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  • #14,521
  • Jul 14, 2008 12:26pm Jul 14, 2008 12:26pm
1.62, then 1.65....maybe 1.69 then I am out.
  • #14,522
  • Jul 14, 2008 12:31pm Jul 14, 2008 12:31pm
Quoting DownRiverTrader
1.62, then 1.65....maybe 1.69 then I am out.
How about 1.54, then 1.61, then 1.55, then 1.62
  • #14,523
  • Jul 14, 2008 12:44pm Jul 14, 2008 12:44pm
To capitulate or not to capitulate....

Will there be a USD Index freefall before the Fed FINALLY starts to hike rates and cure global inflation? Bill Gross KNOWS. LOL

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...CAA&refer=home

Actually he doesn't, but he has the capital to handle a big drawdown.
"Timing Is Everything. Really I Swear It Is"
  • #14,524
  • Jul 14, 2008 12:48pm Jul 14, 2008 12:48pm
Quoting Clouds
How about 1.54, then 1.61, then 1.55, then 1.62
Looks like it will be for this pair
what we see depends mainly on what we look for...
  • #14,525
  • Jul 14, 2008 12:48pm Jul 14, 2008 12:48pm
Quoting dragoncat
YES~~~~ the BULLS are BACK!!!!!


Dude the bulls are not back. This pair is very bearish. What are you looking at?
  • #14,526
  • Jul 14, 2008 12:50pm Jul 14, 2008 12:50pm
Quoting steelhead
Dude the bulls are not back. This pair is very bearish. What are you looking at?
I m waiting TP at 1.56
what we see depends mainly on what we look for...
  • #14,527
  • Jul 14, 2008 12:54pm Jul 14, 2008 12:54pm
The bulls are back yes, but they are buying usd/chf.
  • #14,528
  • Jul 14, 2008 12:57pm Jul 14, 2008 12:57pm
Quoting Clouds
The bulls are back yes, but they are buying usd/chf.
LOL

When I put the chart upsidedown it does look like that.
  • #14,529
  • Jul 14, 2008 1:02pm Jul 14, 2008 1:02pm
Quoting mmccormac
LOL

When I put the chart upsidedown it does look like that.
Go ahead, try and be popular, be Euro bull. Lol. this is third time 101.5-ish has held support, and see nothing but ranging, march was bearish, tell me you aren't a little worried about your bearish view of usd/chf , when you see it about to cross the SMA
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  • #14,530
  • Jul 14, 2008 1:04pm Jul 14, 2008 1:04pm
Quoting Clouds
Go ahead, try and be popular, be Euro bull. Lol. this is third time 101.5-ish has held support, and see nothing but ranging, march was bearish, tell me you aren't a little worried usd/chf will go down, when you see it about to cross the SMA
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I think it's going below parity this week... I was kidding because you said people were buying Usd/Chf.
  • #14,531
  • Jul 14, 2008 1:05pm Jul 14, 2008 1:05pm
I played with fire, but my account didn't get burnt.

Could have made more pips but I pulled out with a profit.

Now on the sidelines.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #14,532
  • Jul 14, 2008 1:06pm Jul 14, 2008 1:06pm
Quoting mmccormac
I think it's going below parity this week... I was kidding because you said people were buying Usd/Chf.
People are buying usd/chf, I'm buying gbp/chf, but anything can happen, but right now its trapped between strong support and the SMA. Range is getting tighter, and I expect a big move , up, unless support is broken, but 'why' would that pair want be so close to the SMA if it wasn't going cross it soon. If I saw that on a 5min chart, I'd say it would cross it any minute.
  • #14,533
  • Jul 14, 2008 1:10pm Jul 14, 2008 1:10pm
I think many of you are getting ahead of yourselves with thinking the bulls are back. Don't get me wrong, they very well could be here, but if you notice the upward wedge on the 4 hr charts, we could possibly be looking for a movement down towards the 1.574 before the bulls take control again. COuld I be wrong? most definitely.
  • #14,534
  • Edited 1:44pm Jul 14, 2008 1:31pm | Edited 1:44pm
Price action says we will above 1.6000s in less than 16hours.

Hopefully I'm right. So far so good.
  • #14,535
  • Jul 14, 2008 1:42pm Jul 14, 2008 1:42pm
Looking back sofar at Today my current expectations are we will be rangebound between 1.585 and 1.592 in expectation of tomorrows flurry of economical news, with a probably hawkish Bernanke having the "last word"......
Key imo will be any remarks about rate hikes for the USD, expectations have gone down from 93% to 72% for a hike in October. EUR stays currently in favor due to the difference in rates and the recent bad economical events for the USD.

Just my 2 cents...
  • #14,536
  • Jul 14, 2008 1:50pm Jul 14, 2008 1:50pm
Quoting Shadowfx
Looking back sofar at Today my current expectations are we will be rangebound between 1.585 and 1.592 in expectation of tomorrows flurry of economical news, with a probably hawkish Bernanke having the "last word"......
Key imo will be any remarks about rate hikes for the USD, expectations have gone down from 93% to 72% for a hike in October. EUR stays currently in favor due to the difference in rates and the recent bad economical events for the USD.

Just my 2 cents...

did you type economical???..............LOL!!!

  • #14,537
  • Jul 14, 2008 1:51pm Jul 14, 2008 1:51pm
I am thinking we may have a surge up ending on Thursday Europe into Friday North America. Maybe reach 1.60 or better. Then I would expect a sideways range..maybe even down for a couple weeks.

The other scenario is a move down this week and then a resumption of the uptrend starting next week.
  • #14,538
  • Jul 14, 2008 1:53pm Jul 14, 2008 1:53pm
observing fannie mae shares right now. the prices opened higher today but from what im seeing it appears that the fed and all this private firms trying to bail em out has not help much.

their prices look like they are falling again.
open:12.87
high:13.50
low.9.24

current prices are between 10.30-10.80 right now....
DISCIPLINE IS THE KEY TO SUCCESS!!!:nerd:
  • #14,539
  • Jul 14, 2008 2:21pm Jul 14, 2008 2:21pm
Quoting uncleforex
Price action says we will above 1.6000s in less than 16hours.

Hopefully I'm right. So far so good.
Hey uncleforex,

Are you willing to tell us the reasons why the the eurusd, will move there in the next day? What are your assumptions? What are your structurall believes?
Regards
Paul
  • #14,540
  • Jul 14, 2008 6:06pm Jul 14, 2008 6:06pm
EU possible down channel

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