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  • Post #81
  • Quote
  • Mar 24, 2007 2:07am Mar 24, 2007 2:07am
  •  megaleads
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Member | 56 Posts
Additionally - this is where it is important to gage the difference between "C" and "D" according to the pair you are trading.
 
 
  • Post #82
  • Quote
  • Mar 24, 2007 2:40am Mar 24, 2007 2:40am
  •  richy
  • | Joined Mar 2006 | Status: Member | 172 Posts
Quoting megaleads
Disliked
This is an excellent idea - what i don't know is how to track the currency in an EA without opening a position or a pending order - is this a difficult function?

It would save on the spread on one set of trades. Great Observation!
Ignored
thx, i think it wouldn't be too complicated...

at some point of time, let x be the current price

if price >= x+B then
_high = x+B
_send a sell order at high-C

and repeat the following procedure:

if price > high then
_high = current price
_modify the previous sell order to be at high (this is new high) - C

same routine if price falls below x-B...
 
 
  • Post #83
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  • Mar 24, 2007 5:39am Mar 24, 2007 5:39am
  •  tdion
  • Joined Nov 2005 | Status: EURUSD Quant FREAK | 3,197 Posts
Hold your horses. Backtests under 90% should be taken lightly. Even a 90% backtest on a scalping system is unreliable.

I recommend PMing Ssvirk and asking him to do a 99% backtest. He has tick data.

Quoting megaleads
Disliked
SWEET! Started out with $10K and ended up with over $210K
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #84
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  • Mar 24, 2007 11:28am Mar 24, 2007 11:28am
  •  smjones
  • Joined Mar 2006 | Status: THANK YOU MERLIN,TWEE and FF Team | 4,603 Posts
Quoting tdion
Disliked
Hold your horses. Backtests under 90% should be taken lightly. Even a 90% backtest on a scalping system is unreliable.

I recommend PMing Ssvirk and asking him to do a 99% backtest. He has tick data.
Ignored
Yes absloutly, watch this. I will write an EA in about 10 minutes that will go from $1,000 to ( lets say how about 20 million) be back in a few with the equity curve... LOL

Edit:
The point is MT4 backtesting sucks, and can easily be fooled... be right back.
Attached Image
 
 
  • Post #85
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  • Mar 24, 2007 11:34am Mar 24, 2007 11:34am
  •  smjones
  • Joined Mar 2006 | Status: THANK YOU MERLIN,TWEE and FF Team | 4,603 Posts
Here is the actual run. LOL

So don't get to excited about backtests...

Oh yea one other thing, I am the worlds worst MT4 programmer. So if I can do this anyone can...
Attached File
File Type: zip bogus.zip   13 KB | 360 downloads
 
 
  • Post #86
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  • Mar 24, 2007 5:38pm Mar 24, 2007 5:38pm
  •  blueruby
  • Joined Feb 2007 | Status: Stock Broker, October 1987 | 1,299 Posts
Quoting megaleads
Disliked
Most Unusual....
Ignored
And, on my laptop, it did exactly what it did on your backtest. I got the same graph as in your post #59.

What computer are you running?

My laptop is a Dell inspiron 1300 w/ Intel celeron and windows XP.

Desktop is dell w/pentium 4 and XP.
 
 
  • Post #87
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  • Mar 24, 2007 7:14pm Mar 24, 2007 7:14pm
  •  tdion
  • Joined Nov 2005 | Status: EURUSD Quant FREAK | 3,197 Posts
Ssvirk....
 
 
  • Post #88
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  • Mar 24, 2007 7:24pm Mar 24, 2007 7:24pm
  •  aegis
  • | Joined Oct 2006 | Status: Member | 80 Posts
$10k to $1.8 mil in 4 months.

But forward results have matched backtest results. Makes about $62 mil in a 1 year backtest.
Attached Image
 
 
  • Post #89
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  • Mar 25, 2007 6:59am Mar 25, 2007 6:59am
  •  blueruby
  • Joined Feb 2007 | Status: Stock Broker, October 1987 | 1,299 Posts
Quoting aegis
Disliked
$10k to $1.8 mil in 4 months.

But forward results have matched backtest results. Makes about $62 mil in a 1 year backtest.
Ignored
You've got our attention. What next?
 
 
  • Post #90
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  • Mar 25, 2007 7:19am Mar 25, 2007 7:19am
  •  tdion
  • Joined Nov 2005 | Status: EURUSD Quant FREAK | 3,197 Posts
Live trade calls.

