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  • #109,441
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:23am Jun 12, 2009 2:23am
Now waiting to see how market acts at daily pivot. Could be another short entry.
  • #109,442
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:24am Jun 12, 2009 2:24am
Earlier I saw a post asking when does the Head and Shoulders become poo-poo ?

This would be my read on the pattern turning invalid. Where the little blue circle
highlights the NFP spike anything over that would signal to me that there is no H&S
amd the market was ready to move much higher, taking all the shorts with it.

That would be my "get-the-hell-out-stop" . Until then, I think attempts to move the market higher will get
met with sufficient selling and attempts to move mkt lower keep getting slapped in the face with reality.

If I can't stand it any longer, I would maybe sell into some strength.
But keeping in mind the "get the hell out" price is well over the 142 figure,
position size (half or less) would have to be comensurate with the risk(high).
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  • #109,443
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:26am Jun 12, 2009 2:26am
Quoting gatorinla
ok folks did my home work if you can short at 4193.. nike it.. 57 pip sl..were gonna go down unless there a pipeline bomb or war or something..if its war depends on whos involved...pipeline and we go up. 3054 is in the tea leaves..
haha...always the funny guy. Heres an interesting sidenote worth considering.

Yesterday during the US session we had the ever so crucial 30year bond auction and its results. That is the most important bond auction of them all as it shows who is buying US treasuries for the long term and how much. Now I dont know exact details about it...didnt bother looking into it but the fact that pa just went lower compared to where it was during the 30year bond news speaks a thousand words.....very different from that 500pip up day we saw not too long ago if you recall where a similar statement.."Feds buying treasuries" didnt see a retrace for quite some time. In other words...your comment...sounds just right to me haha.
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #109,444
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:26am Jun 12, 2009 2:26am
Quoting The Fool
I wouldn't be surprised if this thing ranged in a 40-pip tube until NY open. I'm gonna play the BB bounce for 5-pip winners & see how much I can make in an hour.

Good luck all.
One hour, 8 half-lot short scalps, all 4-12 pips, $337. Missed the run down from .4085, Damn! I had some from above .4100 that I coulda shoulda let run. Oh well.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #109,445
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:27am Jun 12, 2009 2:27am
Quoting gatorinla
.....3054 is in the tea leaves..

1000 pips Gator ? That's some strong fucking tea ! What's in that teacup of yours ?

When I grow up I wanna be as bearish as you.
  • #109,446
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:30am Jun 12, 2009 2:30am
Good morning brothers and sisters,

PH: 1.4182
PL: 1.3998
  • #109,447
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:31am Jun 12, 2009 2:31am
iam new trader any one see up trend or it fail no more up
  • #109,448
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:31am Jun 12, 2009 2:31am
Quoting ak4x
mr jay... plzzzzzzzzzzzz help

i see weakly chart on gu and think it go down. then i think it go up. then i donno what it do. then i get pain in my head. i know you good guy and not like that other mean guy. you hep me plzzzz mr jay?

that's some funny s**t.
  • #109,449
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:33am Jun 12, 2009 2:33am
Quoting Carcour76
iam new trader any one see up trend or it fail no more up
Holy Geez, Are you by chance related to Elghoz ? Plzzz respond, thank you. plzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.
  • #109,450
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:36am Jun 12, 2009 2:36am
Quoting Atlast
Good morning.
Volatility entering market, it could get scary.
Yeah... we were just sayin...

Limit buy at 4054 missed by a pip geez what a mess.

Geppy is kickin butt and takin names... out of my short and catchin my breath. gettin too creaky for that crap.

A glass of merlot and off to la la land... I'll sort this mess out in the morning. G'nite.
FUBAR...
  • #109,451
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:37am Jun 12, 2009 2:37am
Okay, now we're cooking.

This 4060 area is important because it's a short term linear support zone that just broke down.

Me thinks the shorts are grabing hold of this market and are planning to give it a good whacking.
The last 3 movements look corrective and hit on some fibs suggesting a full retrace of yesterday's move.

In other words, below 140. Probably a bunch lower, but for now that's just as good a number as any.

Now I'd really like to see some strength to sell because it's Friday and I'm just not in the mood for 200 pip stops.
I don't wanna sell this here. Not in an up trend. I want better risk than, "oooh look, it's going down.."

Patience.
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  • #109,452
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:39am Jun 12, 2009 2:39am
Quoting Forex ATM
good guess from 4 hours ago-----

on a serious note...this wasn't a guess...the next predicted level is close at 1.4060 followed by 1.4015 but would then figure if we are that close the 1.4000 is within reach...hence 1.4000 today...
posted 3 hours ago..no believers in this joint...geez and ak4x in LONG
  • #109,453
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:42am Jun 12, 2009 2:42am
no why
  • #109,454
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:43am Jun 12, 2009 2:43am
Quoting ak4x
Yeah... we were just sayin...

Limit buy at 4054 missed by a pip geez what a mess.

Geppy is kickin butt and takin names... out of my short and catchin my breath. gettin too creaky for that crap.

A glass of merlot and off to la la land... I'll sort this mess out in the morning. G'nite.
I think you may have got robbed there. It hit 1.4053 on my platform. Check if anyone else saw it there.
(edited: that was on the bid, so if you have 1 spread it should be 1.4054 at the ask, or maybe you did just miss it if spread 2 pips)
  • #109,455
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:44am Jun 12, 2009 2:44am
some s/r scalping numbers 4193 77 69 22 4033 3999 45 13

a little stronger ones..4343 4215 4175/93 32 4070 4004 3925 3831 3791/97 3757
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,456
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:46am Jun 12, 2009 2:46am
Placed long at 1.4058, sl 1.3990,TP 1.4250 though I thought 1.4025 be enough but always afraid of my sl be hunt so easily.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #109,457
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:46am Jun 12, 2009 2:46am
Quoting toshi
Holy Geez, Are you by chance related to Elghoz ?
oh plzzzz no...

Toshi, your "short story" bummed me out. I'm gonna pretend I didn't read it.

I missed my limit entry but jumped in manually at 4060 (sl at 43). If you're right, at least whack me softly.
FUBAR...
  • #109,458
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:47am Jun 12, 2009 2:47am
About nine hours ago ak4x provided a QP at 4050 which coincides with pivot of a today's 3H bar. This pivot was not hit today. Therefore ,I followed 1.4051 instead of DP of 1.4075. The PA just missed QP of 1.4050 only by 3 pips. I am following ak4x's analysis for rest of the move.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #109,459
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:48am Jun 12, 2009 2:48am
Quoting toshi
1000 pips Gator ? That's some strong fucking tea ! What's in that teacup of yours ?

When I grow up I wanna be as bearish as you.
got more where that come from..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,460
  • Jun 12, 2009 2:48am Jun 12, 2009 2:48am
any one look for up
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