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  • #81,041
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:02pm Mar 29, 2009 9:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
this upper redline L/R has been respected since 2003... you can notice the consolidation each time it attempted to or crossed it..this only shows 9 or 10 touches but there was more..it was always respected..


good point how about the bottom red line?
  • #81,042
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:31pm Mar 29, 2009 9:31pm
Quoting gatorinla
this upper redline L/R has been respected since 2003... you can notice the consolidation each time it attempted to or crossed it..this only shows 9 or 10 touches but there was more..it was always respected..
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=80796

I wrote "One big secret is read ichi with some intriguing TL, practice how to draw them, you must discover lines where almost no one see it!"

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  • #81,043
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:33pm Mar 29, 2009 9:33pm
Bottom line...

what is the fair value of the dollar?
  • #81,044
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:38pm Mar 29, 2009 9:38pm
Quoting TIckerShuffl
Bottom line...

what is the fair value of the dollar?
T,

There are two sides to a pair. Why do you leave the euro out of that question?

Oh and btw I feel fair value is a slippery target that is always changing anyway. In the dollar's case probably downhill but then again which direction is the euro's value heading too.

Sun
  • #81,045
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:38pm Mar 29, 2009 9:38pm
Quoting trading801
good point how about the bottom red line?
part of the channel north slow and steady..the answer to question since 2005 if i remember correctly.. but as you can see its a big channel..and were near the upper side... personally i think the yen news of exports down 50% will follow a simulior route to the e-zone exports... with that said you cant deny the big w and possible a cup on the right half of w.. right now using fibs its hoovering over 38.2 retrace at 3260 using nov low and dec high..and even a bigger fib picture using summer high and oct. low puts it at 23.6% at 3202.... this area in my line in the sand.. above 3260 slightly bullish after it bottoms out... if it get below 3202 and holds..3202 may be the area the big boys have a pending order.. im more bearish the i am now...oh and another thing using the summer high and fall low fib the 38.% is exactly were my upper tredline is...and almost to the pip where it turned around and headed south fib had 2723...trendine said 2727... the actual price was 2735 i think or close to it...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,046
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:40pm Mar 29, 2009 9:40pm
Hope you see this consolidation happening and pick your side inteligently. I see upwards explosion in the future...I sprinkled magical Pixie Dust on my chart tonight so you guys might want to heed the advice...
  • #81,047
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:43pm Mar 29, 2009 9:43pm
Hi, Greetings all,

The price action is currently capped by hrly ema14 as the bears is still cleaning up the remnants of some of the stubborn bulls. A breach of this ema will means the bears will be moving up to the hill 13350-13430 to finish off the rests of the last bulls who are still holing out there.
I will be there waiting to ride down with the bears after they are finished with the job. It will be a bumpy ride down as potshots will be coming from all directions during the way down. Will post safe refuge areas(SL) as and when it happens.
Hope to be lucky again and gl to all your tradings......
  • #81,048
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:44pm Mar 29, 2009 9:44pm
Quoting TIckerShuffl
Bottom line...

what is the fair value of the dollar?
Fair value. 1 USD to 1 ZWD
Not all sins are created equal
  • #81,049
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:44pm Mar 29, 2009 9:44pm
Quoting SunTrader
T,

There are two sides to a pair. Why do you leave the euro out of that question?

Oh and btw I feel fair value is a slippery target that is always changing anyway. In the dollar's case probably downhill but then again which direction is the euro's value heading too.

