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  • #41,541
  • Oct 24, 2008 8:07am Oct 24, 2008 8:07am
So far all ok, the bottom was as thought & now got 140pips in eu,gj 350pips( target 154) & also huge profit in gold .
gold. very happy , much to come today .

fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #41,542
  • Oct 24, 2008 8:18am Oct 24, 2008 8:18am
Quoting andys0506
agreed 100%, target 665
wow that came off nicely
  • #41,543
  • Oct 24, 2008 8:34am Oct 24, 2008 8:34am
Quoting magictrader
I've got simple question:

why volatility is so big?
Because of larger transactions (bigger lots),
or maybe more quantity of transactions,
or maybe less liqudity on the market?

Or maybe something else? (Technical reasons only).
because liquidity problems in the interbank
  • #41,544
  • Oct 24, 2008 8:38am Oct 24, 2008 8:38am
Quoting SeaPip
.....just take what the market gives you ($800) not bad for a an hour of work hey.
that's why it is easier to trade with big capital... if you try to do the same with mini accounts or micro accounts you would like to get more and then you fail.
  • #41,545
  • Oct 24, 2008 8:48am Oct 24, 2008 8:48am
Quoting emda
that's why it is easier to trade with big capital... if you try to do the same with mini accounts or micro accounts you would like to get more and then you fail.
I was late to ride the fall from begining...i fired 3 times shorts(sell) and the snake stoped and swallow my sl 20 pips and then down again ..3 times already

Hmm...think i have to change my strategy for this big volatility...will try ride on tops retracement and see if it stop me out again.....
  • #41,546
  • Oct 24, 2008 8:50am Oct 24, 2008 8:50am
I know some of you work with correlations between the Dow and what happens to the EUR/USD. So I thought I"d post a Dow chart from now.

I see the Dow possibly going down to 7900 by end of toda or early next week because it strongly breached the Fib. (See in chart below)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dow1.JPG Size: 175 KB
  • #41,547
  • Oct 24, 2008 8:54am Oct 24, 2008 8:54am
Quoting athahira
I was late to ride the fall from begining...i fired 3 times shorts(sell) and the snake stoped and swallow my sl 20 pips and then down again ..3 times already

Hmm...think i have to change my strategy for this big volatility...will try ride on tops retracement and see if it stop me out again.....
I found I had to change my SL lately to 40-50 pips instead of 20. Risky!
  • #41,548
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:00am Oct 24, 2008 9:00am
Quoting TradeWell
I found I had to change my SL lately to 40-50 pips instead of 20. Risky!
on my half hour chart ...price is hanging now on 38.2 level ( according to my drawing ) ....if not start dropping by at least 20 pips below this level....then it will hit 50 fib level ..which i prepared sell stop already ...


p.s.: funny ...it already hit the 50 level
  • #41,549
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:13am Oct 24, 2008 9:13am
This is scalpers dream
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #41,550
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:20am Oct 24, 2008 9:20am
Hi all, I'm new to this forum. I've been on the sideline for a while so nice to be trading with you. Question for SeaPip regarding:

Quoting SeaPip
I said to myself there must be a retrace so I drew my fib. I enter a buy and target the 50% level of (from 1.2788-1.2492) which is 1.2640 which would give me 40 pips.
You drew your fib from 1.2788, can you explain to me why from this point as I went with drawing mine from 1.2818 as it looked like the swing high to me for this move and I'm sure you're right. What I am missing here? Thanks
  • #41,551
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:24am Oct 24, 2008 9:24am
Quoting PipPig
Hi all, I'm new to this forum....
Welcome!
  • #41,552
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:28am Oct 24, 2008 9:28am
if 1.2647 holds it is good idea to start to go long!
I am not Trading today, too risky!
I have an important H4 channel, got broken when drop to 1.25 now renter at 1.2654, and now retesting, if 1.2647 holds might be good idea to go long!
  • #41,553
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:36am Oct 24, 2008 9:36am
Quoting BoredToLoose
if 1.2647 holds it is good idea to start to go long!
I am not Trading today, too risky!
I have an important H4 channel, got broken when drop to 1.25 now renter at 1.2654, and now retesting, if 1.2647 holds might be good idea to go long!
I am new and still learning so excuse the question if it sounds silly........

Are you saying that as the rate has made 1.2647, that it is likely (rather then not) that the rate will continue towards 1.2700?
  • #41,554
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:36am Oct 24, 2008 9:36am
Sorry was scalping for another 20 pips Bonus for this weekend beer and take the kids to movie.

Both are relevant. Only reason why I chose that point was was because that candle actually retrace 1/2 way into the previous candle and then go down. So to me that is the point it really decide to go down, ofcourse this is on the 1HR.




Quoting PipPig
Hi all, I'm new to this forum. I've been on the sideline for a while so nice to be trading with you. Question for SeaPip regarding:



You drew your fib from 1.2788, can you explain to me why from this point as I went with drawing mine from 1.2818 as it looked like the swing high to me for this move and I'm sure you're right. What I am missing here? Thanks
  • #41,555
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:40am Oct 24, 2008 9:40am
Quoting BoredToLoose
if 1.2647 holds it is good idea to start to go long!
I am not Trading today, too risky!
I have an important H4 channel, got broken when drop to 1.25 now renter at 1.2654, and now retesting, if 1.2647 holds might be good idea to go long!

to risky to go long.
dow is down -400 and possible bear flag broken today
  • #41,556
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:41am Oct 24, 2008 9:41am
hi guys

as always with cable + euro price continue the down trend

i predict more massive falls will happen my friends and i
want as you but eye on technicals to put your eyes on fundamentals too.

and to be clear to you
all the buyers and the sellers are here in those threads and you know the forex basic rule
only 20% win and the other 80% loss
so try to figure it out by your mind

if you find most posts talk about retrace that will may happen you will find the price is going down, and if you find most posts talk about the continuation of down trend you will find price is going up .

and make it obvious to you about the trend guys.

from the day i start to post in euro+cable a 2000 pip drop
and still the trend is down.

and i still predict more bearish activity coming .
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #41,557
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:46am Oct 24, 2008 9:46am
Quoting BoredToLoose
if 1.2647 holds it is good idea to start to go long! I am not Trading today, too risky!
Till the gann flips and gy gets above that green line, EU is going nowhere... not up anyway.

if i'm wrong, i will personally repost this and grovel about being wrong.

IF the gann flips, then yes there's a chance. I'm still short the planet...
FUBAR...
  • #41,558
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:49am Oct 24, 2008 9:49am
Today maybe a Doomsday!
If price broke 1.2500 Today, Euro will get crushed!
I have an important H4 channel, price have done second retest at 1.2644, did not cross yet.
If price broke that channel again Shorts will rule, if holds so we might see some Long retrace here.
I AM NOT TRADING TODAY!
Only watch my charts, will trade Monday according what I see Today!
  • #41,559
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:50am Oct 24, 2008 9:50am
Quoting SeaPip
Both are relevant. Only reason why I chose that point was was because that candle actually retrace 1/2 way into the previous candle and then go down. So to me that is the point it really decide to go down, ofcourse this is on the 1HR.
Thanks SeaPip, yes I see your logic now!!
  • #41,560
  • Oct 24, 2008 9:57am Oct 24, 2008 9:57am
EURO 1.2721 and climbing!

Where will it stop and how hard will it fall.

Icelands government has just confirmed IMF request was 2 Billion.
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