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EURUSD

  • #57,721
  • Jan 20, 2009 5:01pm Jan 20, 2009 5:01pm
any move to the downside could be a kind of sell-off
/ ... clarifying decisions ... /
  • #57,722
  • Jan 20, 2009 5:11pm Jan 20, 2009 5:11pm
This actually looks like the move down we saw in August, except in August that move was on steroids! It's scary to move this far without a half-a$$ retracement. I still have .3030-.3050 area for landing zone of a retrace.
But hey, this aminal has been krazee for awhile now.
.2926 will be first place of stubborn resistance....if it blows through then I am full of chocolate!
  • #57,723
  • Jan 20, 2009 5:16pm Jan 20, 2009 5:16pm
IMO should go well above 3000 to take it as a long opp
/ ... clarifying decisions ... /
  • #57,724
  • Jan 20, 2009 5:23pm Jan 20, 2009 5:23pm
Quoting walb99
IMO should go well above 3000 to take it as a long opp
You see more than a 61.8% retracement of last down move?
So give me a number, I don't quite know where "well above" is actually located.
  • #57,725
  • Jan 20, 2009 5:37pm Jan 20, 2009 5:37pm
Quoting Gofer Pips
You see more than a 61.8% retracement of last down move?
So give me a number, I don't quite know where "well above" is actually located.
3033
/ ... clarifying decisions ... /
  • #57,726
  • Jan 20, 2009 5:39pm Jan 20, 2009 5:39pm
Quoting Gofer Pips
...
So give me a number, I don't quite know where "well above" is actually located.
~1.3350
After
~1.2550
  • #57,727
  • Jan 20, 2009 5:40pm Jan 20, 2009 5:40pm
That is in my 3030-3050 zone, so we see the same thing
Attached Image
  • #57,728
  • Edited 5:57pm Jan 20, 2009 5:45pm | Edited 5:57pm
low volume showing signs of indecision. Could be a nice retrace.

Correction: is a pretty nice retrace.
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  • #57,729
  • Jan 20, 2009 6:15pm Jan 20, 2009 6:15pm
shorted at 1.29349, and sl hit at 1.29379. im done for the day. safe pippin for all.
  • #57,730
  • Jan 20, 2009 6:19pm Jan 20, 2009 6:19pm
Quoting PipPipPip
shorted at 1.29349, and sl hit at 1.29379. im done for the day. safe pippin for all.
If the 1 minute crosses the middle Bollinger, the 5 minute crosses the middle bollinger and the USDCHF is heading up. that will provide me enough of a signal.
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  • #57,731
  • Jan 20, 2009 6:20pm Jan 20, 2009 6:20pm
Quoting PipPipPip
shorted at 1.29349, and sl hit at 1.29379. im done for the day. safe pippin for all.
why putting such a close stop??
  • #57,732
  • Jan 20, 2009 6:24pm Jan 20, 2009 6:24pm
Wave 5 target of 1.2850 achieved. As long as 1.2850 is not firmly broken through, wave A retracement of target 1.3115 seems possible.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...39#post2475439
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  • #57,733
  • Jan 20, 2009 6:30pm Jan 20, 2009 6:30pm
Quoting fammira
why putting such a close stop??
just dont trust myself and the time right now.
  • #57,734
  • Edited 6:53pm Jan 20, 2009 6:36pm | Edited 6:53pm
retrace in the making or not?
  • #57,735
  • Jan 20, 2009 6:57pm Jan 20, 2009 6:57pm
Quoting PipPipPip
retrace in the making or not?
Yes
Not all sins are created equal
  • #57,736
  • Jan 20, 2009 6:58pm Jan 20, 2009 6:58pm
limit sell hit at 2880, hopefully it's bombs away now... otherwise this retrace will be much deeper up into the 30xx's to 31xx's somewhere. tight stop
FUBAR...
  • #57,737
  • Jan 20, 2009 6:59pm Jan 20, 2009 6:59pm
Quoting ak4x
limit sell hit at 2880, hopefully it's bombs away now... otherwise this retrace will be much deeper up into the 30xx's somewhere. tight stop
I don't think it'll be too deep. Wait for London.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #57,738
  • Jan 20, 2009 7:01pm Jan 20, 2009 7:01pm
Quoting ak4x
limit sell hit at 2880, hopefully it's bombs away now... otherwise this retrace will be much deeper up into the 30xx's to 31xx's somewhere. tight stop
How did you calculate the 1.28 level? My sell limit was more towards the 3.
Dr. C
  • #57,739
  • Jan 20, 2009 7:02pm Jan 20, 2009 7:02pm
If we are retracing we could see m5 50ema - 3029 , 1/18-1/20 38.2fib - 3050 or 50% fib - 3114.
  • #57,740
  • Jan 20, 2009 7:04pm Jan 20, 2009 7:04pm
Quoting ak4x
limit sell hit at 2880, hopefully it's bombs away now... otherwise this retrace will be much deeper up into the 30xx's to 31xx's somewhere. tight stop
I see the Daily still heading South but the 1Hr attempting a run to ~1.3060.

Personally; I'm Bearish.
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