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  • #101,001
  • May 26, 2009 3:28pm May 26, 2009 3:28pm
Quoting SeerEye
Definitely thought provoking info. I've got the volumes also, but still am learning how to use them and analyze them appropriately. Gunna take awhile.
Where do you get volume from?

Thanks
  • #101,002
  • May 26, 2009 3:30pm May 26, 2009 3:30pm
Quoting Rednose
I believe the same guys that did it in the past.... There are many countries trying to be accepted in the EU, in some of this countries like Poland and Turkey the loans are not so high like in Germany(where I live as a foreigner) or French this could balance it up in the near future. I do believe that all of this is just the preparation for another BIG War (next years not now) with a strong Euro and nobody buying European products there will be less jobs, less money and a very negative sentiment we all know what can happen when this factors come...
i agree.. when oil falls russia will be looking over its borders and willing to shut the valve in winter.. all they have to do is dress a few locals up in geogian uniforms and shoot at their own people on the other side.. mean while sink a few ships in some key areas blocking channels and oil drys up...mean while supply some of the pirates and nigirerian rebels with arms and its on.. this brings europe and u.s into it and puts china in africa..saudis will side with whoever will protect his horses..this is the reason u.s. needs to get off our ass.. we cant absorb a conflict such as this.. we already tore down the factories and the russians are laughing..the trojans are already here..ok im finished...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,003
  • May 26, 2009 3:30pm May 26, 2009 3:30pm
Quoting SeerEye
Attachment
Thank you
  • #101,004
  • May 26, 2009 3:32pm May 26, 2009 3:32pm
Quoting Dazzer
I've been thinking for a while about posting my daily system and starting my own journal, would anyone please let me know how the hell I do it.

Thanks

Dazzer
Er, well, there not only is a Trading system thread, but a Trading journal also.

http://www.forexfactory.com/forumdisplay.php?f=71
http://www.forexfactory.com/forumdisplay.php?f=49
  • #101,005
  • May 26, 2009 3:38pm May 26, 2009 3:38pm
Quoting Maelstrom
Where do you get volume from?

Thanks
Try this.....
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 VolumesON.mq4   5 KB | 403 downloads
  • #101,006
  • May 26, 2009 3:38pm May 26, 2009 3:38pm
Quoting traderathome
Try this.....
Thanks!
  • #101,007
  • May 26, 2009 3:41pm May 26, 2009 3:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
i agree.. when oil falls russia will be looking over its borders and willing to shut the valve in winter.. all they have to do is dress a few locals up in geogian uniforms and shoot at their own people on the other side.. mean while sink a few ships in some key areas blocking channels and oil drys up...mean while supply some of the pirates and nigirerian rebels with arms and its on.. this brings europe and u.s into it and puts china in africa..saudis will side with whoever will protect his horses..this is the reason u.s. needs to get off our ass.....
Hey, just get the kids in chinese classes now & they probly be alright.

All my 20-pip shorts paid off at .3975 and I'm gone til fo/lo.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #101,008
  • May 26, 2009 3:43pm May 26, 2009 3:43pm
Quoting goldsurfer
Er, well, there not only is a Trading system thread, but a Trading journal also.

http://www.forexfactory.com/forumdisplay.php?f=71
http://www.forexfactory.com/forumdisplay.php?f=49

Thanks. Just noticed the "start new thread" tab.
Bit of a give-away innit..
  • #101,009
  • May 26, 2009 3:45pm May 26, 2009 3:45pm
EU M15 Chart: I have boxed the range. The MT4 fib retracement tool (enhanced with expansion levels) is applied to this range. You can see targets down to the 424% FE level......obviously, I am thinking the move will be down, not up.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot # 245..gif Size: 31 KB
  • #101,010
  • May 26, 2009 3:46pm May 26, 2009 3:46pm
Quoting TheFisherman
Rats, it actually does not work 50% it's less, it's less Just pulled out this charts out of a 15000 records database.

These is the distribution of your profit would you have shorted a 1hr candle with longer upper wick with close on the next hour/2hours/3hours/5hours candle. The graphs are your profit had you done this since may 2006.

