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  • #21,361
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:17am Aug 19, 2008 1:17am
only one thing to describe myself.. i got owned
  • #21,362
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:19am Aug 19, 2008 1:19am
Euro $ is falling down... falling down...
Trade the reaction, not the news!
  • #21,363
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:20am Aug 19, 2008 1:20am
Quoting Warren Forex
I will try hard to not post it again for at least 30 days.

Is that a deal ?
Not all sins are created equal
  • #21,364
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:20am Aug 19, 2008 1:20am
Quoting mikkom
It's very important to understand what all these strange acronyms mean. PPI is an indicator of inflation. it's only positive if ECB is willing to raise interests which it definitely is not going to do now.

My thoughts are that PPI doubled because euro has gotten weaker and the material costs are rising fast. And that is not good for any economy.
That is a reason why the ECB does not mind EUR/USD at 1.5500 or so. Keep that in mind. The mandate of ECB is to keep inflation in check.


Bruce
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  • #21,365
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:20am Aug 19, 2008 1:20am
Quoting Warren Forex
Out Of Funds ... Some Run that was to 110.22 since Midnight as EUR/USD tests 1.4650 !


Bruce
Never underestimate the UJ, sometimes he's a rocker

Also, the BOJ conference which we don't have clue what they're talking, but given the unchanged rate, must have said something very lame
"Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money" - Danny De Vito
  • #21,366
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:21am Aug 19, 2008 1:21am
Quoting trading801
damn it.. the news is good so i tot the price will shoot up.. i panicked closed order.. took $2.. tried to buy but got it while it spiked immediately -$10.

y is the price falling when the news is good for euro.. i feel like shit now

lol, just cause the numbers are higher than expected doesn't mean its good news... its a change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers, if you had just took the time to look you would have seen this. so contrary to what you might of thought... its bad news.

also, I dont think its a good idea trading on surveys... gl


ps.


this is a very informative forum... stay up and good luck trading everyone....
  • #21,367
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:21am Aug 19, 2008 1:21am
Quoting Warren Forex
One Of My Favorite Video's on FX Trading !!!

Here is the Link to the FTP video.

http://broadcast.ino.com/education/t...eboard_6/?blog

PLEASE WATCH IT !!! Thank You !!!
thanks Warren, I'll check it out
  • #21,368
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:21am Aug 19, 2008 1:21am
Welcome back everyone EURUSD seems to have broken last Fridays lows so we should look out for 1.4600 now. ZEW should make things very interesting!
Pippin ain't easy, but it sho is fun!
  • #21,369
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:22am Aug 19, 2008 1:22am
Quoting trading801
only one thing to describe myself.. i got owned
http://leo.customer.netspace.net.au/lt/lt-owned-01.jpg

Don't fret about it mate. Everyone has a bad day now and then.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #21,370
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:24am Aug 19, 2008 1:24am
Quoting twofeet
Euro $ is falling down... falling down...
As one of the more knowledgeable posters here has already pointed out watch for a Reversal at times when Europe is in Full Swing !!!

Not saying EUR/USD might retest 1.4700 but it might and ZEW still to come as well ...


Bruce
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  • #21,371
  • Edited 1:34am Aug 19, 2008 1:30am | Edited 1:34am
Hello Bruce,

We don't have any tradable news tomorrow... But we do have several
high impact news releases tomorrow:
5:00am German Zew Economic Sentiment
8:30am US PPI m/m
8:30am US Building Permits ***
Watch out for ZEW German Sentiment, if this release comes out to
be much worse than expected, a retest of the recent on EUR/USD low
will probably take place. US PPI release at 8:30am will probably be
a non-event because of last week's CPI release. However, I do expect
it to be higher than expected for the same reason.

PPI ...

