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  • #88,801
  • Apr 23, 2009 6:58am Apr 23, 2009 6:58am
it's time for short
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  • #88,802
  • Apr 23, 2009 6:58am Apr 23, 2009 6:58am
As I said from more than an hour , 1.3090 is the target of this retracement and will be very very hard to be breaked



Quoting mohfaid
Dear be carefull, as we might not break 1.3090 ( side way range break target ) and max 1.3115 ( previous double bottom 4H and daily chart )

regards
  • #88,803
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:00am Apr 23, 2009 7:00am
wave variant
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  • #88,804
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:00am Apr 23, 2009 7:00am
Hi, i am short EUR/USD for like a week now and have managed like 200pips so far.Despite the bullish trend yesterday and today (which according to me was because of the UK Budget and German Zew report which were positive for the Eur) i am still not convinced that the Uptrend for the Euro is sustainable.We are still in the Q1 Earnings season and traders are still risk averse at the momment.So this uptrend is in the short term.For now i am still bearish on the Eur and Bullish on the Yen.

Thanks
  • #88,805
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:01am Apr 23, 2009 7:01am
Quoting mohfaid
As I said from more than an hour , 1.3090 is the target of this retracement and will be very very hard to be breaked
I'll see you at 1.3200
  • #88,806
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:02am Apr 23, 2009 7:02am
Quoting emda
thanks.. On Monday I put some charts with reasons to go long this week but as always I am usually ignored but the pips come constantly for me.. so...

we could see a short correction after news... no more than 1.3000 needed to resume and hit weekly pivot at 1.3150 later or tomorrow... if we don't reach 1.3150.. we are going to see a resume of the downtrend.

fwiw I was with you all the way since the H1 pinbar.
TRADE FOR SWAP
  • #88,807
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:03am Apr 23, 2009 7:03am
Anybody here with IG Index unable to log on?
  • #88,808
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:04am Apr 23, 2009 7:04am
Let it 1.3260 as there is no thing above 1.3120 except 1.3260



Quoting emda
I'll see you at 1.3200
  • #88,809
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:07am Apr 23, 2009 7:07am
sell now
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  • #88,810
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:08am Apr 23, 2009 7:08am
Quoting mohfaid
Let it 1.3260 as there is no thing above 1.3120 except 1.3260
why not to hunt the stops at 1.3400 ?
let's go.. hehe
  • #88,811
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:10am Apr 23, 2009 7:10am
am i the only one shorted .3080? took half here stop at b/e

bearish div. + 4h 50ema + 1min pin
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  • #88,812
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:10am Apr 23, 2009 7:10am
Only if there will be a strong resistance there.

I said that no numbers here, but I am a Liar!

level to watch 1.3133/48. A number above this levels it is to short as much as your appetite is.

let's see if Bear will die or no.
  • #88,813
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:15am Apr 23, 2009 7:15am
I like to put my bullish posts just to discuss a bit because I know this thread is very bearish always...

If you look at the daily... I see like a triple bottom support at 1.2890..... which is also a big fib.... and weekly S1 support.... and COT reports indicates large institutions going long.... and those large intraday swings two days ago could indicate a escalated reversal of positions.... more reasons?
  • #88,814
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:15am Apr 23, 2009 7:15am
I've tempted to go short right now, as you know US economic data does not seem to affect the dollar much, maybe a sell off after 8:30?

I wanted to sell at 1.3080 but 1.3140 is a more relevant point on entry I suppose
Are you or are you OUT?
  • #88,815
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:16am Apr 23, 2009 7:16am
Quoting emda
I like to put my bullish posts just to discuss a bit because I know this thread is very bearish always...

If you look at the daily... I see like a triple bottom support at 1.2890..... which is also a big fib.... and weekly S1 support.... and COT reports indicates large institutions going long.... and those large intraday swings two days ago could indicate a escalated reversal of positions.... more reasons?
I share the same view!
Traders are smartasses
  • #88,816
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:17am Apr 23, 2009 7:17am
Does anyone see a head and shoulder pattern forming on the 5M chart?
  • #88,817
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:20am Apr 23, 2009 7:20am
Quoting emda
I like to put my bullish posts just to discuss a bit because I know this thread is very bearish always...

If you look at the daily... I see like a triple bottom support at 1.2890..... which is also a big fib.... and weekly S1 support.... and COT reports indicates large institutions going long.... and those large intraday swings two days ago could indicate a escalated reversal of positions.... more reasons?
3 candles in a row! I think no emda, but now will be the moment of truth, let's see if will go to 1.31 or 1.30.

Editing: chart you can see 2 or 3 bottoms.
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  • #88,818
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:22am Apr 23, 2009 7:22am
Quoting Spsantos
I share the same view!
nice

Let's see what happens in 10 minutes... I would expect a good number in the unemployment... that may be priced in already... as always.. smart money acts before everyone... if a bad number is given... this would go down again...
  • #88,819
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:23am Apr 23, 2009 7:23am
Quoting mohfaid
Let it 1.3260 as there is no thing above 1.3120 except 1.3260
If 1.3150 does not hold that would mean 4h channel has been broken leaving us staring at the trendline on the daily chart which is in the 1.33-34 area
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #88,820
  • Apr 23, 2009 7:23am Apr 23, 2009 7:23am
next bigger resistance around .31 and it shouldnt go higher as .315 in my opinion
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