Sun

I like the part of your answer implying the value is a moving target, but there has to be a bias worth contemplating with all the recent developments. Whatever the answer may be, I tend to feel it's a long way from here. As far as why not mentioning specific pairs...it's implied.
  • #81,050
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:46pm Mar 29, 2009 9:46pm
Quoting Jay Walker
Fair value. 1 USD to 1 ZWD
hehe I tend to agree.
  • #81,051
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:48pm Mar 29, 2009 9:48pm
Quoting 99vt66
Hi, Greetings all,

The price action is currently capped by hrly ema14 as the bears is still cleaning up the remnants of some of the stubborn bulls. A breach of this ema will means the bears will be moving up to the hill 13350-13430 to finish off the rests of the last bulls who are still holing out there.
I will be there waiting to ride down with the bears after they are finished with the job. It will be a bumpy ride down as potshots will be coming from all directions during the way down. Will post safe refuge areas(SL) as and when it happens.
Hope...
I respectfully disagree with you. If you look at the 1H chart you will see it is rounding out the upward retracement making a smooth "U" bottom right now which is preparing with the upward movement back to at least 1.3550 and then the Daily says further from there. It always helps to see different perspectives, this is mine. Good luck! Mine is protected with pixie dust so I am much more confident and will sleep well tonight...but seriously you should look at the smoothing "U" bottom which is happening right now. Check EURGBP too to confirm...same thing...
  • #81,052
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:54pm Mar 29, 2009 9:54pm
the question is what charts are the big boys trading... i assume its the big charts.. and on low volume like now and late friday they can make any shape they want to sukker us in...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,053
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:54pm Mar 29, 2009 9:54pm
Strong Yen helping the cause it appears
  • #81,054
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:57pm Mar 29, 2009 9:57pm
Quoting bradorboy
I respectfully disagree with you. If you look at the 1H chart you will see it is rounding out the upward retracement making a smooth "U" bottom right now which is preparing with the upward movement back to at least 1.3550 and then the Daily says further from there. It always helps to see different perspectives, this is mine. Good luck! Mine is protected with pixie dust so I am much more confident and will sleep well tonight...but seriously you should look at the smoothing "U" bottom which is happening right now. Check EURGBP too to confirm...same...
Thx for your opinion which I respect too. I will be wrong if I am wrong BUT I never change my take until proven wrong. Time will tell.

GL and trade well.
  • #81,055
  • Mar 29, 2009 9:58pm Mar 29, 2009 9:58pm
As an interested newbie, I'm thoroughly enjoying all the analysis both technical and fundamental posted on here... I also very much appreciate everyone's sense of humor.

Thank you. I feel like I'm learning a lot reading this thread.
Doh! I didn't mean to do that.
  • #81,056
  • Mar 29, 2009 10:06pm Mar 29, 2009 10:06pm
Quoting 99vt66
Thx for your opinion which I respect too. I will be wrong if I am wrong BUT I never change my take until proven wrong. Time will tell.

GL and trade well.
Kool! If you act quickly you can hit this as it turns past the apex to make the upward leg of the "U" retracement. Please see Daily chart where this is finishing a larger "U" shape. I hope I am not too late to help the ones who haven't seen this. Some times I get into a short TF trade and completely miss the larger TF view which I see afterward and wish I had of looked at earlier to change my mind. Through a Fibo on the Daily chart to see.
  • #81,057
  • Mar 29, 2009 10:06pm Mar 29, 2009 10:06pm
Quoting TIckerShuffl
...it's implied.
What is implied - because we are talking about EU. You asked only about the dollar and not the euro. All I say is why?

But my other point is that value whether declining or rising is not a static amount.
  • #81,058
  • Mar 29, 2009 10:08pm Mar 29, 2009 10:08pm
Quoting *Pipster*
As an interested newbie, I'm thoroughly enjoying all the analysis both technical and fundamental posted on here... I also very much appreciate everyone's sense of humor.

Thank you. I feel like I'm learning a lot reading this thread.
Good luck but if you learn anything from this thread is to make your own trading decisions and not follow what myself or anyone else says here.
  • #81,059
  • Mar 29, 2009 10:09pm Mar 29, 2009 10:09pm
Pretty good timing on this buy I got huh boys? And Girls too...
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  • #81,060
  • Mar 29, 2009 10:11pm Mar 29, 2009 10:11pm
http://i42.tinypic.com/rjh2e8.jpg
Not all sins are created equal
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