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EURUSD

  • #55,941
  • Jan 13, 2009 12:52am Jan 13, 2009 12:52am
Just a little joke while waiting.

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  • #55,942
  • Edited 2:36am Jan 13, 2009 12:53am | Edited 2:36am
Has anyone else noticed that the last upmove was powered by more small speculators than large ones. That is quite interesting.

What is also interesting is that big speculators seem to be getting in long train too but still are much less long than small ones (they are still net short).

So basically small speculators heve been providing the liquidity needed to hedgers. Not a very common thing.

The next COT will be very interesting to see, the level of net short/net long is very near and big players have moved more to net long every week since begin of december, since october they have moved to net short only on one week.

edit: this is not short term advice as everyone hopefully understands.
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  • #55,943
  • Jan 13, 2009 12:53am Jan 13, 2009 12:53am
Quoting moewenger
Just a little joke while waiting.

Attachment
what a relief
  • #55,944
  • Jan 13, 2009 12:59am Jan 13, 2009 12:59am
1.3249
  • #55,945
  • Jan 13, 2009 1:09am Jan 13, 2009 1:09am
there she blows 1.3230
  • #55,946
  • Jan 13, 2009 1:13am Jan 13, 2009 1:13am
Quoting Pipster888
there she blows 1.3230
towards support of 1.3021(11.12.2008) then and a bounce from there for the rest of the week.
  • #55,947
  • Edited 1:41am Jan 13, 2009 1:33am | Edited 1:41am
Quoting mikkom
Has anyone else noticed that the last upmove was powered by more small speculators than large ones. That is quite interesting.

What is also interesting is that big speculators seem to be getting in long train too but still are much less long than small ones (they are still net short).

So basically small speculators heve been providing the liquidity needed to hedgers. Not a very common thing.

The next COT will be very interesting to see, the level of net short/net log is very near and big players have moved more to net long every week since begin...
the next move will be a squeeze up, but backed with liquidity this time not empty as the December upmove, and the ECB decision this week and the end of the rate speculation would send it too high
  • #55,948
  • Jan 13, 2009 1:52am Jan 13, 2009 1:52am
I suggest the bounce up will start from 1.3021. Anyone else have any idea? Maybe nearer?? 1.3105 perharps??
  • #55,949
  • Jan 13, 2009 1:58am Jan 13, 2009 1:58am
Quoting moewenger
I suggest the bounce up will start from 1.3021. Anyone else have any idea? Maybe nearer?? 1.3105 perharps??
Let's get past 3186 first
  • #55,950
  • Jan 13, 2009 2:10am Jan 13, 2009 2:10am
it's retracement now. Resistance will push back at 1.3310 the nearest.
  • #55,951
  • Jan 13, 2009 2:48am Jan 13, 2009 2:48am
When is the ECB rate cut?--is it supposed to be this week or next week or when?
  • #55,952
  • Jan 13, 2009 3:01am Jan 13, 2009 3:01am
Quoting altrader
When is the ECB rate cut?--is it supposed to be this week or next week or when?
Tomorrow

http://www.ecb.int/mopo/decisions/html/index.en.html
  • #55,953
  • Jan 13, 2009 3:07am Jan 13, 2009 3:07am
Quoting mikkom
Tomorrow

http://www.ecb.int/mopo/decisions/html/index.en.html
12.45 GMT Thursday
http://www.dailyfx.com/calendar/?key...0160000000Da9A
  • #55,954
  • Jan 13, 2009 3:17am Jan 13, 2009 3:17am
Quoting moewenger
I suggest the bounce up will start from 1.3021. Anyone else have any idea? Maybe nearer?? 1.3105 perharps??
1.3050 should be low. This will be trend line from flag break out and also confluence of numerous trend lines on my chart.

Important to look at the $ index chart at this time because the head and shoulders pattern on this chart should correlate with the inverse H&S on the Eur/Usd.

If anyone has access to a good $ index chart or can point in right direction for one, please post.

BTW: I don't mean that we will get to 3050 today - just that should be turning point when we do get there.
  • #55,955
  • Jan 13, 2009 3:18am Jan 13, 2009 3:18am
I Hate this ranging market. Up and down till I fall asleep.
Manage your risk accordingly and you're half done your home work.
  • #55,956
  • Jan 13, 2009 3:26am Jan 13, 2009 3:26am
DUDE, i waited all morning for that speech from Trichet?
  • #55,957
  • Jan 13, 2009 3:29am Jan 13, 2009 3:29am
Quoting tamster
1.3050 should be low. This will be trend line from flag break out and also confluence of numerous trend lines on my chart.

Important to look at the $ index chart at this time because the head and shoulders pattern on this chart should correlate with the inverse H&S on the Eur/Usd.

If anyone has access to a good $ index chart or can point in right direction for one, please post.

BTW: I don't mean that we will get to 3050 today - just that should be turning point when we do get there.
http://e9e.cn/ it chinese website.
  • #55,958
  • Jan 13, 2009 3:36am Jan 13, 2009 3:36am
Quoting Terminale
http://e9e.cn/ it chinese website.
its all in chinese...
  • #55,959
  • Jan 13, 2009 3:39am Jan 13, 2009 3:39am
Quoting tamster
If anyone has access to a good $ index chart or can point in right direction for one, please post.
Bloomberg has one that's pretty good
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuild...ker1=DXY%3AIND
  • #55,960
  • Jan 13, 2009 3:39am Jan 13, 2009 3:39am
Quoting mikkom
Tomorrow

http://www.ecb.int/mopo/decisions/html/index.en.html
cool thanks for the informatin.
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