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  • #95,761
  • May 13, 2009 10:59am May 13, 2009 10:59am
Quoting shadowman
for me i think this will go down
sounds like in casino mate
CrizZzZzZzZz
  • #95,762
  • May 13, 2009 11:03am May 13, 2009 11:03am
Quoting Yavar
if daily candle close above 3577 i go long SL 3545 and let it run till the end of the week. considering the last week candle formation , it could be the lowest point for the week and even next week. any comments will be appreciated . . .
What makes you think that way and how far do you expect it to go according to your scenario?

It sounds very ambitious for me, though, but that makes me curious too.
  • #95,763
  • May 13, 2009 11:07am May 13, 2009 11:07am
Quoting Elghoz
hi anyonehaveidea if there is risk to go down more then 3600
The last two lows on the 4h show 1.3560's so that's pretty good support
Looking at a weekly chart though one wonders if we are in the 3rd wave of wave 4 of the correction up looking for a mjor reversal down
  • #95,764
  • May 13, 2009 11:08am May 13, 2009 11:08am
Do S&P futures telegraph moves on the EUR/USD?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #95,765
  • May 13, 2009 11:10am May 13, 2009 11:10am
Quoting IcoHristovBG
sounds like in casino mate
this is the casino not bet is a sure thing
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,766
  • May 13, 2009 11:13am May 13, 2009 11:13am
Quoting gatorinla
this is the casino not bet is a sure thing http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AwXFbiuxlrA
it will surely go down in 1 year , i swear ! This is the call of the year
CrizZzZzZzZz
  • #95,767
  • May 13, 2009 11:14am May 13, 2009 11:14am
Quoting GlitzGlitz
What makes you think that way and how far do you expect it to go according to your scenario?

It sounds very ambitious for me, though, but that makes me curious too.

first of all i must say Its only a possibility, i might be wrong but what is important is how to manage my money which in this case i see a very good profit/loss ratio

main Reasons : Full bulish candle of the last week

breaking a very important resistance line ( since 2008.12.14)

SO line formation on my Monthly chart
  • #95,768
  • May 13, 2009 11:16am May 13, 2009 11:16am
Quoting gatorinla
yes its a coin toss... but add this in .. oil inventories down a bunch...yet oil is lower today.. i expected the bounce.. i wrote it ahead of time when eu was not around any s/r.. it bounced..3565
I'd move my S/L down and was only slightly above 1.3565, phew or a word to that effect went through my mind.
Good Trading. (keep it simple).
  • #95,769
  • May 13, 2009 11:19am May 13, 2009 11:19am
Gator... take a gander at the weekly/monthly, then carry this current daily S/R level back into Oct/Nov for reference.

grey =21sma
red = 50ema
Attached Images
FUBAR...
  • #95,770
  • May 13, 2009 11:19am May 13, 2009 11:19am
well if you go long you know what your risk is.. r/r should be great.. but to me so far the bounce did not impress me.. im wondering where the beef is..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,771
  • May 13, 2009 11:23am May 13, 2009 11:23am
Quoting Yavar
first of all i must say Its only a possibility, i might be wrong but what is important is how to manage my money which in this case i see a very good R : S

main Reasons : Full bulish candle of the last week

breaking a very important resistance line ( since 2008.12.14)

SO line formation on my Monthly chart
Pardon my newbieness, but what is a SO line formation?
  • #95,772
  • May 13, 2009 11:26am May 13, 2009 11:26am
Quoting gatorinla
well if you go long...

im wondering where the beef is..
I aint't thinkin longish... 145.oo is the Brink and it are Teetering as I post.... 4th tap on 1hr. check the 4hr as well.

UJ fightin the 96. I'm thinkin someone's got a case of the munchies for the Yen after whatever They been smokin lately, and the buck ain't far behind. That's just me tho. My timing stinks sometimes.
FUBAR...
  • #95,773
  • May 13, 2009 11:30am May 13, 2009 11:30am
Quoting GlitzGlitz
Pardon my newbieness, but what is a SO line formation?
Stochastic Oscilator
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  • #95,774
  • May 13, 2009 11:31am May 13, 2009 11:31am
Quoting GlitzGlitz
Pardon my newbieness, but what is a SO line formation?

pardon my poor english
  • #95,775
  • May 13, 2009 11:35am May 13, 2009 11:35am
Quoting ak4x
Gator... take a gander at the weekly/monthly, then carry this current daily S/R level back into Oct/Nov for reference.

grey =21sma
red = 50ema
i got the first test just under 1.5 gu 4930/47 ish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,776
  • May 13, 2009 11:39am May 13, 2009 11:39am
Quoting ak4x
UJ fightin the 96.
...and the cutest shampoo on the daily/weekly I've seen in a while as well... I might have to go slummin here.

We are 2 pips from the March 16 weekly//monthly Low... this is a critical level either way but I'm bearish for a BREAK, if it pukes out and goes into a range... forget it.

Could still be some upside if it fails and bounces, but I ain't tradin it. I hate this pair. (("slummin" referred to the GY))
Attached Image
FUBAR...
  • #95,777
  • May 13, 2009 11:40am May 13, 2009 11:40am
Quoting Yavar
Stochastic Oscilator
Thanks. And btw your english is good. I think I'll give your plan a ride with a small lot, though with minor adjustments.

Did you select the the SL according to two last daily candles?

And how did you get 1.3577 as the key number to decide further direction?

The r/r ratio looks extremely tempting.
  • #95,778
  • May 13, 2009 11:41am May 13, 2009 11:41am
Quoting ak4x
I aint't thinkin longish... 145.oo is the Brink and it are Teetering as I post.... 4th tap on 1hr. check the 4hr as well.

UJ fightin the 96. I'm thinkin someone's got a case of the munchies for the Yen after whatever They been smokin lately, and the buck ain't far behind. That's just me tho. My timing stinks sometimes.
ive been shorting ej but got out with my shorts when s&p bottomed out.. im looking to re-enter around good ole 69... dont know what tonight holds.. but oil not spiking tells me the same old rant... im not gonna rant just yet..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,779
  • Edited 12:03pm May 13, 2009 11:49am | Edited 12:03pm
Quoting ak4x
...and the cutest shampoo on the daily/weekly I've seen in a while as well... I might have to go slummin here.

We are 2 pips from the March 16 weekly//monthly Low... this is a critical level either way but I'm bearish for a BREAK, if it pukes out and goes into a range... forget it.
timmings everything.. you got a batman on gu 4hr also... depending on all other things this and all we are looking at may take time... in that time of consolidation batman may come true..there was a lot of push behind this move..im waiting on what s&p to finish the move..or at least cross the lines..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,780
  • May 13, 2009 11:52am May 13, 2009 11:52am
Quoting GlitzGlitz
Thanks. And btw your english is good. I think I'll give your plan a ride with a small lot, though with minor adjustments.

Did you select the the SL according to two last daily candles?

And how did you get 1.3577 as the key number to decide further direction?

The r/r ratio looks extremely tempting.

3577 is Monthly R1 line which in this case price respected it nicely as a Support line i think. and you are right about the SL. in fact its better to wait for thenext day confirmation in order to go long this way. but thats me, i can not wait , i rather losing afew pips but not to miss a very large move upward
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