[EDIT] What this charts show is that you would have successfully pulled out profits IF youdda gone long on a longer upper wick since a few months ago.
got a question.. in your earlier analyis with wicks.. were you able to incorporate the 100 sma 15m that he mentioned as a sl in your analysis? if not could you?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,011
  • May 26, 2009 3:52pm May 26, 2009 3:52pm
Quoting traderathome
EU M15 Chart: I have boxed the range. The MT4 fib retracement tool (enhanced with expansion levels) is applied to this range. You can see targets down to the 424% FE level......obviously, I am thinking the move will be down, not up.
piss you mean there is a tool for this?? out of courisity what does the tool say is the top. and how long ahead of time will it indicate it?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,012
  • May 26, 2009 3:57pm May 26, 2009 3:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
piss you mean there is a tool for this?? out of courisity what does the tool say is the top. and how long ahead of time will it indicate it?
You have to spot the range (top & bottom) yourself, based on the PA. But once PA moves to a new area, it will eventually give you a high and low for that area to draw your upper and lower range boundaries. MT4 has a fib extension tool. Apply it to the upper and lower boundaries (in the direction of anticipated run) to get expansion levels (practice with the tool). I added expansion levels to the MT4 fib retracement tool, which now does both my retracement and expansion studies.
  • #101,013
  • May 26, 2009 4:00pm May 26, 2009 4:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
when oil falls russia ...
Hi Gatorinla,

Russia is not the largest oil producer in the world (4th or 6th place, can not remember now) They are number one in natural gas though. Europe buys around 60% of its gas from Russia.

Just something to think about...
  • #101,014
  • May 26, 2009 4:01pm May 26, 2009 4:01pm
Quoting The Fool
Hey, just get the kids in chinese classes now & they probly be alright.

All my 20-pip shorts paid off at .3975 and I'm gone til fo/lo.
yep and china is bulking up as we speak with commodities.. they again started when prices fell and as you see oil ect. going up as demand fell in the u.s. they are buying every drop they can get.. either for economic turn up or war they will be prepared..mean while we shut down more factories.. yes our grunts will have to read chinese so they can drive our new tanks..made in china..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,015
  • May 26, 2009 4:04pm May 26, 2009 4:04pm
Quoting traderathome
EU M15 Chart: I have boxed the range. The MT4 fib retracement tool (enhanced with expansion levels) is applied to this range. You can see targets down to the 424% FE level......obviously, I am thinking the move will be down, not up.
Those spikes up into the 1.40 area may be telling of lots of overhand, and down may be easier than up. Might have to reload shorts on some spike if US equity futures look dim.

EDIT: not very likely scenario above heh...going long is an option I guess. But looks like rangebound chop fest is still the soup de jour.
  • #101,016
  • May 26, 2009 4:04pm May 26, 2009 4:04pm
Quoting cammomile
Hi Gatorinla,

Russia is not the largest oil producer in the world (4th or 6th place, can not remember now) They are number one in natural gas though. Europe buys around 60% of its gas from Russia.

Just something to think about...
ok.. and whats the point?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,017
  • May 26, 2009 4:12pm May 26, 2009 4:12pm
Quoting TIckerShuffl
Those spikes up into the 1.40 area may be telling of lots of overhand, and down may be easier than up. Might have to reload shorts on some spike if US equity futures look dim.
Yes, and if you examine the H1 chart, for the last 6-7 hours, PA over 1.3990 was driven right back down into the 1.3980s, presumably by heavy shorting, creating a number of upper shadows. So, maybe the market movers are keeping the PA high, to serve their shorting agenda, and will keep it up there until they are finished?
  • #101,018
  • May 26, 2009 4:12pm May 26, 2009 4:12pm
London session we shall see big moves, for now the market rests everyone go to sleep!
  • #101,019
  • May 26, 2009 4:12pm May 26, 2009 4:12pm
Quoting traderathome
You have to spot the range (top & bottom) yourself, based on the PA. But once PA moves to a new area, it will eventually give you a high and low for that area to draw your upper and lower range boundaries. MT4 has a fib extension tool. Apply it to the upper and lower boundaries (in the direction of anticipated run) to get expansion levels (practice with the tool). I added expansion levels to the MT4 fib retracement tool, which now does both my retracement and expansion studies.
i did not know.. but i had a spot using math at below 4051 i went to the next 50 + 1 for big boys.... but using other means (not math) 4077 so i went to 4100 plus 5 for the big boys to. i have much higher ones not based on math.. but this area we are at matched 2 methods within 50 pips..i know its a fools game.. it has to not get above 4105 area to validate.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,020
  • May 26, 2009 4:13pm May 26, 2009 4:13pm
EOD forecasts:

PH: 1.3992
PL: 1.3836




I forget to mention: regardless of what they will have you believe, when there is a large divergence between commercials and large & retail trader you need to be thinking about trading in the direction of the commericials. Don't take my word for it just watch over the coming months. I hope I don't get faded for revealing this...good-night all.
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