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USD/JPY Discussion

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  • Post #10,981
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  • Jul 23, 2008 5:29pm Jul 23, 2008 5:29pm
  •  southernmind
  • | Joined Oct 2006 | Status: Member | 924 Posts
Quoting P51_Group
Disliked
The reason is because the R1 is just 3 pips short...... How about that?
Ignored

I'm not speaking of any specific day. This is something that I have noticed that occurs quite often with this pair.
 
 
  • Post #10,982
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 5:30pm Jul 23, 2008 5:30pm
  •  ak4x
  • Joined Aug 2007 | Status: TARFU... | 7,015 Posts
pivots for today
Attached Images
FUBAR...
 
 
  • Post #10,983
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  • Jul 23, 2008 5:36pm Jul 23, 2008 5:36pm
  •  ak4x
  • Joined Aug 2007 | Status: TARFU... | 7,015 Posts
Quoting southernmind
Disliked
ANY TAKERS??
Ignored
Beats me... I always looked at the 80 level, but same thing. I put it in the same box as the pound bein in love with a 50% retracement, and the nightly Frankie Headfakes. (Hey, cool tip on the fib tool huh?)
FUBAR...
 
 
  • Post #10,984
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  • Jul 23, 2008 5:44pm Jul 23, 2008 5:44pm
  •  southernmind
  • | Joined Oct 2006 | Status: Member | 924 Posts
Quoting ak4x
Disliked
Beats me... I always looked at the 80 level, but same thing. I put it in the same box as the pound bein in love with a 50% retracement, and the nightly Frankie Headfakes. (Hey, cool tip on the fib tool huh?)
Ignored
Yeah....that will save a lot of time in drawing. Robert is da man!!!
 
 
  • Post #10,985
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  • Jul 23, 2008 8:35pm Jul 23, 2008 8:35pm
  •  forexunder
  • | Joined May 2008 | Status: Member | 58 Posts
I've been trading this pair by the use of P&F chart for the last couple months on my live account, and I must say, I like what I see so far.

For those P&F chartist, just got a confirmed breakout of Spread Triple Top pattern.

Long @ 107.94 SL 107.55

Current Price: 107.84
 
 
  • Post #10,986
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 8:50pm Jul 23, 2008 8:50pm
  •  jupiter_peak
  • Joined Apr 2008 | Status: Controlled Trading. | 1,161 Posts
Hey guys,

I hardly post much regarding fundamentals. I refrain from doing because I see
other with more "cerdentials" here to do so.

As most of you must have noticed, oil price has dropped more than USD20.00 in less than a week.

If anyone asks me why, I would put it plain and simple: Barack Obama's visit to the Middle East proclaiming the end of all present wars and future ones (IRAN). Plain and simple.

I don't like to get involved into politics and really don't want to... but this is the type of posture that can be very positive for the US and for the rest of the world as wll. I see most speculators "realizing" their LONG positions and beginning to change position.

Now here is the question, with Obama we should see the end of the OIL(BUSH FAMILY) Empire? They made so much money with this price escalade!! They should be Zillionaires by now!!

Oil has decided it's temporary road. I see a clear dec. channel already fully developed in H4.

So as Oil raised, Euro went up just as JPY did too. Now the exact reverse is happening.

If one is not trading with one eye on Oil, than things can look somewhat "blind" for he who dares to trade away from this FACT.

Some good opportunities these last two days on EU and UJ. Always looking at OIL prices the whole time.

Oh... By the way.... I see resistance @ 108.24 for UJ.
The parallel is drawn here and open for anyone to see it.

Wish all the Best for ALL traders!!

Cheers.

JP
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  • Post #10,987
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 9:53pm Jul 23, 2008 9:53pm
  •  naminori
  • | Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Member | 128 Posts
jupiter peak

Obama's visit to Iran has probably nothing to do with the oil prices. The current decline of oil orices is MAINLY caused by higher-than-expected stockpiles of oil and gasoline as the US economy is getting weaker. It's all about weakning demand for oil at the moment. As a result, speculators have tried to get out of their long positions as quickly as possible for the past weeks.
 
 
  • Post #10,988
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  • Jul 23, 2008 11:56pm Jul 23, 2008 11:56pm
  •  P51_Group
  • | Joined Jul 2008 | Status: Member | 31 Posts
One thing I do not understand is how everyone getting out of their longs when the Yen has been going up since march and in the last two week after hitting a 103.76, it has done nothing but climb. So I am sure the ones trying to get out of their trades and crying all the time, are the ones who are in the short position. I heard last night their was a lot of traders got taken out of their shorts with the stops they had set at the 169.90 on the E/J and not counting those who where stopped out with U/J. Interesting though, how one cannot recognize a long position from the short.
 