06:23 EUR ECON: Energy Costs Continue To Boost German PPI

Act. Cons. Prev.
19Aug 06:00 GER PPI %m/m Jul 2.0 0.6 0.9
19Aug 06:00 GER PPI %y/y Jul 8.9 7.3 6.7
London August 19. German producer prices rose significantly more than expected
in July up 2.0% mom also reporting the highest monthly increase since Feb 1974
when PPI was up 2.7% mom. On an annual basis PPI was up 8.9%, the highest rate
of increase in almost twenty seven years. Excluding energy prices PPI was up
3.6% yoy from 3.0% in June, which worryingly shows a significant increase even
in core producer prices.


The main reason for the increase were higher energy costs again. The fall in
crude prices during the second half of July clearly failed to pass through to
production costs yet as the energy component of the PPI rose 5.1% mom and 24.5%
yoy. [email protected]/dc
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  • #21,372
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:30am Aug 19, 2008 1:30am
Quoting Jay Walker
Warren, that video is informative and I mean no offense but it's the third time that I remember seeing you posting it.

I appreciate that you want to help some people here but they also should do some discoveries themselves.
I know what you're saying but honestly that does help me a lot. And besides what's the problem? I mean it takes only one post every now and then and there are lots of new people who view this thread all the time.

I'm very greatful to have seen that link because there are a bunch of other videos that I can watch as well.

Anyway I can see how it could be annoying to some people but I asked him a question and he is only answering it so I don't see that as being a problem
  • #21,373
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:33am Aug 19, 2008 1:33am
Quoting mikkom
It's very important to understand what all these strange acronyms mean. PPI is an indicator of inflation. it's only positive if ECB is willing to raise interests which it definitely is not going to do now.

My thoughts are that PPI doubled because euro has gotten weaker and the material costs are rising fast. And that is not good for any economy.
Thanks for the info. I already know what the producer price index is. You have a original reason why it is high.

Do you have any data to back up the analysis or links?

From you previous statement you must also be expecting manufacturing PMI later in the week to be lower than expected?

I am not trying to start an argument, I just want to see the reasoning behind your statement.
  • #21,374
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:38am Aug 19, 2008 1:38am
Quoting altrader
I know what you're saying but honestly that does help me a lot. And besides what's the problem? I mean it takes only one post every now and then and there are lots of new people who view this thread all the time.

I'm very greatful to have seen that link because there are a bunch of other videos that I can watch as well.

Anyway I can see how it could be annoying to some people but I asked him a question and he is only answering it so I don't see that as being a problem
I don't object to it per say but I do see some redundant redundancy that happens to be redundant in their redundancy redun....

Warren, just a thought. Maybe put a link in your signature to some blog page or some other web space where you could put all of your links.

That way, the information is still there for those who wants it and nothing more than a link in your signature appears. It seems to be win/win.

It might be something to think about.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #21,375
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:38am Aug 19, 2008 1:38am
Guys,,

Any one on EU shorts??
Sent a small probe @ 14636 lvl....


sonic
  • #21,376
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:40am Aug 19, 2008 1:40am
Quoting sonicdeejay
Guys,,

Any one on EU shorts??
Sent a small probe @ 14636 lvl....


sonic
I did @ 1.4660
  • #21,377
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:41am Aug 19, 2008 1:41am
i sent lots of probe.. but they all became the BORG
  • #21,378
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:45am Aug 19, 2008 1:45am
Short from 1.4652
  • #21,379
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:45am Aug 19, 2008 1:45am
Quoting Jurrasic
Big moves often start during the hour and a half to one hour before London open, they'll also reverse an hour later at times. However we have some news coming up so caution is advised..

Crazy GL anyway
This is a pattern that repeats many times. Few are aware of it. Thanks for pointing it out...


Bruce
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  • #21,380
  • Aug 19, 2008 1:48am Aug 19, 2008 1:48am
Quoting Jay Walker
I don't object to it per say but I do see some redundant redundancy that happens to be redundant in their redundancy redun....

Warren, just a thought. Maybe put a link in your signature to some blog page or some other web space where you could put all of your links.

That way, the information is still there for those who wants it and nothing more than a link in your signature appears. It seems to be win/win.

It might be something to think about.
I will work on your excellent suggestion. Thank You !!!


Bruce
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