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  • #51,121
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:17pm Dec 17, 2008 2:17pm
EUR/USD has strong resistance 1.4437, it could be some Intraday reversal Short (like yesterday), but substantial break,- 150 pips Long.
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  • #51,122
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:19pm Dec 17, 2008 2:19pm
lets c... u.s. car sales down 35-40% high end car imports down or expected to go down even more..maybe trichet has to cut euro.. since europe is in much worse shape today then it was last summer...i dont know but waiting for the ride. i dont care either way...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #51,123
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:20pm Dec 17, 2008 2:20pm
Quoting iii
well I am not as sure about this prediction, however I expect it to reach 1.4525-85 I already have shorts around those levels.
You should not expect anything either
Just follow the flow, be the Zen
  • #51,124
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:20pm Dec 17, 2008 2:20pm
Quoting iii
Well I can 99 percent guarantee that tomorrow will be a down day, I just finished analyzing today. Sorry I am not going to reveal my technique...
in my experience it's that 1% that always bites you. i can't reveal how I know that tho.
FUBAR...
  • #51,125
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:21pm Dec 17, 2008 2:21pm
Quoting nAVIN2007
99%.....man with this attitude u are doomed in forex..trade what u see when u see it.....dont try and predict the market b4 its time, there isnt a bearish signal, infact its looking like a trend reversal....
It is not often that I have that high of a conviction on moves but today is an exception, and besides I have traded forex for over 4 years now, and my strategy is drastically different from yours...I am versatile enough to change my views if the tape suggests it.
  • #51,126
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:22pm Dec 17, 2008 2:22pm
Quoting ak4x
in my experience it's that 1% that always bites you. i can't reveal how I know that tho.
I suppose we shall wait and see.
  • #51,127
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:22pm Dec 17, 2008 2:22pm
Quoting johto
So true. Nobody can really "predict" anything.
the minute u think u know for sure, thats the time where emotion will attach to trade and u keep moving the stop, because fear takes over, then u cant see the chart for what it is...

if u believe u cant be 100% correct then u enter trades accessing yur risk, knowing what u can lose, having a stop loss....and can be saved and best of all when yur taken out, u wont care, why because u knew b4 hand u cant predict the future

u can move on....anyways i just wanted to point..good day all
  • #51,128
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:24pm Dec 17, 2008 2:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
*teaful* cant we all just get along.. *opening another 40 oz.. deep drag on crackpipe*
  • #51,129
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:24pm Dec 17, 2008 2:24pm
Quoting iii
It is not often that I have that high of a conviction on moves but today is an exception, and besides I have traded forex for over 4 years now, and my strategy is drastically different from yours...I am versatile enough to change my views if the tape suggests it.
Price currently going up on all important timeframes, so not very wise to go against it before confirmation. You seem to be one of those who like to "predict" tops?

If i had to "predict" something, it is that, its going to breakout current high near 1.4440, this is because price has stayed close to it....just gathering new energy for next breakout.
  • #51,130
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:24pm Dec 17, 2008 2:24pm
Quoting iii
It is not often that I have that high of a conviction on moves but today is an exception, and besides I have traded forex for over 4 years now, and my strategy is drastically different from yours...I am versatile enough to change my views if the tape suggests it.
there isnt one signal to short this right now, i have a new dailly bar and its full bodied too...be very carefull
  • #51,131
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:26pm Dec 17, 2008 2:26pm
there is a trendline coming in at 4750
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trendline.gif Size: 15 KB
/ ... clarifying decisions ... /
  • #51,132
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:26pm Dec 17, 2008 2:26pm
Quoting johto
Price currently going up on all important timeframes, so not very wise to go against it before confirmation. You seem to be one of those who like to "predict" tops?
On the contrary I like to position myself at the best available time, besides read my post, where I anticipate the price to approach 1.4525-85 levels, so for nothing unexpected is going on.
  • #51,133
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:27pm Dec 17, 2008 2:27pm
um I will take bets.. odds are 99 to 1 and i hold the money... i'll take the usual 10% cut..


