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Aussie Pairs

  • #2,461
  • Oct 6, 2008 9:00am Oct 6, 2008 9:00am
Quoting Trader KGB
Make that 14%! Unbelievable! I really have to stop jinxing this poor pair..
I hope you're in that trade bro.

it runs on Ethanol better for my subsidies
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,462
  • Oct 6, 2008 10:10am Oct 6, 2008 10:10am
Quoting DutchTrader
I hope you're in that trade bro.
Alas, I switched over to index futures ever since cross rate spreads widened post-Lehman. I'm up, but could've been doing gravy had I stayed short the carry trade. Were you short A/J over the weekend? If so, congrats!

Quote
it runs on Ethanol better for my subsidies
  • #2,463
  • Oct 6, 2008 10:23am Oct 6, 2008 10:23am
Quoting Trader KGB
Alas, I switched over to index futures ever since cross rate spreads widened post-Lehman. I'm up, but could've been doing gravy had I stayed short the carry trade. Were you short A/J over the weekend? If so, congrats!



I stayed short nzd/usd and aud/jpy alas with small positions as I just paid for tuition least I got dinner out of it. PM me with your take on carries if you get a chance. Got something to ask you.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,464
  • Oct 6, 2008 3:40pm Oct 6, 2008 3:40pm
This may be a bit risky, but I'm going to try to long aud/usd. I have a few reasons that are kind of disorganized, but I'll toss em' out there. For one, I see a hammer on the 4 hr. Second reason is that whenever AUS has a rate decision and a rate cut is what people are expecting, it never just falls straight down.. it always shoots up for whatever reason (stop loss hunting?) and then heads down. Or, if not - it just heads up. Either way, I hope to make a few pips on the way maybe with a stop a little over 50 pips down.

We'll see how it goes.
Do you think the karate kid knows kung-fu?
  • #2,465
  • Oct 6, 2008 4:08pm Oct 6, 2008 4:08pm
Hi all

what if AUD Bank cut the rate by .25... is it have the same effect or do we exoect the same effect as cut by .25?
  • #2,466
  • Oct 6, 2008 4:13pm Oct 6, 2008 4:13pm
Quoting nedal26
Hi all

what if AUD Bank cut the rate by .25... is it have the same effect or do we exoect the same effect as cut by .25?
I will bet you if they cut by anything but 50 it will jump at least a bit.
Do you think the karate kid knows kung-fu?
  • #2,467
  • Oct 6, 2008 4:19pm Oct 6, 2008 4:19pm
Quoting ddblue
I will bet you if they cut by anything but 50 it will jump at least a bit.

bet... it`s all what we do here all the time...

i will not bet

all what i hope for both of us and every budy here are ride the right trend..
  • #2,468
  • Oct 6, 2008 8:52pm Oct 6, 2008 8:52pm
Quoting ddblue
...whenever AUS has a rate decision and a rate cut is what people are expecting, it never just falls straight down.. it always shoots up for whatever reason (stop loss hunting?) and then heads down. Or, if not - it just heads up... We'll see how it goes.
So how did it go? I can see how you could have taken 50-100 pips. Did you?
  • #2,469
  • Oct 6, 2008 8:54pm Oct 6, 2008 8:54pm
280 pip swing in 30 mins , these people are messing with our heads. Tripple bottom on 4 Hr. Petrol will go up 20cents a litre. Time to start building longs again.(IMHO)

Roy
Polishing my crystal ball
  • #2,470
  • Oct 6, 2008 8:54pm Oct 6, 2008 8:54pm
They cut 100 bps.. what was they thinking? it's break low but now break high..
puff..Aussie got me tic tac cut loss 30 pips... hiks,..
  • #2,471
  • Oct 6, 2008 9:11pm Oct 6, 2008 9:11pm
Can't help but shake the feeling the RBA leaked its intentions early to some inside players. Aussie falls an unprecedented 9.4% in a single day on a run-of-the-mill (lately) market decline, then moves higher following a "surprise" 100bp rate cut? Suspicious..
  • #2,472
  • Oct 6, 2008 11:09pm Oct 6, 2008 11:09pm
Hit my s/l rather than my t/p =-/
That was disappointing. Come home to find it practically in the same place where I left it.
Do you think the karate kid knows kung-fu?
  • #2,473
  • Oct 7, 2008 12:30am Oct 7, 2008 12:30am
I just had my entire account (what was left of it, anyway) wiped out on Aussie's 600 pip drop yesterday... a day after my b-day, to boot.

I don't freakin' get the markets anymore; they cut by 100% more than the forecast, and AU rallies. Is there anything left in this world that's tradeable based on common sense? I've tried everything - gold, corn... there's nothing safe left to buy and hold. Maybe I should go with online poker.
  • #2,474
  • Oct 7, 2008 12:38am Oct 7, 2008 12:38am
Quoting Subdude
I just had my entire account (what was left of it, anyway) wiped out on Aussie's 600 pip drop yesterday... a day after my b-day, to boot.
Use a stop loss?
  • #2,475
  • Oct 7, 2008 12:42am Oct 7, 2008 12:42am
Quoting Hissinger
Use a stop loss?
No. I thought 6 mini-lots wouldn't kill me before I went to bed as I was only down some 20-30 pips at the time and it looked like it was flattening out... the thing imploded just as the markets opened Monday morning. Well, I'm gonna lick my wounds and take stock... and maybe come back some other day.
  • #2,476
  • Oct 7, 2008 5:38am Oct 7, 2008 5:38am
Quoting Trader KGB
Can't help but shake the feeling the RBA leaked its intentions early to some inside players. Aussie falls an unprecedented 9.4% in a single day on a run-of-the-mill (lately) market decline, then moves higher following a "surprise" 100bp rate cut? Suspicious..
Yeah that was too orchestrated.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #2,477
  • Edited 6:20am Oct 7, 2008 6:00am | Edited 6:20am
Morning all,

I just came across eur/aud...dos anyone trade this pair....man is it a volitile bugger.

Edit: Bam...the little shit just moved 250 pips in less than 5 seconds....what's that all about...
It's All About Attitude ...
  • #2,478
  • Oct 7, 2008 3:32pm Oct 7, 2008 3:32pm
It's a crazy pair. there was a time I watched EURUSD, AUDUSD and EURAUD and traded the three. It was the best of times and the worst of times.

I remember seeing it at 1.6XX not long ago thinking I need to go long that pair, knowing it's history...can't believe how high it has gotten. I would think eventually AUD will reclaim some ground. Hard to say though, just seems to hgo higher and higher.

Australian Treasurer says economy is strong, better off than others FYI...
  • #2,479
  • Oct 7, 2008 3:46pm Oct 7, 2008 3:46pm
Quoting Billser
Morning all,

I just came across eur/aud...dos anyone trade this pair....man is it a volitile bugger.

Edit: Bam...the little shit just moved 250 pips in less than 5 seconds....what's that all about...
I dont think its actively traded as a pair per se.
AUD/JPY AUD/NZD are the main crosses where you will find natural interest at levels.
Against EUR you wont see the natural interest.
Aust does very little with Europe in trade relations unlike Japan and NZ.
  • #2,480
  • Oct 7, 2008 7:08pm Oct 7, 2008 7:08pm
Australia is looking good compared to rest of world. Proximity to major markets of Inida and China will play big role in keeping them buoyed in the near and medium term, IMO.
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