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EURUSD

  • #45,261
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:01pm Nov 13, 2008 3:01pm
Stock market closed...what will keep the EUR rally going?
  • #45,262
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:02pm Nov 13, 2008 3:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
what the hell was that!?
Lots and lots of stops.

This is getting interesting, I have kept out from EURUSD for a long time but now looks like time is right to get in again. I'll wait for couple of days and see what kind of retrace we'll get from this move and then (probably) get long.

The federal budget balance of today was just crazy scary for dollar.

It's also very interesting to note that this move is more about euro getting stronger than dollar getting weaker (here is nice correlation pic, euro is blue, dollar white)

Another pair worth watching based on correlations is EURGBP (the lowest purple line)
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  • #45,263
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:03pm Nov 13, 2008 3:03pm
1.2845
Time to pause!

1.2941 even possible today!

What a ride, I have closed one long at 1.2845.
  • #45,264
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:04pm Nov 13, 2008 3:04pm
call me crazy im in short with a small
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,265
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:08pm Nov 13, 2008 3:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
call me crazy im in short with a small
Not crazy at all, that top was almost exactly the upper longer term tl. It's a good idea to move your stop to BE quite fast.. Volatility is high.
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  • #45,266
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:11pm Nov 13, 2008 3:11pm
picked up 20.. looking for another short at 50
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,267
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:16pm Nov 13, 2008 3:16pm
A free Gift

Need NO WORDS.
This is not my Gann Charts, that it is other stuff!

Watch Out with shorts, if we go above 1.2855, 1.2941 is next!

My PayPal Account still Zero, feel free to donate!
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  • #45,268
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:29pm Nov 13, 2008 3:29pm
Quoting Driver55
I have incremented my short at 2840
But with this rallie, I .
Good short, but if we go to test again 1.2840, it is better to close your short.
If we see now a good retrace and next H4 below 1.2820, you're safe.
But My Gann is Freaking out for 1.2900
  • #45,269
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:34pm Nov 13, 2008 3:34pm
Quoting mikkom
Not crazy at all, that top was almost exactly the upper longer term tl. It's a good idea to move your stop to BE quite fast.. Volatility is high.
yeah im short again but not as good of a price as the original. i also jumped the gbp.. and considering eur/aus long.. i was going on just a pivot point chart and this high is not on my chart. i was just scalping the big high move on a 50 for a little retrace. im not normally a scalper but that one was to good looking to pass
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,270
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:35pm Nov 13, 2008 3:35pm
Hello,
Although I'm new to FF I would like to post some of my analysis. I would appreciate it if You tell me I have missed something. Looking on a daily chart I see double bottom with bullish div on CCI. First resistance is at 1.2920-1.2940 area but I think it won't hold. Second is about 1.3230-1.3280 where I see three fib levels based on different tf's and neck (I don't how it calls in double bottom formation). If that double bottom works we will see 1.3750-1.3800 area where is 100% ret. of last fall (from middle of October), 38,2% ret. of whole fall started in July and utl of that fall.
Uff I've sweated writing this.

Good night (here where i live)
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  • #45,271
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:37pm Nov 13, 2008 3:37pm
Trendline in 1H
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  • #45,272
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:42pm Nov 13, 2008 3:42pm
eur/aud has a double top inverse to the eur/usd
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,273
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:44pm Nov 13, 2008 3:44pm


I got clobbered, spanked, beat up today. Did you ever have one of those days where you said to yourself, "The DJIA won't go any higher!", Don't ever ever think that. LOL

I probabaly won't dig myself out of this hole until late tomorrow.
Redefining Reality
  • #45,274
  • Nov 13, 2008 3:46pm Nov 13, 2008 3:46pm
to much conflicting information.. im green right now going short. i feel like the deer in the headlights. i can cross the road here safely if i chose the right side. if not im road kill
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,275
  • Nov 13, 2008 4:08pm Nov 13, 2008 4:08pm
Duuuuuhhhhh...

I'm short eu from 2820 (ccurrently +40) and 2517 EJ (+30 atm) with +1 locked anticipating a profit taking drop sometime in asia or whenever. Some other shorts on GU and GY I won't get into currently at B/E. (RR at these levels is enormous) 20-40 pips SL vs return to previous levels or somewhere in between.

Friday being tomorrow leaves 3 sessions to do what they're gonna do, and my money is on "they won't hold over the weekend...".

Nothing has really changed yet that I'm aware of except the verbalvention factor which can turn down as fast as it turned up.

Tight stops rule in this circus, and the bleachers are where all the smart people are...
Attached Image
FUBAR...
  • #45,276
  • Nov 13, 2008 4:15pm Nov 13, 2008 4:15pm
I'm down 6% from yesterday. I wonder if I should just chill for awhile.

How many losses in a row do you take before you know you are out of control. I entered short so many times during the last couple of hours of the NY trading session that I lost count.
Redefining Reality
  • #45,277
  • Nov 13, 2008 4:21pm Nov 13, 2008 4:21pm
Quoting piptechnician
I'm down 6% from yesterday. I wonder if I should just chill for awhile.

How many losses in a row do you take before you know you are out of control. I entered short so many times during the last couple of hours of the NY trading session that I lost count.

Indicator 1 = "I'm down 6% from yesterday"
Indicator 2 = "I entered short so many times during the last couple of hours of the NY trading session that I lost count"
Indicator 3 = "asking"

I know how you feel and it happens, chill for a while........
  • #45,278
  • Nov 13, 2008 4:21pm Nov 13, 2008 4:21pm
Quoting piptechnician
I'm down 6% from yesterday. I wonder if I should just chill for awhile.

How many losses in a row do you take before you know you are out of control. I entered short so many times during the last couple of hours of the NY trading session that I lost count.
Sometimes you just out of sync with the charts. It's tough, but it usually helps to just turn them off for at least 4 hours and do something else. While you are gone - think back to what you were trying to accomplish and learn from your mistakes. Good time for self reflection :-)

That usually helps me clear my head when I've goofed on a few trades in a row and most of the time, I'm a bit pickier on my next trade and it usually is a good winner to give me back a big chunk of my losses, if not a profit for a change of pace!

As long as your money management is ok - you'll be good. It's when you do something crazy and drop 50%+ of your account in a day that makes the digging out of the hole near impossible.
  • #45,279
  • Nov 13, 2008 4:26pm Nov 13, 2008 4:26pm
Quoting ak4x
Duuuuuhhhhh...

I'm short eu from 2820 (ccurrently +40) and 2517 EJ (+30 atm) with +1 locked anticipating...
.... I do not want to be bored, but be very careful now with shorts.
Weekly is doing a nice Round bottom in MACD we have too a Double bottom pattern.
My H4 Gann Chart price touch one line that wasn't touched for long time, this time H4 Symmetric Channel was touched while Stoch Histogram are ready to jump to positive zone!
Take care!
  • #45,280
  • Nov 13, 2008 4:38pm Nov 13, 2008 4:38pm
New Update:

EUR/USD Buy near 1.2593
GBP/USD Buy near 1.4561
AUD/USD Buy near 0.6499
NZD/USD Buy near 0.5627

USD/CAD Sell near 1.2295
USD/CHF Sell near 1.1947
USD/JPY Buy near 96.93
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