Quoting blueruby
Disliked
You've got our attention. What next?
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #91
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  • Mar 25, 2007 3:01pm Mar 25, 2007 3:01pm
  •  zawodowiec
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 307 Posts
Maybe this has been answere before, but I'm still having a difficulty understanding this system. The way you make money in my understanding is from a retracement after a move. So why not just forget about the hedge and trade the retracement only? Another thing is why do you have target profits? By the looks of it the only way this system will make money if you correctly find the start of the retracement (or pick the top/bottom in other words), therefore discretion is necessary. For example, you open a hedge and the price moves a 1000 pips in one direction, you wait for the end of this move, close the trade in profit, and the retracement begins, which is where you make money. Once the retracement has ended (you need discretion here as well), you close the losing position and keep the pips from the retracement, and start over. So as opposed to have a predefined take profit, you would need to use discretion in order to pinpoint the beginning and end of the retracement. Am I making any sense?
 
 
  • Post #92
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  • Mar 25, 2007 4:19pm Mar 25, 2007 4:19pm
  •  megaleads
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Member | 56 Posts
Quoting blueruby
Disliked
And, on my laptop, it did exactly what it did on your backtest. I got the same graph as in your post #59.

What computer are you running?
Ignored
I'm also running on a laptop - Toshiba Satelite M45 series... Running Windows XP
 
 
  • Post #93
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  • Mar 25, 2007 4:22pm Mar 25, 2007 4:22pm
  •  megaleads
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Member | 56 Posts
Quoting zawodowiec
Disliked
Another thing is why do you have target profits?
Ignored
Target profits only ensures that there has been enough of a move to warrant a retracement... small moves usually do not retrace predictably.
 
 
  • Post #94
  • Quote
  • Mar 25, 2007 11:41pm Mar 25, 2007 11:41pm
  •  zawodowiec
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 307 Posts
Quoting megaleads
Disliked
Target profits only ensures that there has been enough of a move to warrant a retracement... small moves usually do not retrace predictably.
Ignored
So how exactly do target profits help you gauge when the move ends and the retracement begins? This is why discretion, instead of target profits should be used with this method, because only using discretionary methods you can get a rough idea when the move is oversold/bought, where the resistance/support levels, fibs, and other things like that are.
 
 
  • Post #95
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  • Mar 26, 2007 9:51pm Mar 26, 2007 9:51pm
  •  HAGeek
  • | Joined Jul 2006 | Status: Member | 84 Posts
hey how about using the current ATR value to determine profit targets and stop loss settings.

maybe a percentage... like 30% of daily ATR or something...

what you think?
 
 
  • Post #96
  • Quote
  • Mar 26, 2007 10:02pm Mar 26, 2007 10:02pm
  •  megaleads
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Member | 56 Posts
Quoting zawodowiec
Disliked
So how exactly do target profits help you gauge when the move ends and the retracement begins?
Ignored
Target profits do not help to gage when the move ends... Trailing stop losses do.


Quoting zawodowiec
Disliked
you can get a rough idea when the move is oversold/bought, where the resistance/support levels, fibs, and other things like that are.
Ignored
Support and resistance levels rarely show up in small moves like this tool can catch. I hope that this tool can take advantage of much smaller moves above support and below resistance.
 
 
  • Post #97
  • Quote
  • Mar 26, 2007 10:12pm Mar 26, 2007 10:12pm
  •  megaleads
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Member | 56 Posts
Quoting HAGeek
Disliked
hey how about using the current ATR value to determine profit targets and stop loss settings.

maybe a percentage... like 30% of daily ATR or something...

what you think?
Ignored
Sounds like a good idea as any...
 
 
  • Post #98
  • Quote
  • Mar 27, 2007 12:13pm Mar 27, 2007 12:13pm
  •  GridTrader
  • | Joined Nov 2006 | Status: The End is Where We Begin | 260 Posts
Quoting Mr. Roboto
Disliked
Could somebody post the EA in .mq4 format?
Ignored
Yes that would be nice. At least then we can see if some mods are needed to improve. Otherwise I too will be coding from scratch. What's up with posting just the ex4 file anyways?
The market is like the matrix - it is you that must learn to bend
 
 
  • Post #99
  • Quote
  • Mar 28, 2007 5:36am Mar 28, 2007 5:36am
  •  blueruby
  • Joined Feb 2007 | Status: Stock Broker, October 1987 | 1,299 Posts
Quoting GridTrader
Disliked
Yes that would be nice. At least then we can see if some mods are needed to improve. Otherwise I too will be coding from scratch. What's up with posting just the ex4 file anyways?
Ignored
I have always posted code before. But, so many people are not doing so because they've been burned by some ebay thief, that's one reason.

Not everyone knows about forex factory, and are reportedly paying for things they can get for free. Things that most likely won't work for them.

The other is that someone posted that it would be very easy to code, so after I spent a couple hours getting it all right, I figured "fine, if it's so easy, let him do it himself." He's since PM'd me and I sent him the code, and he also deleted that message -- probably didn't mean any offense.
 
 
  • Post #100
  • Quote
  • Mar 28, 2007 7:28am Mar 28, 2007 7:28am
  •  Jack Sparrow
  • | Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trend Sailor | 22 Posts

yes...i wait for EA

To The Sea My Friend....oh we already on the sea!!!!
 
 
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