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  • #43,541
  • Nov 5, 2008 11:46am Nov 5, 2008 11:46am
Quoting cobraforex
We had a nice entry today on the Turhovach system on 15M, the PA with green candles and yellow MA line crossed the Hull line and above the cloud, retest the MA line, a perfect about 150 pips trade.
Yup, that was a sweet setup. Glad you were able to take advantage of it.
  • #43,542
  • Nov 5, 2008 11:52am Nov 5, 2008 11:52am
http://screencast.com/t/qRuJrt8t

Well, scratch that. Setup didn't materialize.
  • #43,543
  • Nov 5, 2008 12:01pm Nov 5, 2008 12:01pm
Quoting Turhovach
http://screencast.com/t/qRuJrt8t
Might be coming out the opposite end (short briefly)?
Up or down, gimme a ticket
  • #43,544
  • Nov 5, 2008 12:06pm Nov 5, 2008 12:06pm
Quoting Turhovach
No. Say it aint so. Can't be. What will everyone do if they can't blame a trade gone bad on something other than their own bad judgement? My God - the brokers, the PPT, the computer gremlins, software glitches, inadvertent key strokes, etc., etc., etc. - what will they do? They'll go out of business. Lose relevance. The world will be unrecognizable. Oh nooooooooo...
you left out price manipulation. its my perfect excuse for trades gone bad
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #43,545
  • Nov 5, 2008 12:07pm Nov 5, 2008 12:07pm
Quoting Turhovach
http://screencast.com/t/qRuJrt8t

Well, scratch that. Setup didn't materialize.
I would not trade at the moment, I have 5 doji candles on 30M, the market is flat and trading that can shoot you back.
Better to wait till asian session.


Update: look you only need to shout and it's moving now, lol.
  • #43,546
  • Nov 5, 2008 12:23pm Nov 5, 2008 12:23pm
Quoting psiholog
classic retracement within triangles...so simple its not worth trading. drawing fibs from last low to current high...that spike down hit 61.8% almost to the pip. such spike volume is usually filled though with real volume so i may consider a trade there...since 61.8% is usually good retracement before continuation up i may consider a small long if it gets retapped again and confirmed as strong current support. we may reach 1.3150 if that happens...if it gets broken...here comes 1.2852 again...

Attachment
moment of truth
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #43,547
  • Nov 5, 2008 12:30pm Nov 5, 2008 12:30pm
And, like an idiot, I missed the whole damn thing. Sheesh, what a putz!

http://screencast.com/t/mxhF1c45a4

Edit - Looks like thing is trying to make a beeline back to the Pivot. Whose the Pivot expert here? Agree/Disagree?
  • #43,548
  • Nov 5, 2008 12:41pm Nov 5, 2008 12:41pm
Quoting Turhovach
And, like an idiot, I missed the whole damn thing. Sheesh, what a putz!

http://screencast.com/t/mxhF1c45a4

Edit - Looks like thing is trying to make a beeline back to the Pivot. Whose the Pivot expert here? Agree/Disagree?
I caught the bear run on your system. It actually came out from under a bullish ichimoku cloud, but was very close to a flat and bearish cloud. My other 8sma cloud confirmed it for me.

On another note, I agree with you it's trying to run to the pivot. Here's my 8sma chart. The purple line is 50ema.

Ed
Attached Image
Up or down, gimme a ticket
  • #43,549
  • Nov 5, 2008 12:52pm Nov 5, 2008 12:52pm
Quoting Turhovach
No. Say it aint so. Can't be. What will everyone do if they can't blame a trade gone bad on something other than their own bad judgement? My God - the brokers, the PPT, the computer gremlins, software glitches, inadvertent key strokes, etc., etc., etc. - what will they do? They'll go out of business. Lose relevance. The world will be unrecognizable. Oh nooooooooo...

The answer is clear. Blame it all on the hedge fund operations.

(Probably quite the truth, if the truth were known.)
  • #43,550
  • Nov 5, 2008 12:55pm Nov 5, 2008 12:55pm
Quoting SpecialEd
I caught the bear run on your system. It actually came out from under a bullish ichimoku cloud, but was very close to a flat and bearish cloud. My other 8sma cloud confirmed it for me.

On another note, I agree with you it's trying to run to the pivot. Here's my 8sma chart. The purple line is 50ema.

Ed
I've been watching the clouds for bullish or bearishness, but it actually hasn't seemed to make much difference, at least in my short observation.
  • #43,551
  • Nov 5, 2008 12:56pm Nov 5, 2008 12:56pm
Again, on 15 minute chart....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ed bb + zigzag 15 minute #1 11-05-2008.gif Size: 64 KB
  • #43,552
  • Edited 1:11pm Nov 5, 2008 12:57pm | Edited 1:11pm
The pair has touched the 1,2940 support.
The 15 EMA just changed the direction after hitting the higher bollinger band.
The target could be 1,28602 if the next candle opens under the 1,2940 level.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Bollinger Bands.jpg Size: 126 KB
  • #43,553
  • Nov 5, 2008 1:04pm Nov 5, 2008 1:04pm
Quoting cobraforex
Yeah, really clear signal.
The bad: had some glasses with a good friend of mine and woke up late, so I didn't see it on time to trade it.
That's live, will come another good trade.
Yeah, didn't amount to much.

now what?

I appears the downside is very much in play for US equities, but not sure what that will mean for EURO.

What are the chances of NO rate cut??
  • #43,554
  • Nov 5, 2008 1:07pm Nov 5, 2008 1:07pm
1.2830 next 20SMA 4H support/pivot if you believe in longs.

we at current 20sma on hourly.
  • #43,555
  • Nov 5, 2008 1:07pm Nov 5, 2008 1:07pm
Quoting Turhovach
And, like an idiot, I missed the whole damn thing. Sheesh, what a putz!

http://screencast.com/t/mxhF1c45a4

Edit - Looks like thing is trying to make a beeline back to the Pivot. Whose the Pivot expert here? Agree/Disagree?
That was a nice one too, sorry that you couldn't grab it on time.
I grabed it late for only 18 pips scalped but is something.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aturho.gif Size: 32 KB
  • #43,556
  • Nov 5, 2008 1:12pm Nov 5, 2008 1:12pm
and this just a chance to accumulate.

????

edit: good luck...
  • #43,557
  • Nov 5, 2008 1:18pm Nov 5, 2008 1:18pm
This white candle on the current 30 minute chart may just be a nice pullback before a run down. A good run down could take the price smashing thru the 89 sma (yellow line) to regions south. It kinda looks like a Double Top on this 30 chart, but the smaller the timeframe the less often these things are significant.....but you never know for sure.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ed 30 minute #1 11-05-2008.gif Size: 57 KB
  • #43,558
  • Nov 5, 2008 1:24pm Nov 5, 2008 1:24pm
http://img.skitch.com/20081105-pyd3p...ndasm8uy45.png
  • #43,559
  • Nov 5, 2008 1:34pm Nov 5, 2008 1:34pm
could be explosive
equals 20SMA on daily.

wil have to get over 1.2986 first though
  • #43,560
  • Nov 5, 2008 2:00pm Nov 5, 2008 2:00pm
I think with the pending UK and ECB rate cuts being announced this week the price can only dive for the rest of the week.

Just what I think, trades going down.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 05112008_2158.gif Size: 54 KB
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