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  • Post #95,061
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 7:10am May 12, 2009 7:10am
  •  99vt66
  • | Joined Feb 2009 | Status: Member | 393 Posts
Quoting 99vt66
Disliked
Euro last upmove failure to take out 13685 to reconnect with m/t bullish mom not a good sign for my m/t bulls........
Ignored

I think the high in this last bulls run is in place and [email protected] for now. PA should revert to consol mode and we shall see if it succeed in getting another shot at making new high or it will be sold down once r/s line is determined when price is in consol mode.

GL and happy pippings all
 
 
  • Post #95,062
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 7:20am May 12, 2009 7:20am
  •  TheFisherman
  • | Joined May 2009 | Status: Fight until we die | 1,114 Posts
Right, they finished just in time for lunch.

NOTE: This may be complete nonsense, but it is how I see things going down. I post it here so I can be corrected.

As I was saying:

Given the fact I would get the order in the morning to sell let's say 10M EURO. The at New York close was hovering around 1.600 so this is what my client is expecting to get ~16M USD. What would I do if I had to do this trade?

1. Observe the strong bullish sentiment in the market.
2. Observe the bullish (yet fading) monday moves.
3. Observe the three consecutive lows during the asian session pointing upwards and forming a support trendline
4. Observe the 1.3670ish resistance monday night.


What I wanna do is then, wait for a better price to set in (since the bullish morning I am safe for the moment), then take action but preferably before lunch time to be finished. (Who wants to wait forever? I am just selling the damn stuff it's not mine).

Let's see... if I can get and sell off all my stuff in a place where lots of BULLS would buy, then I'm done quick and off to get my fish in chips. Where would that place be?

Best guess is at the intersection of 1.3633 (monday Resistance line) and the newly formed uptrend support line. Yes! That's where a lot of people would buy and I'd be done quick and at a good price. Doesn't matter what price does after. 1.3633 is better than 1.36 expected.

So... how do I achieve this? (well personally I don't know). Watch the blue dot in the image below. I was following quotation from an ECN. Ask was frozen for minutes on end... Wonder why?
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  • Post #95,063
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 7:31am May 12, 2009 7:31am
  •  sycho
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Senior Member | 3,060 Posts
The dollar's broad value against a basket of currencies fell on Tuesday to a four-month low and the euro rose to a seven-week high as optimism the worst of the economic crisis is over boosted oil and share prices. British data showing a slowdown in the pace of manufacturing decline was the latest economic indicator to bolster the bullish view of the global economy, intensifying the dollar's weak technical backdrop.
The dollar index fell to a four-month low of 82.271 .DXY, down 0.7 percent on the day, while the euro rose around 0.7 percent to $1.3677 <EUR=>, a level not seen since March 23.
Crude oil futures were up almost 2 percent at a new six-month high of $59.64 a barrel CLc1 and European stocks were last up 0.6 percent .FTEU3.
Imanuel Parsifal
 
 
  • Post #95,064
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  • May 12, 2009 7:35am May 12, 2009 7:35am
  •  TIckerShuffl
  • | Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Member | 2,903 Posts
Time to sell?

sold overnight longs, now I short term trade until we get a clue as to what the US equity markets are up to.
 
 
  • Post #95,065
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 7:43am May 12, 2009 7:43am
  •  sycho
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Senior Member | 3,060 Posts
Quoting TIckerShuffl
Disliked
Time to sell?
Ignored
yes! Boss
Imanuel Parsifal
 
 
  • Post #95,066
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 7:46am May 12, 2009 7:46am
  •  Atlast
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Member | 4,214 Posts
Managed to get in long at 1.3638 and again 20 points higher. Experiencing internet difficulties at the moment, so was luck my resting orders were in place. Hope others took the long off the retrace. Will probably be on and off the FF today. I have a TP at round number today and for market to get to 1.3800 even
 
 
  • Post #95,067
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  • May 12, 2009 7:46am May 12, 2009 7:46am
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 91,845 Posts
ive been waiting for gu to get to 5281 before getting comfortable with eu long..its there now with bull sediment.. now lets see if equitys cooperate this morning.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #95,068
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 7:48am May 12, 2009 7:48am
  •  SwissKinseb
  • | Joined May 2009 | Status: Member | 176 Posts
Quoting Atlast
Disliked
Managed to get in long at 1.3638 and again 20 points higher. Experiencing internet difficulties at the moment, so was luck my resting orders were in place. Hope others took the long off the retrace. Will probably be on and off the FF today. I have a TP at round number today and for market to get to 1.3800 even
Ignored
I see also 1.38XX
 
