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  • #5,661
  • Mar 19, 2008 11:50am Mar 19, 2008 11:50am
okay that was my first post yes but i didnt mean it like litterly get blown up i meant it in the economy, obviosly i wouldnt want a country such as america to blow up cause then we are really screwed and honestly are wealth wouldnt matter anymore anywayz i mean that post in a different way sorry for the inconvinience and im not evil i just wana make some profit too come on is that so hard these days do u really have to work at walmart to really make money come on i love forex and all the countries especially the usd i made a lot of profit with it but for me its either extreme or nothing i like extreme such as eur/usd hitting 1.59 i would love to see it hit something like 1.5700 and usd hitting like .80 with cad i mean these are just wishes but you get what im trying to say and im no damn terrosist im from europe jeez people !!!!!!!
  • #5,662
  • Mar 19, 2008 12:01pm Mar 19, 2008 12:01pm
Quoting emipuscas
okay that was my first post yes but i didnt mean it like litterly get blown up i meant it in the economy, obviosly i wouldnt want a country such as america to blow up cause then we are really screwed and honestly are wealth wouldnt matter anymore anywayz i mean that post in a different way sorry for the inconvinience and im not evil i just wana make some profit too come on is that so hard these days do u really have to work at walmart to really make money come on i love forex and all the countries especially the usd i made a lot of profit with it but for me its either extreme or nothing i like extreme such as eur/usd hitting 1.59 i would love to see it hit something like 1.5700 and usd hitting like .80 with cad i mean these are just wishes but you get what im trying to say and im no damn terrosist im from europe jeez people !!!!!!!
Ok...you're forgiven. Your grammar teacher might not forgive you, though.
  • #5,663
  • Mar 19, 2008 12:04pm Mar 19, 2008 12:04pm
ooookay, so lets keep talking about eurusd and move aside personal feelings....

does anyone out there has an idea on why after 75bps cut, eurusd went down?....i really dont have a clue, maybe the banks and the big boys have something to do?
  • #5,664
  • Mar 19, 2008 12:05pm Mar 19, 2008 12:05pm
Quoting Zappa
Ok...you're forgiven. Your grammar teacher might not forgive you, though.
lol...
  • #5,665
  • Mar 19, 2008 12:18pm Mar 19, 2008 12:18pm
Quoting pamelomarcos
ooookay, so lets keep talking about eurusd and move aside personal feelings....

does anyone out there has an idea on why after 75bps cut, eurusd went down?....i really dont have a clue, maybe the banks and the big boys have something to do?
lokks like u bought at the top
  • #5,666
  • Mar 19, 2008 12:21pm Mar 19, 2008 12:21pm
not on the top but definetly above 5650 :S.....
  • #5,667
  • Mar 19, 2008 12:53pm Mar 19, 2008 12:53pm
Quoting Hammad
Well.. Dow is already 200+ points.. so i will stay away to pick any Eu trade.. I will pick Carry trades.. like UJ ..
I guess carry will shot up.
Low interest rate, More money will be loaned from banks, and will be funded into DOW, and Maybe Dow will spike up and UJ will be positive. not sure about EU.. I will wait and will see for EU to make a good Dip to join.
Interesting to see people's view regarding Lower interest rate.
Quote
Originally Posted by pamelomarcos http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
ooookay, so lets keep talking about eurusd and move aside personal feelings....

does anyone out there has an idea on why after 75bps cut, eurusd went down?....i really dont have a clue, maybe the banks and the big boys have something to do?
If you heard Bernank with open mind - the whole message was about inflation - market did priced in 0.75% - but from there, BUT AFTER ???
Fed remarks that inflation is on high end risk - that means, don't expect more rate cut - we are going to raise the rates soon again - maybe next meeting?
  • #5,668
  • Mar 19, 2008 4:18pm Mar 19, 2008 4:18pm
Quoting pamelomarcos
...
does anyone out there has an idea on why after 75bps cut, eurusd went down?....i really dont have a clue, maybe the banks and the big boys have something to do?
As I understand it, it is because the market has already priced in a 100bps cut and when the actual came out at 75bps it couldn't hold. As they say, buy on rumour and sell on news.
  • #5,669
  • Mar 19, 2008 4:37pm Mar 19, 2008 4:37pm
Quoting Zappa
Ok...you're forgiven. Your grammar teacher might not forgive you, though.
  • #5,670
  • Mar 19, 2008 4:37pm Mar 19, 2008 4:37pm
Quoting qq1
As I understand it, it is because the market has already priced in a 100bps cut and when the actual came out at 75bps it couldn't hold. As they say, buy on rumour and sell on news.
I think inlfation is a concern.

30 year T bonds went up 1 point today .. .that is alot.

