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  • #77,721
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:17am Mar 19, 2009 11:17am
Quoting lastfabio
Ummm... I hope so... I bet to 1.3597 or 1.3420, what do u think?
yes... not a bad area.. I'm looking between 1.3560 and 1.3520 to reenter long now..
  • #77,722
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:18am Mar 19, 2009 11:18am
DOLLAR/OPINION: "While we believe most dollar-denominated asset
prices (bonds, stocks, commodities) will benefit from the Fed's
aggressive utilization of its balance sheet, the dollar will likely
continue to suffer. Foreign holders of US securities will probably be
highly motivated to 'hit the Fed's bid' and exit their positions in USD
denominated positions. This sort of dynamic would be evidenced by high
coverage ratios at Fed reverse auctions and would suggest further
upsizing of Fed buyback programs and associated declines in the
currency." - Credit Suisse.
  • #77,723
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:19am Mar 19, 2009 11:19am
interestingly all the people that don't agree are big heade europeans.
  • #77,724
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:21am Mar 19, 2009 11:21am
Quoting nvcK
you call that good?

S&P

ops i'm sorry i am too fixated on the few counters i monitor !!!
  • #77,725
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:24am Mar 19, 2009 11:24am
when you see all kind of press articles about dollar or whatever... it is already late....
  • #77,726
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:24am Mar 19, 2009 11:24am
Quoting gatorinla
dont know.. r/r is not bad..if stocks drop we may have a shot.. we are sitting on some past s/r fibs 4h r1 3731... we blown out the weekly and monthly fibs... daily pp is 3321 ...daily r1 3656.... possible h/s taking all of this into consideration im short biased... i think were are over extended short term.. but nothing is written in stone...commodities are telling the opposite story.. and pressing dollar lower..when in doubt trade what you see.. not what you hear..

oil up at this moment 2.29 gold up 65$ if this starts to ease shorts should have a nice little ride.. for at least a few hours..

plus a nice pullback for longs to enter..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #77,727
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:24am Mar 19, 2009 11:24am
now need to sell, + bear divergence
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  • #77,728
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:25am Mar 19, 2009 11:25am
Quoting tarasbaida
DOLLAR/OPINION: "While we believe most dollar-denominated asset
prices (bonds, stocks, commodities) will benefit from the Fed's
aggressive utilization of its balance sheet, the dollar will likely
continue to suffer. Foreign holders of US securities will probably be
highly motivated to 'hit the Fed's bid' and exit their positions in USD
denominated positions. This sort of dynamic would be evidenced by high
coverage ratios at Fed reverse auctions and would suggest further
upsizing of Fed buyback programs and associated declines in the
currency."...
This is a 300billion refund to global investors on the notion they will buy back later. Likely with a cheaper dollar, but I am trying to think through the possibility of this weaknes is temporary as more dollars bought to fund the expansion. Problem is doesn't seem like such buying will be in open market, or will it?
  • #77,729
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:28am Mar 19, 2009 11:28am
Quoting Turveyd
Looks to be coming abit more predictable.

Longs near 2hour SMA current @1.3695

2nd line in the sand, 4hour SMA @ 1.3675 being the level if broken we'll downtrend off for the rest of the day.

No shorts until 4hour is taken out people, not today too high a risk of another 100pips higher on a quick bounce.

That worked well NOT LOL

1 second after I got my long on literally the breakdown started, got my 2nd long on and slam it went again.

Still holding, very close to my take loss area though

If it doesn't get a good move up, then it'll break my 10 win streak
Nothing to it, but to do it!!! Stick to the plan FOOL!!!!
  • #77,730
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:33am Mar 19, 2009 11:33am
[email protected] SL 1.3820
Anyone short with me?
Suggestion/comment plz
  • #77,731
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:34am Mar 19, 2009 11:34am
moved to be + 7 tp 3500 .. nothing written in stone.. but ill take be + 7 anytime i can get it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #77,732
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:35am Mar 19, 2009 11:35am
Wussed it and bailed with a few pips of profit

Right before it broke 3700 and run up some more LOL


SCARED YES INDEEDY 11 Wins and still going

LUCKY entirely I'll add on that 1.
Nothing to it, but to do it!!! Stick to the plan FOOL!!!!
  • #77,733
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:36am Mar 19, 2009 11:36am
Quoting gatorinla
moved to be + 7 tp 3500 .. nothing written in stone.. but ill take be + 7 anytime i can get it.
What does "moved to be +7" means?
I'll send a bottle of wine to my first voucherer ;-)
  • #77,734
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:39am Mar 19, 2009 11:39am
Short around 1.3600 (50% fib), but I'm waiting for the bounce

Quoting egkid
[email protected] SL 1.3820
Anyone short with me?
Suggestion/comment plz
  • #77,735
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:40am Mar 19, 2009 11:40am
Quoting richboy1972
What does "moved to be +7" means?
break even plus 7 pips..in other words i locked in profit of 7 pips..no matter what happens.. getting to the be threshold and locking it in can save your ass..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #77,736
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:42am Mar 19, 2009 11:42am
Quoting gatorinla
break even plus 7 pips..in other words i locked in profit of 7 pips..no matter what happens.. getting to the be threshold and locking it in can save your ass..
Thanks ... I'm a bit "slow" today ;-)))
I'll send a bottle of wine to my first voucherer ;-)
  • #77,737
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:42am Mar 19, 2009 11:42am
I am not expecting a sudden fall but a retrace is very likely.
I am thinking of selling the pair in a few minutes.

1.3630 will be my first target.

there is a nasty daily resistance at 1.3709 and the pair is not reluctant to break it as of now.
lets see.
  • #77,738
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:45am Mar 19, 2009 11:45am
EU going short?
i don't think so.
  • #77,739
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:47am Mar 19, 2009 11:47am
Quoting gazze7
EU going short?
i don't think so.
For me 1.3709 seems to be holding right now
i am not short YET. but in a few mins i might
  • #77,740
  • Mar 19, 2009 11:49am Mar 19, 2009 11:49am
here is my daily chart.
1.3709 is a tough resistance.

but my 5 mins did not give me the okay to short now.
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