 
  • Post #95,069
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 7:53am May 12, 2009 7:53am
  •  Aquafina
  • | Joined Feb 2009 | Status: Member | 28 Posts
Quoting Atlast
Disliked
Managed to get in long at 1.3638 and again 20 points higher. Experiencing internet difficulties at the moment, so was luck my resting orders were in place. Hope others took the long off the retrace. Will probably be on and off the FF today. I have a TP at round number today and for market to get to 1.3800 even
Ignored
In fact, I see no way to short this time, it is in uptrend. My target around 1.4xxx
 
 
  • Post #95,070
  • Quote
  • Edited 7:58am May 12, 2009 7:55am | Edited 7:58am
  •  eaglestar
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: He who believes has eternal life. | 3,562 Posts
took this trade based on cycle line if you are thinking of selling that is against the trend at the moment
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The things that we love tell us what we are Thanks Redsword11 and Tim Morge
 
 
  • Post #95,071
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 7:57am May 12, 2009 7:57am
  •  Atlast
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Member | 4,214 Posts
partial TP at 1.3687
 
 
  • Post #95,072
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 7:58am May 12, 2009 7:58am
  •  emda
  • | Joined Apr 2007 | Status: RCMM (Risk Analysis Money Manager) | 2,556 Posts
longs going well...
We have to stop those at 1.3800
 
 
  • Post #95,073
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 7:59am May 12, 2009 7:59am
  •  Aquafina
  • | Joined Feb 2009 | Status: Member | 28 Posts
Quoting emda
Disliked
longs going well...
We have to stop those at 1.3800
Ignored
Why? my friend, can you give me a reason?
 
 
  • Post #95,074
  • Quote
  • Edited 8:20am May 12, 2009 8:01am | Edited 8:20am
  •  WedWed
  • | Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Member | 1,210 Posts
Quoting Atlast
Disliked
Thanks WedWed, always like your charts. Just waitin for a push further down to determine.
Ignored
thanx Atlast..

i am out office and this not my computer.. i redraw chart .. it may worth to see
Attached Image
Never sell @ lower upward channel unless breacked and vise versa .
 
 
  • Post #95,075
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 8:01am May 12, 2009 8:01am
  •  Atlast
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Member | 4,214 Posts
Total longs closed out for now, 1.3692.
Will wait for retrace to build up for final push up
 
 
  • Post #95,076
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 8:05am May 12, 2009 8:05am
  •  Tuff
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: Member | 13 Posts
Next target 1.3740_?
1.3670 should hold..
 
 
  • Post #95,077
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 8:07am May 12, 2009 8:07am
  •  99vt66
  • | Joined Feb 2009 | Status: Member | 393 Posts
Quoting 99vt66
Disliked
Lets see if there is any mojo left in this upmove.....need to take out 13685 just to reconnect bullish mom.
Ignored

Wow, looks like my m/t long still in good hand...
 
 
  • Post #95,078
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 8:10am May 12, 2009 8:10am
  •  alidoust
  • | Joined Apr 2009 | Status: nemodar(chart) | 29 Posts
Dear traders
It is very dangerous for all of traders when you say "I think ..."or "maybe".Under law you must trade over 90% of forcaste.
Be cool in trade
 
 
  • Post #95,079
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 8:12am May 12, 2009 8:12am
  •  notch
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Apr 2009 | 2,726 Posts
Quoting alidoust
Disliked
Dear traders
It is very dangerous for all of traders when you say "I think ..."or "maybe".Under law you must trade over 90% of forcaste.
Ignored
Phalanx
 
 
  • Post #95,080
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2009 8:18am May 12, 2009 8:18am
  •  emda
  • | Joined Apr 2007 | Status: RCMM (Risk Analysis Money Manager) | 2,556 Posts
Quoting Aquafina
Disliked
Why? my friend, can you give me a reason?
Ignored
we need to make a new high to reverse the trend to longs. in fact 1.40 would be better.
and then I'll be very happy
 
 
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