I think that smart money is monving into T bonds as this will be the biggest money maker in years to come, hence gold went down as money was moved form gold to T bonds.
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #5,671
  • Mar 19, 2008 4:44pm Mar 19, 2008 4:44pm
Quoting malcolmb14
I think inlfation is a concern.

30 year T bonds went up 1 point today .. .that is alot.

I think that smart money is monving into T bonds as this will be the biggest money maker in years to come, hence gold went down as money was moved form gold to T bonds.
My biggest concern right now is not inflation, my tires are severely deflated ... lol
  • #5,672
  • Mar 19, 2008 4:53pm Mar 19, 2008 4:53pm
I dont think we will be raising rates anytime soon. I think inflation would have to be a much bigger concern. Has anyone else realized that europe seems to lag 3 - 6 months behind the US. It seems to me that the US economy has bottomed out but maybe not. I dont see how the ECB can compete with the FED without lowering their rates. I think in a month EUR will be below 1.50 maybe two months tops. Wave goodbye EUR.
  • #5,673
  • Mar 19, 2008 6:23pm Mar 19, 2008 6:23pm
Quoting fxtrader42
I dont think we will be raising rates anytime soon. I think inflation would have to be a much bigger concern. Has anyone else realized that europe seems to lag 3 - 6 months behind the US. It seems to me that the US economy has bottomed out but maybe not. I dont see how the ECB can compete with the FED without lowering their rates. I think in a month EUR will be below 1.50 maybe two months tops. Wave goodbye EUR.
I think this problem is much bigger (Global) and the US is just the start of what is to come. If Europe lags 3-6 months they have a lot of catching up to do. I think the EUR/USD is going to have 1 maybe 2 more runs at 1.6 before it starts it's slide as Europe catches up to where the US is now.

Step 9 of the Financial Meltdown: "one or two large and systemically important broker dealers" will "go belly up" Nouriel Roubini | Mar 14, 2008

A Generalized Run on the Shadow Financial System Nouriel Roubini | Mar 17, 2008

The Worst Financial Crisis Since the Great Depression is Getting Worse…and the Need for Radical Policy Solutions to the Crisis Nouriel Roubini | Mar 19, 2008

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The Hedge Fund Implode-O-Meter - tracking the hedge fund implosion

Now I'm not trying to bring doom & gloom or saying the sky is falling, but I think we ain't seen na na nothing yet. Sorry DJ in a former life.

PS has anybody else noticed Oanda's EUR/USD spread being bigger (1.2-2.0 VS 0.9) than normal most of the time?
  • #5,674
  • Mar 19, 2008 7:13pm Mar 19, 2008 7:13pm
Quoting xxDavidxSxx
Andrews pitch fork is plotted too.
ah. i see.
Cool.
  • #5,675
  • Mar 19, 2008 8:33pm Mar 19, 2008 8:33pm
1.5580 proves great to place longs. Stoploss kept simply below 1.5560 Target 1.5700
  • #5,676
  • Mar 20, 2008 2:58am Mar 20, 2008 2:58am
Quote
FX Technicals - Mar 20 http://www.goldessential.com/images/...pdf_button.png http://www.goldessential.com/images/...rintButton.png http://www.goldessential.com/images/...mailButton.png

Research Thursday, 20 March 2008

LONDON – Goldessential.com – Mar 19 – 9.34GMT

Following are (technical) comments on the foremost common currencies. Please note that these are provided by third parties and may not partially or fully incorporate the view of Goldessential.

CHRIS TURNER, ING * EURO/DOLLAR: "The risks of a brief correction to the $1.53/54 area are building and $1.5650/5700 should be the sell."

EUR/USD technicals
  • #5,677
  • Mar 20, 2008 4:44am Mar 20, 2008 4:44am
Eu is going back to 1.46 for good.
  • #5,678
  • Mar 20, 2008 4:51am Mar 20, 2008 4:51am
Quoting Fx_Genius
......PS has anybody else noticed Oanda's EUR/USD spread being bigger (1.2-2.0 VS 0.9) than normal most of the time?
I have noticed the same thing with FXclub in the last couple of days. It's almost as if they are trying to predict direction, and it is crippling my ability to find those "perfect trades" where MetaTrader takes off and Rumus (FXclub) lags by 1-2 seconds... The Web client seems to be lagging still, though, so I've been trading on that and cleaning up. Anyone else???
  • #5,679
  • Mar 20, 2008 5:19am Mar 20, 2008 5:19am
Quoting xxDavidxSxx
Daily pivot at 1.5690. It could retrace near there befor continuing to weekly pivot where I believe its headed.


and once reached the bottom fell out and 100 pips booked
  • #5,680
  • Mar 20, 2008 6:06am Mar 20, 2008 6:06am
I think dollar is recovering a bit because taking profits before holidays... next week will resume it's fall down.
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