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  • #29,281
  • Sep 11, 2008 6:43am Sep 11, 2008 6:43am
let's see what will happen with US news
Trade at Your Own Risk.
  • #29,282
  • Sep 11, 2008 6:45am Sep 11, 2008 6:45am
anyone has an idea why cable is shooting up and the euro is so lazy.its like watching grass grow.i am beginning to get tired.getting ready to go shorts.
  • #29,283
  • Sep 11, 2008 6:47am Sep 11, 2008 6:47am
Psiholog, I think that they will matter more than they should short term wise.

This level is not sustainable. I am long term dollar bull and I think we will see some more of the downtrend, but consolidation is neccesary and it will be sooner rather than later.

How big retrace will be is the question for folks sharing my view... 1.43 is likely target in my eyes. I am entering from 1.4055 with small long positions adding on an established medium term one.
  • #29,284
  • Sep 11, 2008 6:48am Sep 11, 2008 6:48am
Everything gaining strenght but not Euro. Why no one now doesn't like Euro .
  • #29,285
  • Sep 11, 2008 6:49am Sep 11, 2008 6:49am
Quoting SpecialEd
Can you show a chart and tell what hi/lo prices you're using for the 23.6% fib? I was speaking of the trendline that has been running since 8/26. I posted it yesterday. We're still way down toward the bottom end of that channel.

Psiholog, do you see resistance at 1.3950, 1.3975 and then at 1230gmt (news)?
we must be talking about different trendlines...im reffering to this week only...fibs is for this week only too...1.4428 to 1.3892

as far as resistance....i see 1.3975...dont think well break it before news...even then...big IF
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #29,286
  • Sep 11, 2008 6:51am Sep 11, 2008 6:51am
Quoting StefanoProdi
Psiholog, I think that they will matter more than they should short term wise.

This level is not sustainable. I am long term dollar bull and I think we will see some more of the downtrend, but consolidation is neccesary and it will be sooner rather than later.

How big retrace will be is the question for folks sharing my view... 1.43 is likely target in my eyes. I am entering from 1.4055 with small long positions adding on an established medium term one.
lol ive been bullish since last week with nfp and the freddie/fannie...this whole week has been nonsense to me
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #29,287
  • Sep 11, 2008 6:51am Sep 11, 2008 6:51am
Quoting StefanoProdi
Psiholog, I think that they will matter more than they should short term wise.

This level is not sustainable. I am long term dollar bull and I think we will see some more of the downtrend, but consolidation is neccesary and it will be sooner rather than later.

How big retrace will be is the question for folks sharing my view... 1.43 is likely target in my eyes. I am entering from 1.4055 with small long positions adding on an established medium term one.
Thinking aloud - I see 4017 as daily pivot (Acumen begins to think BUY), and I see 4018 as 23.6% Fib for this week. The news (Trade Balance) could give us a serious jolt back DOWN though. Thoughts?
Up or down, gimme a ticket
  • #29,288
  • Sep 11, 2008 6:52am Sep 11, 2008 6:52am
Quoting psiholog
lol ive been bullish since last week with nfp and the freddie/fannie...this whole week has been nonsense to me
Up or down, gimme a ticket
  • #29,289
  • Sep 11, 2008 6:54am Sep 11, 2008 6:54am
We could just scalp 3935-3950 all day.
Up or down, gimme a ticket
  • #29,290
  • Sep 11, 2008 6:55am Sep 11, 2008 6:55am
Quoting SpecialEd
Thinking aloud - I see 4017 as daily pivot (Acumen begins to think BUY), and I see 4018 as 23.6% Fib for this week. The news (Trade Balance) could give us a serious jolt back DOWN though. Thoughts?
im waiting for a break above 1.3975....if it goes down below 1.3915 even though shorting will be tempting..ill just watch...this puppy running out of steam...for now...at least to the down side...just my 2 cents
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #29,291
  • Sep 11, 2008 7:05am Sep 11, 2008 7:05am
Just looking at daily chart....clear MACD bullish divergence.

And we are approaching 50 fib retrace of the large uptrend from 1,1640/1.6037.

Food for thought...
  • #29,292
  • Sep 11, 2008 7:09am Sep 11, 2008 7:09am
Quoting psiholog
lol ive been bullish since last week with nfp and the freddie/fannie...this whole week has been nonsense to me

Me too... we'll see.
  • #29,293
  • Sep 11, 2008 7:11am Sep 11, 2008 7:11am
Quoting efgsrl
Just looking at daily chart....clear MACD bullish divergence.

And we are approaching 50 fib retrace of the large uptrend from 1,1640/1.6037.

Food for thought...
MalcolmB taught me a bit about bullish divergence, but I forget some of it. You mean that MACD says "up", while price action is showing "down", right? As I recall, in this situation, MACD usually wins out and it turns "up", right?

Thanks for your indulgence,
Ed
Up or down, gimme a ticket
  • #29,294
  • Sep 11, 2008 7:14am Sep 11, 2008 7:14am
Quoting SpecialEd
Thinking aloud - I see 4017 as daily pivot (Acumen begins to think BUY), and I see 4018 as 23.6% Fib for this week. The news (Trade Balance) could give us a serious jolt back DOWN though. Thoughts?
Trade balance dollar bull? Maybe... But I doubt it. I think that this level has very few bad US news priced in... Looking to strenghten a position if 4017 is strongly broken.
  • #29,295
  • Sep 11, 2008 7:16am Sep 11, 2008 7:16am
Quoting SpecialEd
MalcolmB taught me a bit about bullish divergence, but I forget some of it. You mean that MACD says "up", while price action is showing "down", right? As I recall, in this situation, MACD usually wins out and it turns "up", right?

Thanks for your indulgence,
Ed

MACD is making higher lowers while price is still tanking, potentially signaling the end of the downtrend. Divergence is usually a very reliable signal...yes.
  • #29,296
  • Sep 11, 2008 7:16am Sep 11, 2008 7:16am
Now EU is between two bottom channel lines:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.JPG Size: 289 KB
  • #29,297
  • Sep 11, 2008 7:17am Sep 11, 2008 7:17am
Quoting StefanoProdi
Trade balance dollar bull? Maybe... But I doubt it. I think that this level has very few bad US news priced in... Looking to strenghten a position if 4017 is strongly broken.

more like none...the pair disregarded all news all week..its not even about oil anymore
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #29,298
  • Sep 11, 2008 7:25am Sep 11, 2008 7:25am
Quoting Marko31
Well i am going to take a shower with my head & shoulder shampoo ... it's a good shampoo !
hahaha how funny forex is turning people into.
  • #29,299
  • Sep 11, 2008 7:35am Sep 11, 2008 7:35am
Wow. Truly awful numbers again. Interesting to see how this goes.
  • #29,300
  • Sep 11, 2008 7:36am Sep 11, 2008 7:36am
Quoting efgsrl
MACD is making higher lowers while price is still tanking, potentially signaling the end of the downtrend. Divergence is usually a very reliable signal...yes.
Up or down, gimme a ticket
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