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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #6,001
  • Apr 1, 2008 9:49am Apr 1, 2008 9:49am
Quoting mtrmth
looks like the market did not agree with you. or is this short covering???? well, then again the glAss is only half full of good news, somw big ones later this week. lloks like everyone is taking profits off of their commodities and dumping it into equities all over the world. will we hit 102 before we hit 95???? anyone???

102 is upon the eye.. currently is 101.89..

well my stop triggered again .. -30 pips
  • #6,002
  • Apr 1, 2008 6:06pm Apr 1, 2008 6:06pm
Quoting bocanti
102 is upon the eye.. currently is 101.89..

well my stop triggered again .. -30 pips
if u want short, wait for US thur job claim, and friday non-farm pay roll. i think it will top in next two days. and u have a nice short

i longed from 9980 closed at 10190, not too sure with wat gonna happen tomorrow. USD/jpy already showed sign of strength in last couple of day
  • #6,003
  • Apr 1, 2008 7:52pm Apr 1, 2008 7:52pm
this could be a fun couple of days. what if the nfp and jobless claims are better than expected, much better????? this could send the dow to 13,000 by friday. i know that is crazy, but look at today, 400 points on ism being .3 better. the dollar would skyrocket, then profit taking on friday or monday and we each get 5-600 pips at least. woohoo!!! my only question to anyone, what has this move done to all the technicals???? i say completely hosed, anyone esle???
  • #6,004
  • Apr 1, 2008 10:23pm Apr 1, 2008 10:23pm
Quoting winwise
if u want short, wait for US thur job claim, and friday non-farm pay roll. i think it will top in next two days. and u have a nice short

i longed from 9980 closed at 10190, not too sure with wat gonna happen tomorrow. USD/jpy already showed sign of strength in last couple of day
well.. looks like UJ is getting strenght just like u said wait till job-claim n NFP to get better outlook.

todays pivot:

r3/2/1 : 105.37/103.77/102.80
Pivot : 101.20
s3/2/1 : 100.23/98.63/97.63

I think it 102.00 will stay for today....
  • #6,005
  • Apr 1, 2008 10:42pm Apr 1, 2008 10:42pm
I think the dollar is and will be making a comeback with a vengeance ...
  • #6,006
  • Apr 2, 2008 1:49am Apr 2, 2008 1:49am
For this pair possible points for turning around are zones 102.40-50, and 103.36-50
Wish you profits
  • #6,007
  • Apr 2, 2008 3:22am Apr 2, 2008 3:22am
Quoting Serega
For this pair possible points for turning around are zones 102.40-50, and 103.36-50
Wish you profits
Surprise after Surprise

Of course with such great financial news like a ISM number a bit better than the last one however still under 50

Then the great news that UBS wrote off 16 BILLION

Wow !

Gold dropped so of course the Dow ran up on the first day of the New Quarter.

A April Fools Rally UP 391

Of course USD/JPY tests 102.18 and stops. Overnight it drops to 101.50 and then at 1:45 AM it runs to a new high of 102.36 and at 3:35 AM reverses to 101.70

The Dow futures are now down 45 and Gold is coming back.

The ADP number comes out in about 4 hours from now. In about 5 hours from now The Great Bernake testifies as to the Truth.

Trading this pair is great Fun and Excitement. The Technicals help and the Fundamentals help but when UP is Down and DOWN is Up

FX Trader Be Careful

Spot trades at 101.97 Bid

Have a Great FX Trading Day.


Bruce
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  • #6,008
  • Apr 2, 2008 4:34am Apr 2, 2008 4:34am
Quoting Warren Forex
Surprise after Surprise

Of course with such great financial news like a ISM number a bit better than the last one however still under 50

Then the great news that UBS wrote off 16 BILLION

Wow !

Gold dropped so of course the Dow ran up on the first day of the New Quarter.

A April Fools Rally UP 391

Of course USD/JPY tests 102.18 and stops. Overnight it drops to 101.50 and then at 1:45 AM it runs to a new high of 102.36 and at 3:35 AM reverses to 101.70

The Dow futures are now down 45 and Gold is coming back.

The ADP number comes out in about 4 hours from now. In about 5 hours from now The Great Bernake testifies as to the Truth.

Trading this pair is great Fun and Excitement. The Technicals help and the Fundamentals help but when UP is Down and DOWN is Up

FX Trader Be Careful

Spot trades at 101.97 Bid

Have a Great FX Trading Day.


