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  • #86,621
  • Apr 17, 2009 3:36am Apr 17, 2009 3:36am
Quoting billye
just login..guys who know these 2:
1. dow rise like mad last night from 7950 to 8160?? why?
2. usd/chf breaks 1.16 again... did swiss c-banker say anything?
thanks for 1 or 2 word quick reasons.
china's stocks is a fall today base on weaker than promised Q1 GDP... this is only thing happen that's meaningful to me >_>

2.retail sales came in at -3.8% vs -0.2% expected
SNB's Roth said currency interventions to continue as long as they are required
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #86,622
  • Apr 17, 2009 3:40am Apr 17, 2009 3:40am
Quoting F.x.
Me too... 3085

Though I should add... I'm not expecting to hold this very long. I'll soon be back on the sidelines and waiting for a better entry point, looking longer-term.
are you still holding your long?
  • #86,623
  • Edited 4:06am Apr 17, 2009 3:42am | Edited 4:06am
Wow... price couldnt even make it to 13130/40 lvl and head south again... if 13010 lvl is taken out then it will get real exciting.

The usual posturing when PA approaching key price zones...
  • #86,624
  • Apr 17, 2009 3:45am Apr 17, 2009 3:45am
Quoting 99vt66
Wow... price couldnt even make it to 13130/40 lvl and head south again... if 13010 lvl is taken out then it will get real exciting.
I've had enough excitement for one day and its not even 10 o'clock yet.
  • #86,625
  • Apr 17, 2009 3:49am Apr 17, 2009 3:49am
Quoting dannies
are you still holding your long?
Sorry, I don't always update my posts to correspond w/ my trades....

Current position is long from 3064. I'm not married to it though... better entries below starting at about -100 pips from here.
  • #86,626
  • Apr 17, 2009 3:49am Apr 17, 2009 3:49am
Quoting 99vt66
Wow... price couldnt even make it to 13130/40 lvl and head south again... if 13010 lvl is taken out then it will get real exciting.

Yup..had a sell stop at 1.3130 but dont think it will be hit
I think a short at any level now against a SL at around 1.3150 will yield good pips..below 1.3080 opened the pip gates
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #86,627
  • Apr 17, 2009 3:50am Apr 17, 2009 3:50am
thanks, this was the chart to explain (not predict) the previous Apr.9 USD/CHF touch of 1.16 after 1.15 was not a break-out.

from USD_index it was still a double-top instead of breakout.
I just plot it again.... it's under the d-t still... it's not yet a break-out.

http://billye2000.googlepages.com/usd_index.GIF
  • #86,628
  • Apr 17, 2009 3:51am Apr 17, 2009 3:51am
US index still not break 86 line... as now only 85.74...

if too strong SELL order at 86 line... US index will pullback thus EUR will start rise....

now dropping too much and need some fillup....

not a good time to enter.....

still watching US index....
  • #86,629
  • Apr 17, 2009 3:55am Apr 17, 2009 3:55am
Possible reverse HS here.
  • #86,630
  • Apr 17, 2009 3:57am Apr 17, 2009 3:57am
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seems to me support has been breached on the daily
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #86,631
  • Apr 17, 2009 3:59am Apr 17, 2009 3:59am
which metatrader broker supply chart for usd index?
  • #86,632
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:02am Apr 17, 2009 4:02am
Quoting dannies
which metatrader broker supply chart for usd index?

why dont u see for free with the so many sites out there?
  • #86,633
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:05am Apr 17, 2009 4:05am
Does anyone know what impact triple witching has on markets and when it happens??
  • #86,634
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:07am Apr 17, 2009 4:07am

First -Before!
Second - After!
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  • #86,635
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:07am Apr 17, 2009 4:07am
Quoting billye
just login..guys who know these 2:
dow rise like mad last night from 7950 to 8160?? why? I almosted shorted it when wake up 1hr before dow close.... but for fear of a truth break out... exit the short.
i was watching the dow run up in the last 2 hours..it was hilarious. No volume no momentum just kind of floated higher. At the same time...eur/usd was close to making a new low but retreated off the 1.3130 level before doing so (not too much).

The answer is simple for the dow. Options expirations day starting in roughly 5 hours and a half. Market makers (hedge funds and so on) have been pushing the dow up for almost 2 months...the trend has been nothing but up. Expirations days are all about profit taking. What this means is positions are closed. Now for every buyer there is a seller. Mass long positions being closed brings in a bear run by definition (all the bulls will want to get out therefore leaving only bears). That run we saw in the dow...it was just the last minute market maker push up before the profit taking that will come during the US session.

IF citibank by some miracle was profitable it may continue up but i highly doubt it....
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #86,636
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:14am Apr 17, 2009 4:14am
Quoting psiholog
i was watching the dow run up in the last 2 hours..it was hilarious. No volume no momentum just kind of floated higher. At the same time...eur/usd was close to making a new low but retreated off the 1.3130 level before doing so (not too much).

The answer is simple for the dow. Options expirations day starting in roughly 5 hours and a half. Market makers (hedge funds and so on) have been pushing the dow up for almost 2 months...the trend has been nothing but up. Expirations days are all about profit taking. What this means is positions are closed....
good one...
  • #86,637
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:16am Apr 17, 2009 4:16am
which industries rose?? cause the few finanicals i see didnt do so well
  • #86,638
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:26am Apr 17, 2009 4:26am
oh, I read the china statistical beauru speaker answering reporter questions yesterday.question was with all calc of in- capital flow and trade balance surplus. how come the foreign reserve in dollar value increased only a little from 2008Q4 to 2009Q1.
his answer was china holds a significant portion of foreign reserve in euro and euro droped Q4 to Q1... causing the remaining holding worth less in terms of dollar value.
I'm not sure but if treasury hear this I guess he would like to push dollar for high /euro to low, to lure more bonds buying... (then he can show a chart to convince that euro is not worth buying)

I'm not talking about on day chart or weeks chart what change may happen immediately, I'm just talking some trader in the market may hold a bias with regard to pairs and their interest is not to profit, ... and with regard to news. and if that is a big guy, it makes a difference.
Quoting siobi
US index still not break 86 line... as now only 85.74...

if too strong SELL order at 86 line... US index will pullback thus EUR will start rise....

now dropping too much and need some fillup....

not a good time to enter.....

still watching US index....
  • #86,639
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:28am Apr 17, 2009 4:28am
Perception is reality. Buying dollars since 10 hours small lots E/U, G/U, U/Ch.

Cross-needles response to slightly improved Euro trade balance.

I'm thinking happy USD rest of this week anyway.
Short negativity.
  • #86,640
  • Apr 17, 2009 4:40am Apr 17, 2009 4:40am
My yesterday's target 1.3080 was reached on Asian session. I think the price will not go lower anymore, because I see strong support at 1.3055 - 1.3075 area. There are trendline, 38.2 fibo and 89sma on daily chart. Price should now range between 1.3055 and 1.3100.
But its friday and anything unexpected can happen so I keep my eyes on charts.
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