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  • #74,701
  • Mar 12, 2009 9:53am Mar 12, 2009 9:53am
damn temporary euro bulls stopped me break even.
"Diversification is an excuse for a lack of talent" ~FXC
  • #74,702
  • Mar 12, 2009 9:55am Mar 12, 2009 9:55am
I think the fib fails from the last swing unless a couple of candles can close above the 50% I wouldn't think of going long.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: fibfail.gif Size: 23 KB
"Diversification is an excuse for a lack of talent" ~FXC
  • #74,703
  • Mar 12, 2009 9:56am Mar 12, 2009 9:56am
Quoting Doniboy
Well you stated that you are pro-government giving you other people's money...i.e Pro-Obama. And I do not not "refuse to believe" that the dollar is stronger during certain times...

I also have news for you..Obama knew that his popularity would give him the Honeymoon that you speak of, that is why he pushed this super-ultra-massive-Biggest In history-spending bill down our throats. He knew that no one in their right mind would pass it in any other circumstance. He probably could have started imprisoning certain races and invaded...
is that you speaking or the oxicontine? never said any such thing.dont put words in my mouth. take some advise eat a couple of fiber bars cause your full of it... and lay off the cafeine..... put all sharp objects out of reach. its gonna be ok just relax.. deep breaths..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,704
  • Mar 12, 2009 9:58am Mar 12, 2009 9:58am
Quoting FXCapitalist
Thing is i dont know what hand DB is playing anymore.
But how would you know their current positioning, exposures and biases in the market? Most of these rumours are totally unfounded and, even if true, do not tell the whole story behind a big trade.
  • #74,705
  • Mar 12, 2009 9:59am Mar 12, 2009 9:59am
Quoting FXCapitalist
THE SNB INTERVENED AND BOUGHT BILLIONS OF SWISS FRANCS. THATS HOW YOU EXPLAIN THE MOVE. the cut was expected. all the way down to 0.25
If they bought Swiss Francs why did it tank
  • #74,706
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:00am Mar 12, 2009 10:00am
Quoting Jhig
You know, the funny thing about the CHF move? My favorite pair, in the whole world (that I do not trade because of the 8 pip spread), GBP/CHF, moved 500 pips in FAVOR FOR GBP ... not CHF. Just thought that was weird. I would have thought, CHF would have moved against all/any pairs, across the board.
That's why sl must always be set. MARGIN call in ten minutes easely. ego dont work.
"Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication" leonardo da vinci
  • #74,707
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:00am Mar 12, 2009 10:00am
Quoting gammase1
But how would you know their current positioning, exposures and biases in the marketl?
no comment, like i said i dont know anymore. Im at the mercy of the market.
"Diversification is an excuse for a lack of talent" ~FXC
  • #74,708
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:02am Mar 12, 2009 10:02am
Quoting stewrigh
If they bought Swiss Francs why did it tank
The SNB announced it will purchase foreign currency in a bid to weaken the CHF
  • #74,709
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:02am Mar 12, 2009 10:02am
Not against the Dollar it didn't
  • #74,710
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:03am Mar 12, 2009 10:03am
Do not say missunderstandings.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...refer=currency
Wish you a lot of great moments with those you love.
  • #74,711
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:03am Mar 12, 2009 10:03am
EUR-USD Volatility Analysis:

HOUR Chart closed with a nice support at 1.2732. If we can break above 1.2787 we can see a climb higher to its 1.2830 level from where the prices fell.

Further if the 1.2732 holds we will have a nice "W" for a push higher to 1.2913 area as 1st target. (see Chart).
Attached Image
  • #74,712
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:05am Mar 12, 2009 10:05am

well guys,

we are opening at 11.00h EURUSD > 2760. So no short.

The next possibility is linked to USDCHF. when and if it reach 1865 (short term support) .. and from there it goes up ,then consider the possibility to go short on EURUSD

The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #74,713
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:05am Mar 12, 2009 10:05am
Quoting vulture
That's why sl must always be set. MARGIN call in ten minutes easely. ego dont work.
Yeah ... I check my ego at the door, before sitting down in front of my computer.

But what I still don't understand is, why did GBP gain from the SWISS currency buy/rate cut?
GBP/CHF moved 500 pips in favor of GBP.
  • #74,714
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:05am Mar 12, 2009 10:05am
Quoting stewrigh
If they bought Swiss Francs why did it tank
Let me stand corrected, they possibly bought currencies against the CHF to weaken it.
"Diversification is an excuse for a lack of talent" ~FXC
  • #74,715
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:06am Mar 12, 2009 10:06am
Quoting FXCapitalist
no comment, like i said i dont know anymore. Im at the mercy of the market.
Calm down! Take a rest, mate and believe what you think.
We will see....
The market is always right, but it is not never wrong!!!
  • #74,716
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:07am Mar 12, 2009 10:07am
p/s stock is doing good today.. usual this means usd weakens right?
  • #74,717
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:08am Mar 12, 2009 10:08am
Quoting FXCapitalist
Let me stand corrected, they possibly bought currencies against the CHF to weaken it.
kind of. I heard they only stated their intention to do so. Therefore, just verbally intervening at this stage or so they claim.

although it is likely there were some big purchases from their reserves in order to make their verbal warning carry far more weight.

edit: read BBG report which confirms they have entered the market
  • #74,718
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:09am Mar 12, 2009 10:09am
Quoting guardians
Calm down! Take a rest, mate and believe what you think.
We will see....
lol i am calm its caffiene i suppose. yes indeed we will see.
"Diversification is an excuse for a lack of talent" ~FXC
  • #74,719
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:10am Mar 12, 2009 10:10am
Quoting Jhig
Yeah ... I check my ego at the door, before sitting down in front of my computer.

But what I still don't understand is, why did GBP gain from the SWISS currency buy/rate cut?
GBP/CHF moved 500 pips in favor of GBP.

It was general Franc weakness - both the Dollar and pound went up
  • #74,720
  • Mar 12, 2009 10:10am Mar 12, 2009 10:10am
Quoting gammase1
kind of. I heard they only stated their intention to do so. Therefore, just verbally intervening at this stage or so they claim.

although it is likely there were some big purchases from their reserves in order to make their verbal warning carry far more weight.
I remember a similar notion i think it was the fed or treasury last year, stating that they were going to sell gold reserves and gold tanked.
"Diversification is an excuse for a lack of talent" ~FXC
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