 
  • Post #10,989
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  • Jul 24, 2008 12:00am Jul 24, 2008 12:00am
  •  Clouds
  • Joined Apr 2008 | Status: Member | 7,674 Posts
Quoting P51_Group
Disliked
One thing I do not understand is how everyone getting out of their longs when the Yen has been going up since march and in the last two week after hitting a 103.76, it has done nothing but climb. So I am sure the ones trying to get out of their trades and crying all the time, are the ones who are in the short position. I heard last night their was a lot of traders got taken out of their shorts with the stops they had set at the 169.90 on the E/J and not counting those who where stopped out with U/J. Interesting though, how one cannot recognize a long position from the short.
Ignored
Next will be below 103.76
 
 
  • Post #10,990
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2008 12:15am Jul 24, 2008 12:15am
  •  naminori
  • | Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Member | 128 Posts
You are misunderstanding what I said. I am talking about long positions on OIL, not USD. Also, it is USD that has been stronger since March, not JPY. How can you be sure that shoters are crying all the time? That is a funny statement to me. Both longers and shorters should get stopped out when a trend goes against them.

Quoting P51_Group
Disliked
One thing I do not understand is how everyone getting out of their longs when the Yen has been going up since march and in the last two week after hitting a 103.76, it has done nothing but climb. So I am sure the ones trying to get out of their trades and crying all the time, are the ones who are in the short position. I heard last night their was a lot of traders got taken out of their shorts with the stops they had set at the 169.90 on the E/J and not counting those who where stopped out with U/J. Interesting though, how one cannot recognize a long position from the short.
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #10,991
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  • Jul 24, 2008 12:26am Jul 24, 2008 12:26am
  •  bristolxyz
  • | Joined Jun 2008 | Status: Member | 291 Posts
(IGM)[European Preview] The USD strength against its major currency pairs is becomin...

[European Preview] The USD strength against its major currency pairs is becoming more entrenched as crude oil prices looked like it has seen the top for now while the Dow may have seen the bottom.
"I spilled spot remover on my dog. He's gone now." - Steven Wright
 
 
  • Post #10,992
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2008 1:41am Jul 24, 2008 1:41am
  •  MaZae
  • | Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
this is my long term view of UJ...

right now we're on a raising wedge since its lowest at middle of march... i'm not taking more positions in this pair until I see what's going to be the next direction, so... who's gonna win?

***Weekly Fib 38.2% (DownSide) VS Weekly Orange Support (UpSide)***
Attached Image
... /$ -> LONG
 
 
  • Post #10,993
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2008 9:56am Jul 24, 2008 9:56am
  •  bksujal
  • | Joined Jun 2007 | Status: candlestick trader | 991 Posts
hey guys why is it ranging so much today any idea?
 
 
  • Post #10,994
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2008 10:35pm Jul 24, 2008 10:35pm
  •  pepbullish
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: these pretzels 'r making me thirsty | 252 Posts
I want sell but not now, maybe when the price back to 107.30

In Brazil things are not good , look the chart of Brazilian Stock Market

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  • Post #10,995
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2008 1:28am Jul 25, 2008 1:28am
  •  naminori
  • | Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Member | 128 Posts
The Japanese finance/econ officials are now contemplating an economy stimulas package to prop up its growth. This seems to be one of the drivers to push USD down hard today.
 
 
  • Post #10,996
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2008 2:48am Jul 25, 2008 2:48am
  •  Sole
  • | Joined Jun 2008 | Status: Member | 70 Posts
if it breaks 106,50 probably we stop to 106,35 .... for now.... any idea?
 
 
  • Post #10,997
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2008 4:37am Jul 25, 2008 4:37am
  •  P51_Group
  • | Joined Jul 2008 | Status: Member | 31 Posts
Quoting Sole
Disliked
if it breaks 106,50 probably we stop to 106,35 .... for now.... any idea?
Ignored
Yea, why don't you go long, you just might make some pips.
 
 
  • Post #10,998
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2008 4:46am Jul 25, 2008 4:46am
  •  bksujal
  • | Joined Jun 2007 | Status: candlestick trader | 991 Posts
Quoting P51_Group
Disliked
Yea, why don't you go long, you just might make some pips.
Ignored
i went long though. Got 20 pips
 
 
  • Post #10,999
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2008 6:14am Jul 25, 2008 6:14am
  •  bksujal
  • | Joined Jun 2007 | Status: candlestick trader | 991 Posts
why this sudden rise???
 
 
  • Post #11,000
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2008 6:34am Jul 25, 2008 6:34am
  •  P51_Group
  • | Joined Jul 2008 | Status: Member | 31 Posts
Quoting bksujal
Disliked
why this sudden rise???
Ignored
It could be a FED agent in the printing room rolling out some more of those $100.00 bills.
 
 
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