Bruce
this is a yesterday news. u now why the sell off came from for yesterday?
  • #6,009
  • Apr 2, 2008 8:32am Apr 2, 2008 8:32am
Quoting Serega
For this pair possible points for turning around are zones 102.40-50, and 103.36-50
Wish you profits

current high 10259/57
  • #6,010
  • Apr 2, 2008 9:45am Apr 2, 2008 9:45am
http://i29.tinypic.com/295u9l0.gif


Looks like H1 upper fib targets hit.
  • #6,011
  • Apr 2, 2008 12:47pm Apr 2, 2008 12:47pm
Quoting Warren Forex
Trading this pair is great Fun and Excitement. The Technicals help and the Fundamentals help but when UP is Down and DOWN is Up


Bruce
I absolutely agree ....
  • #6,012
  • Apr 3, 2008 2:11am Apr 3, 2008 2:11am
Usd/jpy 1 hour
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 62.gif Size: 48 KB
  • #6,013
  • Apr 3, 2008 4:00am Apr 3, 2008 4:00am
Quoting SBrickman
http://i29.tinypic.com/295u9l0.gif


Looks like H1 upper fib targets hit.

Great Charts

Thanks for the Input

Happy Trading and thanks

Bruce
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  • #6,014
  • Apr 3, 2008 5:01am Apr 3, 2008 5:01am
UJ it's to higger rite now,
just waiting the good entry for short,
i have see the sell divergence but it's no clear..
  • #6,015
  • Apr 3, 2008 1:49pm Apr 3, 2008 1:49pm
http://i25.tinypic.com/21e0pr8.gif


Looks like it's heading south.
  • #6,016
  • Apr 3, 2008 7:54pm Apr 3, 2008 7:54pm
Price movements of this pair is fantastic ...
  • #6,017
  • Apr 3, 2008 8:10pm Apr 3, 2008 8:10pm
Quoting Schminner
Price movements of this pair is fantastic ...
i agreed with u...
but we are looking good entry for short rite now..
i think for my personal prediction USDJPY will go up until 102.77-103.++
b4 moving down..hopefully today we have good start for to trade..
  • #6,018
  • Apr 4, 2008 5:56am Apr 4, 2008 5:56am
April 4, 2008 6:52 AM EST

The NFP number at 8:30 AM if - 75,000 or worse will send USD/JPY to test 101.75 and then 101.50

This number will determine what happens today. The technicals will then follow based on the number.


Stay Tuned. 4Cast calls it to be -75,000

I would not be surprised to see it print - 100,000

Any number is possible including PLUS 50,000

The TRUTH (Joke Joke) always wins here.

Good Day to All

Bruce
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  • #6,019
  • Apr 4, 2008 6:08am Apr 4, 2008 6:08am
Quoting Warren Forex
April 4, 2008 6:52 AM EST

The NFP number at 8:30 AM if - 75,000 or worse will send USD/JPY to test 101.75 and then 101.50

This number will determine what happens today. The technicals will then follow based on the number.


Stay Tuned. 4Cast calls it to be -75,000

I would not be surprised to see it print - 100,000

Any number is possible including PLUS 50,000

The TRUTH (Joke Joke) always wins here.

Good Day to All

Bruce

A Brief Comment From Saxo

Market Comments
Yesterday's atrocious weekly jobless claims reading from the US immediately capped the short sharp USD rally that was underway at the time. The 407k reading was the worst number since the months immediately following hurricane Katrina in late 2005 (in fact, the last three weeks of data in a row have ALL been above levels seen since then - with yesterday's reading by far the worst). This suggests that today's nonfarm payrolls could be far worse than the -50k that is supposedly expected (might we throw out a number like -250k, though this data is so thoroughly manipulated and statistically adjusted that any attempt at accuracy is a fool's errand). We can expect the Unemployment report to bounce back up to 5.0% as well (this is already market consensus).

Bruce
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  • #6,020
  • Apr 4, 2008 6:12am Apr 4, 2008 6:12am
Quoting Warren Forex
A Brief Comment From Saxo

Market Comments
Yesterday's atrocious weekly jobless claims reading from the US immediately capped the short sharp USD rally that was underway at the time. The 407k reading was the worst number since the months immediately following hurricane Katrina in late 2005 (in fact, the last three weeks of data in a row have ALL been above levels seen since then - with yesterday's reading by far the worst). This suggests that today's nonfarm payrolls could be far worse than the -50k that is supposedly expected (might we throw out a number like -250k, though this data is so thoroughly manipulated and statistically adjusted that any attempt at accuracy is a fool's errand). We can expect the Unemployment report to bounce back up to 5.0% as well (this is already market consensus).

Bruce
From Henry


Our first focus will be on the Headline Number, which is expected to
be at -50K. Wait for the numbers to come out, but do not take the
trade YET, even if we get 10K or -110K. Now wait for the revision
number, which is -63K. If we get a strong BAD revision, no matter
what the headline number is, the market will SELL USD. That has
been the case for the last 30+ cases. If we get a good revision and
a good headline number, then go ahead and SELL GBP/USD or EUR/USD. If we get a good number and a bad number, always look at the
revision. If the revision if big, then that would probably be the
trend where the market is going to go.

NOTE FROM Bruce

Please Make Your Own Decisions after you have confidence in it. Just trading by listening to all the opinions will not improve your FX trading skills.

Do your homework and be ready for surprises. Plan your trade and trade your plan.

Good Trading

Bruce
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