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Daily Cable Analysis

  • #2,721
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:16am Jan 19, 2007 3:16am
g/u slightly lower 15mins before news
  • #2,722
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:17am Jan 19, 2007 3:17am
A flag formation on the 2 and 4 hr charts which should lead to a breakout after news release. I'm placing a limit buy at 1.9770 and a limit sell at 1.9796(don't want to be greedyhttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon14.gif)
  • #2,723
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:18am Jan 19, 2007 3:18am
Quoting Leugimp
I just switched my entry view, although it will make it difficult for a fill today, perhaps with GBP and US news can help. My long entry will be in white circle area - around 9610(ahead of fib confluence) with stop in rectangle area, in front of another fib confluence area. This will allow the divergence to play out and still lead in development of pos reversal on higher timeframe and will be in line with weekly move.

As for this divergence on this timeframe, I cant find away to go with it and feel safe. Actually if we have a strong move down followed by retrace, perhaps a negative reversal will form with enough room yet to go to my long entry. Thats how i'll play it.
That would cover your spread from 1.9606 for a Long Entry, this seems probable, especially if the news punches it downward.

We are seeing some drop here, but this is just pre-news positioning happening, you could actually scalp 5-10 pips up here. But I would't try it for the sake of being safe.

My eye is on the same spot "L".

Thanks for the welcoming party.
  • #2,724
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:18am Jan 19, 2007 3:18am
Quoting Pickensrulz
A flag formation on the 2 and 4 hr charts which should lead to a breakout after news release. I'm placing a limit buy at 1.9770 and a limit sell at 1.9796(don't want to be greedyhttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon14.gif)

Hmmm, spike down is worrisome. cancels pending orders. wait and see approach looks prudent.
  • #2,725
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:26am Jan 19, 2007 3:26am
We are touching this black channel's lower trendline right now. I'm watching for 9716 and 9680 as fibos of a projected low 9635 / hight 9846. AS this news can move 20 pips and retrace (news forum), 9680 may be a call for a short until Leugimp's buying area (the wider channel)

http://i2.photobucket.com/albums/y28...c/jan-19-2.jpg


9748's a good figure to watch, monarch. But I'll feel much safer above 9765
  • #2,726
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:32am Jan 19, 2007 3:32am
any word on the news.
Man who scratches ass should not bite fingernails
  • #2,727
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:34am Jan 19, 2007 3:34am
High break 1.9770

Low break 1.9736

There is the 1 minute perimeters/
  • #2,728
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:35am Jan 19, 2007 3:35am
Quoting Pickensrulz
Hmmm, spike down is worrisome. cancels pending orders. wait and see approach looks prudent.
As was my worry, retail numbers couldn't push past 1.9778. This number does fan the flames for continued pressure for rate hikes. However another hike to 5.5 by April is already priced into futures contracts which has filtered into current spot price.

Flat for now, leaning towards short.
  • #2,729
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:36am Jan 19, 2007 3:36am
WOW!

9722 hold below / 9775 hold above... Awaiting for 5 min close above 9765 (but with prudence).


Further "negotiation" must take place here before direction..
  • #2,730
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:37am Jan 19, 2007 3:37am
Nice rejection.

Quoting cesarnc
WOW!

9722 hold below / 9775 hold above... Awaiting for 5 min close above 9765 (but with prudence).


Further "negotiation" must take place here before direction..
  • #2,731
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:38am Jan 19, 2007 3:38am
what is final result for Retail Sales ?
  • #2,732
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:39am Jan 19, 2007 3:39am
those who put buy stops.....like me will be caught.

lucky i closed mine after +10

and shorted
  • #2,733
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:40am Jan 19, 2007 3:40am
Projected fibo low 9635 / high 9846 seems to be in place here.

23 - 9796
38- 9765(!!!)
50 - 9741(!!!)
61 - 9716

Market still aiming 9846, isn't it?

9722 expected support still untouched.

What do you guys read?
  • #2,734
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:44am Jan 19, 2007 3:44am
Quoting Pickensrulz
As was my worry, retail numbers couldn't push past 1.9778. This number does fan the flames for continued pressure for rate hikes. However another hike to 5.5 by April is already priced into futures contracts which has filtered into current spot price.

Flat for now, leaning towards short.

I'm short now fwiw..

Worth noting is gbp/jpy. Double top could be forming on dailies.
Last time I noted this double bar formation on jan 03 a 650 pip downmove correction happened the following 2.5 days.http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon12.gif
  • #2,735
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:45am Jan 19, 2007 3:45am
seems cant broke 9775 and go up for 98xx
any one short?
  • #2,736
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:46am Jan 19, 2007 3:46am
Quoting cesarnc
Projected fibo low 9635 / high 9846 seems to be in place here.

23 - 9796
38- 9765(!!!)
50 - 9741(!!!)
61 - 9716

Market still aiming 9846, isn't it?

9722 expected support still untouched.

What do you guys read?

Right now, Im just looking at an outside bar on 1600 tick and once this candle is closed, I may go for 10 pips on breakout of either side.
Man who scratches ass should not bite fingernails
  • #2,737
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:47am Jan 19, 2007 3:47am
GBPRetail Sales m/m http://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...mpact_high.gif 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%http://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...us_revised.gif

i don't got it .... is gbpusd gona go down or up
If you count on hope in any trade ……. Get out of it
  • #2,738
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:47am Jan 19, 2007 3:47am
Quoting cesarnc
Projected fibo low 9635 / high 9846 seems to be in place here.

23 - 9796
38- 9765(!!!)
50 - 9741(!!!)
61 - 9716

Market still aiming 9846, isn't it?

9722 expected support still untouched.

What do you guys read?
mine touched a low of 9717..

and im still on my stand tht the cable will go lower today,well hopefully,some asked me earlier right on what base i stand upon saying this...

erm,actually i decline to reply to it, but then well juz a simple base pointing to monarch and a few others who questioned,..trying to give some focus on FA and blend it in with your TA rather than juz focussing on TA almost 100% as I see most of you guys here focus on TA almost most of the time (from my rather simple and humble observation of posts made here)..anyway juz my 2 cents as a newbie..hehehehe...

and no offense on what i say here yeah..peace..
  • #2,739
  • Edited Jan 20, 2007 2:40am Jan 19, 2007 3:48am | Edited Jan 20, 2007 2:40am
Quoting jimo
seems cant broke 9775 and go up for 98xx
any one short?

I am short closed 1 lot +20 set another at b.e.+1
Attached Image
  • #2,740
  • Jan 19, 2007 3:48am Jan 19, 2007 3:48am
curious to see how price acts @ 9702
Man who scratches ass should not bite fingernails
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