III may have a inside track with trichet
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #51,134
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:28pm Dec 17, 2008 2:28pm
E/U showing so much stregnth, it moves up and then consolidates near the high it made, barely much of a retracement... I'm long E/U for a while IMO, and if we get a nice retracement i'm going to buy sum mo! (some more)

Pred
  • #51,135
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:33pm Dec 17, 2008 2:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
um I will take bets.. odds are 99 to 1 and i hold the money... i'll take the usual 10% cut..


III may have a inside track with trichet
You guys are rediculing my statements, when in fact I am simply stating my OPINION. For instance I think it is hillarious that most of you guys use indicators, however if that works for you, then good luck. Wait and see... then if I am wrong, and even if I am I will still make money due to my positioning advantage, you could provide me with plently of criticism. In the mean time I really do not care what anyone else's sentiment is as it will not change my opinion, the only the price action can do that.
  • #51,136
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:46pm Dec 17, 2008 2:46pm
Quoting hitman047
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...GxE&refer=home

They expect EU to hit 1.4860 when Fed starts purchasing debt.
I beleive this. Long-term up EUR/USD trend is not a surprise for me.

I used short bias for weeks until this morning and switched to long-term up trend base. Will wait for the pa to dance a little between 1.4500-1.500 level, before going all time long.

To check the flip side, will greatly appreciate views from friends who are still using long-term down trend as their base.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #51,137
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:49pm Dec 17, 2008 2:49pm
Quoting iii
You guys are rediculing my statements, when in fact I am simply stating my OPINION. For instance I think it is hillarious that most of you guys use indicators, however if that works for you, then good luck. Wait and see... then if I am wrong, and even if I am I will still make money due to my positioning advantage, you could provide me with plently of criticism. In the mean time I really do not care what anyone else's sentiment is as it will not change my opinion, the only the price action can do that.
no man im not ridiculing you. 80% of the people who trade are wrong. I know in my own trading that something was gonna surely happen...i know at times i would of bet my best goat on a direction and i was wrong. I know even the best traders are only right 85% of the time. if your better then that i take my hat off to you.. in the contrary i hope your right. if you read my post before yesterday i was never head over feet for any long position on e/u . and now im only slightly bullish. and normally dont scalp but have for the last 2 days..as for as ridicule even if your right i will bring it up and ridicule you and myself.. i do hope your right cause if your right more then 85% of the time i would love to ride your coat tail... oils down, but gold is up... euquity closed down... euro closed up... yet the gbp closed down.. its like wiping your butt before u poot.. it dont make sence... all and all right or wrong trade what right for youself..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #51,138
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:56pm Dec 17, 2008 2:56pm
Quoting iii
You guys are rediculing my statements, when in fact I am simply stating my OPINION. For instance I think it is hillarious that most of you guys use indicators, however if that works for you, then good luck. Wait and see... then if I am wrong, and even if I am I will still make money due to my positioning advantage, you could provide me with plently of criticism. In the mean time I really do not care what anyone else's sentiment is as it will not change my opinion, the only the price action can do that.
Here's how complicated my chart looks like:
http://img.skitch.com/20081217-xcg2q...nt96wfk675.jpg
  • #51,139
  • Dec 17, 2008 2:59pm Dec 17, 2008 2:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
no man im not ridiculing you. 80% of the people who trade are wrong. I know in my own trading that something was gonna surely happen...i know at times i would of bet my best goat on a direction and i was wrong. I know even the best traders are only right 85% of the time. if your better then that i take my hat off to you.. in the contrary i hope your right. if you read my post before yesterday i was never head over feet for any long position on e/u . and now im only slightly bullish. and normally dont scalp but have for the last 2 days..as for as...
I am sorry, I should rephrase the redicule part (I implied that the future is unknown and therefore its to early to criticise anyone's moves.). I am by no means right 85 percent of the time, but I am profitable 76 percent of the time. If I change my opinion before london session then I will post that, in the mean time I am still looking to short at the levels previously stated.
  • #51,140
  • Dec 17, 2008 3:01pm Dec 17, 2008 3:01pm
Quoting johto
Here's how complicated my chart looks like:
http://img.skitch.com/20081217-xcg2q...nt96wfk675.jpg
Hm... it is complicated
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