 2009 2:09pm Jun 28, 2009 2:09pm
Quoting Billser
Wow no one has mentioned anything about a "huge gap" this weekend.....

What the heck let me be the first to start the rumor.....

I see a 137 pip gap to the down side. Do you think it will get filled before the London open......
could you make a picture about GAP?
Thx.
  • #115,716
  • Jun 28, 2009 2:18pm Jun 28, 2009 2:18pm
There is no GAP now... GBP, JPY, NZD is about close prices...
  • #115,717
  • Jun 28, 2009 2:31pm Jun 28, 2009 2:31pm
Quoting RussoS
I see a divergenz on 4H chart, so i think we will go down and only later we can go up...
What do you think about this?

(or this divergenz we can see better on 1H chart)
I see what your saying but this divergence is not proven. The drive which has been ocurring since the 25th has not yet produced either a lower high or lower low. If it does before breaking 4137 then there is your short signal.
  • #115,718
  • Jun 28, 2009 2:48pm Jun 28, 2009 2:48pm
Quoting RussoS
I see a divergenz on 4H chart, so i think we will go down and only later we can go up...
What do you think about this?

(or this divergenz we can see better on 1H chart)
Hi. I see it also, hope not only because I`m in sell
  • #115,719
  • Jun 28, 2009 2:55pm Jun 28, 2009 2:55pm
It's normal to have divergence on fridays


Quoting RussoS
I see a divergenz on 4H chart, so i think we will go down and only later we can go up...
What do you think about this?

(or this divergenz we can see better on 1H chart)
  • #115,720
  • Jun 28, 2009 6:20pm Jun 28, 2009 6:20pm
EUR trade levels

1,4117 - 1,4152 - 1,4191 - 1,4235 - 1,428

1,4078

1,4011 - 1,3972 - 1,3916 - 1,3882 - 1,382

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S + R = $$$

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