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  • #110,521
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:12am Jun 15, 2009 10:12am
Quoting notch
72% probability that this zone is the low of the week.
was that before 3793 was breached? what is it after?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,522
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:12am Jun 15, 2009 10:12am
Quoting plan-b
i'm short at 1.3925
will add more at 1.40 and 1.405 if we get there
target 1.38,1.37 & 1.35

Im also short eur/jpy from 1.3740
target 1.3240

banking some of this positions from last week.
H&S on H4 playing out beautifully.
Also seems to be forming on the daily.Might gradually approach 1.3
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #110,523
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:13am Jun 15, 2009 10:13am
I closed all my shorts over 400 pips, best one 500 pips.

Do not try to do this at home!!

Now time to be careful about good shorts.

Remember about longs only below 1.3805, so we are now, but I will go for nice longs only at 1.3711/33 area, I can open small soon after next drop.
  • #110,524
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:17am Jun 15, 2009 10:17am
notch what are you basing your projections on?
  • #110,525
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:17am Jun 15, 2009 10:17am
i hope you realise the worlds is not what it used to be and at this moment of this day. the eu is on a leash led by commoditys..sure we should retrace now.. its normal.. this move is historic and not on your 5mn charts not even on your day charts..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,526
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:17am Jun 15, 2009 10:17am
Quoting gatorinla
was that before 3793 was breached? what is it after?

The probability stands.
  • #110,527
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:19am Jun 15, 2009 10:19am
Quoting vinesh2
notch what are you basing your projections on?

Intermarket cross correlation analysis dimensionality reduced via Principal Component Analysis.

It could be wrong of course it usually is 28% of the time.
  • #110,528
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:21am Jun 15, 2009 10:21am
Closed all shorts at the bottom of channel as expected since morning & some long in action from there . Hope long continue to some extent .

fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #110,529
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:25am Jun 15, 2009 10:25am
Quoting fontu
Closed all shorts at the bottom of channel as expected since morning & some long in action from there . Hope long continue to some extent .

fontu
I've a couple of lots on 1.4175 by the end of the week.
  • #110,530
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:32am Jun 15, 2009 10:32am
Quoting Jm4x
It's seems that the H&S in day goes to be confirm. So if it's confirmed by a break of the neckline the target will be 1.4338 (head top) - 1.3797 (neckline point under this top) = 541 so 1.3797 - 541 = 1.3256 as target.
This target is the minimum target technically ... Well, it could be interesting to try. I'm just doubtfully until oil doesn't go under 70 as I've said before. My strategy for this week will be to short any pullbacks if and after we break 1.38 with a SL around 1.3860/90 ... Let's dive!! Just my 2 cents of course.
A perfect H&S!
  • #110,531
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:34am Jun 15, 2009 10:34am
mid term number 4128 4050 3988 3769

little longer 3783 3608 3442 3230

long term first target 3230

watch which number is respected most 3769 or 3783..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,532
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:36am Jun 15, 2009 10:36am
Quoting notch
I've a couple of lots on 1.4175 by the end of the week.
taking & closing fast longs -shorts only or scalping ,not thinking building long from this level as bear seem not over yet as of bigger tfs.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #110,533
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:36am Jun 15, 2009 10:36am
Quoting notch
The probability stands.
at what number does it fall?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,534
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:38am Jun 15, 2009 10:38am
good drop ya?

too bad i missed out on the asian session .. was testing other stuffs...

1.3800 is a stronnnng point though..
  • #110,535
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:39am Jun 15, 2009 10:39am
Lets see, if we can turn up here or stall and get me running for the hills again

That was the Sell off into the UK's 4:30 close wasn't it ( Or Europes Stock market closes ?? / both ) so we'll see.
Nothing to it, but to do it!!! Stick to the plan FOOL!!!!
  • #110,536
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:40am Jun 15, 2009 10:40am
Quoting gatorinla
at what number does it fall?

Well if it takes out 3769 with conviction then forget about it! Price will fall like a hoodlum in a lake!
  • #110,537
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:45am Jun 15, 2009 10:45am
Quoting notch
Well if it takes out 3769 with conviction then forget about it! Price will fall like a hoodlum in a lake!
sounds good.. but if 3783 is a short term support and not 3769... when it does move it will burp that little support. id pay attention more to 3783 even more though its higher.. below 3793 and its on..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,538
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:52am Jun 15, 2009 10:52am
i unloaded looking for a pullback.. maybe 3831.. might not happen...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,539
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:57am Jun 15, 2009 10:57am
Turveyd sounds like you are trying to long this pair. I highly recommend not to as this pair is in downtrend and we will need to wait at least till Wed for a definite direction. At the rate we are going right now we may easily see this pair go down to 1.37 and lower at my previous recomendation of 1.36 area
  • #110,540
  • Jun 15, 2009 10:58am Jun 15, 2009 10:58am
Quoting gatorinla
i unloaded looking for a pullback.. maybe 3831.. might not happen...

unloaded in the green is ALWAYS better than risk
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